Friday, April 17, 2009

MUMBAI 18.4.09

RACE ONE
4 DESDOMONA 99
1 LOTHARIO 78
6 LUSTY 67
7 POUND FOOLISH 63
5 IBIS 61


The best Average last four run time is of DESDEMONA .On track LOTHARIO is good.On ipr and overall performance LUSTY looks difficult.A PURELY AVOIDABLE RACE with a chance can be taken to eat DESDOMONA if the favourite

1.(7)POUND FOOLISH 2 .(4)DESDOMONA 3.(1)LOTHARIO 4.(6)LUSTY

RACE TWO
2 BALANCE DE POWER 86
3 ROCOCO 66
4 ARKHOS 64
5 FIERY FORTUNE 44
1 DESERT DUST 44


The best Average last four run time is of BALANCE DE POWER followed by that of ARKHOS .On track BALANCE DE POWER is good.On ipr and overall performance DESERT DUST & FIERY FORTUNE at best looks a place.BALANCE DE POWER has reasonably improved.

1.(2)BALANCE DE POWER 2 .(4)ARKHOS 3.(3)ROCOCO 4.(5)FIERY FORTUNE

RACE THREE
2 SEA TREASURE 93
3 BLUE DANUBE 76
4 CHECK HER OUT 56
1 IRISH QUEEN 26


The best Average last four run time is of SEA TREASURE followed by that of BLUE DANUBE .On track SEA TREASURE is good.On ipr and overall performance CHECK HER OUT at best looks a place.

1.(2)SEA TREASURE 2 .(3)BLUE DANUBE 3.(4)CHECK HER OUT 4.(1)IRISH QUEEN

RACE FOUR
9 RIDING FANTASY 88
4 TORA BORA 86
2 GUNS N ROSES 85
8 MOON FLOWER 67
1 CLAIM TO FAME 63


The best Average last four run time is of GUNS N ROSES followed by that of RIDING FANTASY.On track CLAIM TO FAME, GUNS N ROSES, TORA BORA & MOONFLOWER are good.On ipr and overall performance ORIENTAL MAGIC looks difficult and CLAIM TO FAME at best looks a place.

1.(9)RIDING FANTASY 2 .(4)TORA BORA 3.(2)GUNS N ROSES 4.(8)MOON FLOWER

RACE FIVE
8 STATJFORD 95
5 THEODOROS 86
9 STRIKE IT RICH 79
6 SOLID ROCK 59
1 BLACK PARTRIDGE 51


The best Average last four run time is of STATJFORD followed by that of THEODOROS.On track MARINE ZONE & THEODOROS are good.On ipr and overall performance MARINE ZONE, SALAWATI,THE FIRST LADY,BOLD ACT look difficult.SOLID ROCK also at best looks a place.THEODOROS & STATJFORD have consistently improved.

1.(5)THEODOROS 2 .(8) STATJFORD 3.(6)SOLID ROCK 4.(9)STRIKE IT RICH

RACE SIX
10 CLARION CALL 98
6 EKHABINSKYA 80
4 MOONSTORM 76
2 HIGHLAND BOUNTY 73
7 MASTER CRAFT 60


The best Average last four run time is JOINTLY of EKHABINSKYA & CLARION CALL followed again jointly by that of HIGHLAND BOUNTY & MOONSTORM .On track MOONSTORM,EKHABINSKYA,CLARION CALL & RED CHILLI are good.On ipr and overall performance HERE COMES THE DON, SOLID BLACK,CASUAL LOOK, TEARAWAY & RED CHILLI look difficult and MASTER CRAFT & INCREDIBLE BEAUTY at best look a place.HEIFITZ & HIGHLAND BOUNTY have reasonably improved & CLARION CALL has consistently improved.

1.(10)CLARION CALL 2 .(6)EKHABINSKYA 3.(4)HIGHLAND BOUNTY 3.(2) MOONSTORM

RACE SEVEN
4 POLARISER 91
6 GLOBAL SPIRIT 82
10 POMME DE TERRE 78
1 DAFFODILS 63
2 HIDDEN DANGER 60


The best Average last four run time is of GLOBAL SPIRIT followed by that of DAFFOILS.On ipr and overall performance PARIS HILTON,ONUS PROBANDI, HONEYDAY,NASEEBDAR, ANAMIKA & THE RIGHT MAN look difficult.HIDDEN DANGER has reasonably improved and GLOBAL SPIRIT has consistently improved.

1.(6)GLOBAL SPIRIT 2 .(2)HIDDEN DANGER 3.(4)POLARISER 4.(1)DAFFODILS

Sunday, April 12, 2009

SET ALIGHT for The McDowell Signature Indian Derby(Grade I)

Hi Folks,

Set Alight unbeaten in her last ten starts, is in pink of condition as evidenced by her regular track movements, should not find it difficult to stay over the 2,400m trip to win the McDowell Signature Indian Derby to be held to-day. As expected of her, is in fine winning form and should annex the blue riband with ease. According to me she is superior than the rest by at least 5kg to Autonomy and 6kg to Dancing Dynamite in handicap rating. No doubt it has never shown excellent speed rating in her career but the fact to be noted is she has never been extended till date by any of the horses run with, besides has been whipped only once when it last raced with Dancing Dynamite. Now this shows the class of the filly which according to me can be safely kept as a banker in the respective pools without fear. In the Race No.134 Set Alight was well positioned 4th at 400, with Dancing Dynamite 5th and was just seen cantering away from 300mts. with just a whack for a reminder rest it won with plenty in hands with no one to catch her. It was spontaneous gallop which the filly rightfully responded when asked for. Dancing Dynamite was seen finishing full of speed along with Autonomy and I am sure to-day it is the one which should trouble Set Alight. Abs Fabs no doubt won in excellent timing at Kokata still lacks that power to topple the Western India horses and at best can place third followed by Autonomy which was all out last time. My remaining speed ratings for the day are as follows:

Race No. 1:

Aristocratical 641
Statjford 635
Forest Native 599
Elemento Code 590

Race No. 2:

Secret Pilgrim 626
Cotswold Arms 607

Race No. 3:

Corfu 692
Flaming Ace 667
Carlos 648
Cosmopolitan 644

Race No. 4:

Salute The Star 645
Snow Queen 626
Divine Majesty 618

Race No. 5:

Rising Hero 598
Western Challenge 588
Cavaradosi 581
Indian Summer 554
Matata Pride 548
Rage Of Angels 545

Race No. 6:

Recardo 675
Star Attraction 673
Cameo 671
Absolute Reality 669
Kiss Away 669
Exuberance 667
Insite Soul 667
Ponyta 663

Race No. 7:

Star Crowned 651
Tiunfo 646
River Route 645
Estevez 644

Race No. 8:

SET ALIGHT 683
Dancing Dynamite 665
Abs Fabs 663
Autonomy 653
Riyasat 648
Ice Breaker 645
Juventus 642
Nora 640

Race No. 9:

Stefano 668
Highland Flame 668
Hymns To Freedom 662
Tattenhoe 654
Katania 653
Warcraft 644
The Tempest 627
Flaming Arrow 635

Race No. 10:

Alexus - debut run, excellent mock race and subsequent track work good
Chandelier 627
Highland Quest 622
White Hart Lane 619
Flying Spirit 605

Day's Best : SET ALIGHT

Good Double : Rising Hero and Alexus

Kainchi w/pl : Corfu, Salute The Star, Rising Hero and Alexus

Good Luck to all,

Thanking you,

Jimmy

Saturday, April 11, 2009

FOREST FLAIR for The Kunigal Stud Breeders' Produce Stakes

Hi Folks,

Forest Flair is a fair performer and is fit for the fray to clinch the Kunigal Stud Breeders’ Produce Stakes, the feature event of the races to be held to-day. Amongst the three year olds here it has got the best speed as well handicap ratings and is far ahead of the rest. Of course this is possible due to it having run maximum times than the rest. Forest Flair has lost just once in three starts to Versaki. One run old Amore Mio shapes as next best and gets to test her abilities here. Amore Mio in her debut run was left to do a lot of catching up because of her not being with the field in the early part of the race. However, she put in a sustained gallop to make her debut a remarkable one. In The Antiquity Rare Cup Aurora Aurealis on account of best speed rating for the day appeals the most. My rest of the speed ratings for the day are as follows:

Race No. 1:

Solor 668
Devilitto 645
Nonios 631
Modesty 628
Crescendo 613
Nymph 612

Race No. 2:

Golden Kingdom 679
Slickkit 660
Courage Under Fire 653
Real Dream 648
Blades Of Glory 624

Race No. 3:

Aurora Aurealis 719
Successor 710
Zarzaitine 699
Il Divo 692
The Rising 674

Race No. 4:

Whispering Willows 703
Lyrical Lass 692
Battle Fury 675
Tudor Regent 664
Smokin Aces - debut run track work good but trainer win percentage does not appeal

Race No. 5:

Tyumen 663
Cest Bon 650
Ecstatica 645
Fires Within 628
Sharp Memories 621
Fire Vault 627

Race No. 6:

Avec Plaisir 696
Red Romeo 683
Spirituall 681
Ezxcravos 678
Enceladus 678
Call To Arms 677
Covenant 669
Shyboy 659

Race No. 7:

FOREST FLAIR 691
Amore Mio 668
Arts 652
Mighty Crusader 652

Race No. 8:

Gentle Knight 646
Patek Philippe 635
Mysterious Star 634
Pretty Commission 632
Buster 626
Catalyst 607

Race No. 9:

Saddlers Rule 619
Tromos 605
Magical Mantra 554
Dutch Art 542

Day's Best : FOREST FLAIR

Good Double : Whispering Willows and Forest Flair

Kainchi w/pl : Aurora Aurealis, Whispering Willows, Forest Flair
and Gentle Knight

Good luck to all

Thanking you,

Jimmy

MUMBAI INDIAN DERBY DAY SELECTIONS

RACE ONE
9 FOREST NATIVE 83
1 ELEMENTTO CODE 83
7 MUSICAL RHYTHM 77
4 STATJFORD 67
10 YOWZA 62


The best Average last four run time is of FOREST NATIVE followed by that of ELEMENTTO CODE .On track ARISTOCRATICAL is good.On ipr and overall performance ETERNAL FLIGHT, QUAND MEME, BREZHNEV, LONE TROJAN & YOWZA look difficult.BREZHNEV has reasonably improved

1.(9)FOREST NATIVE 2 .(8)ARISTOCRATICAL 3.(4)STATJFORD 4.(5)BREZHNEV

RACE TWO
1 COTSWOLD ARMS 96
2 SECRET PILGRIM 54

The best Average last four run time is of COTSWOLD ARMS followed by that of SECRET PILGRIM .On track SECRET PILGRIM is good.SECRET PILGRIM has reasonably improved

1.(1)COTSWOLD ARMS 2 .(2)SECRET PILGRIM

RACE THREE
6 CORFU 93
5 PRINCE LOCHINVA 66
3 CARLOS 66
1 FLAMING ACE 57
4 COSMOPOLITAN 37


The best Average last four run time is of CORFU followed by that of PRINCE LOCHINVA.On track FLAMING ACE, ROCOCO & COSMOPOLITAN good.On ipr and overall performance ROCOCO and COSMOPOLITAN look difficult.FLAMING ACE & PRINCE LOCHINVA have reasonably improved

1.(5)PRINCE LOCHINVA 2 .(3)CARLOS 3.(6)CORFU 4.(1)FLAMING ACE

RACE FOUR
9 DIVINE MAJESTY 84
7 CAUSTIC FINALE 82
6 SALUTE THE STAR 72
10 SNOW QUEEN 68
2 CABRIOLET 61


The best Average last four run time is of DIVINE MAJESTY followed by that of CAUSTIC FINALE .On track RED DRAGON, SALUTE THE STAR & CAUSTIC FINALE are good.On ipr and overall performance PRINCE OF TROY, RED DRAGON and DESERT QUEEN look difficult.

1.(6)SALUTE THE STAR 2 .(9)DIVINE MAJESTY 3.(7)CAUSTIC FINALE 4.(10)SNOW QUEEN

RACE FIVE
6 WESTERN CHALLENGE 88
5 CAVARADOSI 74
4 INDIAN SUMMER 65
1 MATATA PRIDE 50
3 RISING HERO 46


The best Average last four run time is of WESTERN CHALLENGE followed by that of INDIAN SUMMER.On track RAGE OF ANGELS, RISING HERO & INDIAN SUMMER are good.On ipr and overall performance RISING HERO looks difficult.MATATA PRIDE & RAGE OF ANGELS have consistently improved

1.(6)WESTERN CHALLENGE 2.(5)CAVARADOSI 3.(4)INDIAN SUMMER 4.(2)RAGE OF ANGELS

RACE SIX
17 RECARDO 89
9 CAMEO 84
3 YANKEE LANE 75
8 ABSOLUTE REALITY 71
15 KISS AWAY 70


The best Average last four run time is of CAMEO followed by that of ABSOLUTE REALITY.On track EXUBERANCE, ABSOLUTE REALITY,STAR ATTRACTION & RECARDO are good.On ipr and overall performance HERE COMES THE DON, SNOW BLIND,TEARAWAY,WILD VEGAS & MAJOR WAGER look difficult.EXUBERANCE has consistently improved & CAMEO and KISS AWAY have resonably improved.IN addition to the selections, EXUBERANCE( INSPITE OF THE JOCKEY) can place at longer odds, especially if STAR ATTRACTION is not able to win the race.

1.(11)STAR ATTRACTION 2 .(9)CAMEO 3.(15)KISS AWAY 4.(10)PONYTA

RACE SEVEN
5 TRIUNFO 100
9 STAR CROWNED 88
6 BLUMARINE 75
7 ESTEVEZ 71
8 RIVER ROUTE 57


The best last run time is of TRIUNFO followed by that of STAR CROWNED.On track ESTEVEZ & STAR CROWNED are good.On ipr and overall performance RIVER PRIDE & YANKEE WOMAN look difficult.

1.(5)TRIUNFO 2 .(9)STAR CROWNED 3.(7)ESTEVEZ 4.(6)BLUMARINE

RACE EIGHTH
14 SET ALIGHT 85
3 DANCING DYNAMITE 85
11 ICEBREAKER 80
13 RIYASAT 79
2 AUTONOMY 68


The best Average last four run time is JOINTLY of ICEBREAKER & SET ALIGHT followed by that of DANCING DYNAMITE.On track AUTONOMY, DANCING DYNAMITE, FANTASTIC QUEST, STAR PRESENTATION,ABS FABS, ICEBREAKER & SET ALIGHT are good.On ipr and overall performance ANTONIOS , FALCON CREST, FANTASTIC QUEST , GO GUZZI GO, STAR PRESENTATION & TELSTAR look difficult. DANCING DYNAMITE, JUVENTUS,RIYASAT , SET ALIGHT & VEERA WANG have consistently improved.AUTONOMY, ICEBREAKER & NORA have reasonably improved.On rating analysis ICEBREAKER & RIYASAT have a decent chance.

1.(11)ICE BREAKER 2 .(13)RIYASAT 3.(14)SET ALIGHT 4.(3)DANCING DYNAMITE

RACE NINTH
7 WARCRAFT 88
14 RED CLOUD 86
12 FLAMING ARROW 84
3 THE TEMPEST 74
1 HYMNS TO FREEDOM 62


The best Average last four run time is of WARCRAFT followed by that of HYMNS TO FREEDOM .On track MONARCHOS & HIGHLAND FLAME are good.On ipr and overall performance KATANIA, ALASKA,FIDEL DEFENSOR,JANNEMAN & UPROAR look difficult.ONUS PROBANDI, ZEN & AMADOMIO also may at best place.STEFANO & KATANIA have reasonably improved

1.(12)FLAMING ARROW 2 .(7)WARCRAFT 3.(2) STEFANO 4.(14)RED CLOUD

RACE TEN
9 THE GIANT 81
11 HIGHLAND QUEST 77
10 GIFT OF GRACE 73
3 CHANDELIER 71
6 FLYING SPIRIT 63


The best Average last four run time is of THE GIANT followed by that of CHANDELIER.On track ELEGANTE & ALEXUS are good.On ipr and overall performance SAARAH looks difficult.WHITE HART LANE, THE GIANT & HIGLAND QUEST have consistently improved.CHANDELIER has reasonably improved.

1.(2)WHITE HART LANE 2 .(7)ALEXUS 3.(9)THE GIANT 4.(5)ELEGANTE

Friday, April 10, 2009

MUMBAI DERBY - 12.4.09

Looks like it will be a fantastic race to watch.There is a small element of doubt about SET ALIGHT in my mind.It may win but on ratings, workings, timings it does not look invincible.

I am not rating ABS FABS too high but i feel that ICEBREAKER , RIYASAT can challenge SET ALIGHT. In my ratings SET ALIGHT shares the top rating with DANCING DYNAMITE.

DANCING DYNAMITE on the rating has a chance but looks tough but in racing you never know. AUTONOMY also does not look good and may be able to only place.

NORA with the improvement can cause a major flutter.JUVENTUS too can cause an upset.VEERA WANG also cannot be overlooked when you are looking for horses to place in the first four.
All in all it is not easy to nominate the first 3 or the first 4 , especially if SET ALIGHT looses.

The above horses do have a chance.DO put your selections with the above shortlisted in mind.

I am going to take a small chance by eating SET ALIGHT & also the JODI of SET ALIGHT & AUTONOMY. This chance cannot be taken in a large scale for obvious reasons but a small one is definitely worth

Wish you the very best

SWAMY

MUMBAI 11.4.09 SELECTIONS & OBSERVATIONS

RACE ONE
3 DEVILITTO 91
7 MODESTY 75
9 BEACON LIGHT 68
8 PERSIAN POWER 66
2 SOLOR 64


On track CRESCENDO, SOLOR, NYMPH , PERSIAN POWER & BEACON LIGHT are OK.On ipr and overall performance CRESCENDO, NYMPH & MORALITY looks difficult.The best Average last four run time is of MODESTY followed by that of DEVILITTO.SOLOR has consistently improved.

1.(3)DEVILITTO 2 .(2)SOLOR 3.(7)MODESTY 4.(9)BEACON LIGHT

RACE TWO
6 SLICKKIT 88
1 COURAGE UNDER FIRE 88
3 GOLDEN KINGDOM 75
9 BLADES OF GLORY 64
10 REAL DREAM 61


On track COURAGE UNDER FIRE, GOLDEN KINGDOM & SHABDEEZ are good.On ipr and overall performance SUDDEN IMPACT,SHABDEEZ & ADDICTION look difficult.BLADES OF GLORY also looks at best a place.The best Average last four run time is of SLICKKIT followed by that of COURAGE UNDER FIRE.REAL DREAM & COURAGE UNDER FIRE have decently improved.

1.(3)GOLDEN KINGDOM 2 .(1)COURAGE UNDER FIRE 3.(10)REAL DREAM 4.(6)SLICKKIT

RACE THREE
5 SUCCESSOR 90
1 AURORA AUREALIS 79
6 II DIVO 76
4 PREMIER QUEEN 52
2 ALVIDA 39


The best Average last four run time is of SUCCESSOR followed by that of AURORA AUREALIS.On track AURORA AUREALIS, SUCCESSOR,II DIVO & ZARZAITINE are good.On ipr and overall performance ALVIDA & ZARZAITINE look difficult.THE RISING & PREMIER QUEEN have decently improved

1.(5)SUCCESSOR 2 .(6)II DIVO 3.(4)PREMIER QUEEN 4.(1)AURORA AUREALIS

RACE FOUR
9 LYRICAL LASS 88
11 WHISPERING WILLOWS 85
2 BATTLE FURY 84
7 CINQUECENTO 72
10 SENTIMENTS 60


The best Average last four run time of previous runners is of WHISPERING WILLOWS followed by that of LYRICAL LASS .On track BATTLE FURY, SMOKING ACES, TUDOR REGENT, BLESSINGS, LYRICAL LASS, SENTIMENTS & WHISPERING WILLOWS are good.On ipr and overall performance TUDOR REGENT looks difficult.CINQUECENTO also looks at best a place

1.(11)WHISPERING WILLOWS 2 .(9)LYRICAL LASS 3.(2)BATTLE FURY 4.(10)SENTIMENTS

RACE FIVE
9 ECSTATICA 90
2 CEST BON 89
6 EAGLE MOUNTAIN 78
5 SHARP MEMORY 72
11 FIRE VAULT 59


The best Average last four run time is of CEST BON followed by that of EAGLE MOUNTAIN.On track TYUMEN, EAGLE MOUNTAIN,ECSTATICA,FIRE VAULT & BLAU HIMMEL are good.On ipr and overall performance BONNY LIGHT, TOMMY CARMICHAEL,FIRE VAULT,MORPHEUS & BLAU HIMMEL look difficult.ADAMS PLEASURE has consistently improved.ADAMS PLEASURE also looks only a place.

1.(2)CEST BON 2 .(9)ECSTATICA 3.(6)EAGLE MOUNTAIN 4.(7)ADAMS PLEASURE

RACE SIX
7 RED ROMEO 96
11 ENCELEDUS 71
8 SPIRITUALL 68
3 ESCRAVOS 67
1 AVEC PLAISIR 61


The best Average last four run time is of ENCELEDUS followed by that of AVEC PLAISIR .On track BALTHAZAAR, RED ROMEO & MAJOR ROBERTS are good.On ipr and overall performance RIVER DANCER & BALTHAZAAR look difficult.SHYBOY & COVENANT also may at best place.RED ROMEO, CALL TO ARMS & ENCELEDUS have decently improved

1.(7)RED ROMEO 2 .(8)SPIRITUALL 3.(11)ENCELEDUS 4.(3)ESCRAVOS

RACE SEVEN
2 ARTS 87
5 TOPKAPI 86
1 FOREST FLAIR 78
7 MIGHTY CRUSADER 65
6 AMORE MIO 51


The best Average last four run time is of TOPKAPI followed by that of ARTS.On track FOREST FLAIR,BOURBON BAY,SEA OF KISSES,MIGHTY CRUSADER & RIVER MINSTREL are good.On ipr and overall performance BOURBON BAY looks difficult.

1.(1)FOREST FLAIR 2.(5)TOPKAPI 3.(2)ARTS 4.(7)MIGHTY CRUSADER

RACE EIGHTH
6 BUSTER 84
8 BLADE RUNNER 73
4 PRETTY COMMISSION 73
3 GENTLE KNIGHT 59
2 CATALYST 58


The best Average last four run time is of BLADE RUNNER followed by that of BUSTER .On track MYSTERIOUS STAR & PATEK PHILIPPE are good.On ipr and overall performance PATEK PHILIPPE,TRUE ELEGANCE and TSESEBE look difficult.TRUE ELEGANCE has decently improved.

1.(3)GENTLE KNIGHT 2 .(4)PRETTY COMMISSION 3.(8)BLADE RUNNER 4.(6)BUSTER

RACE NINTH
1 SADDLERS RULE 94
3 TROMOS 72
9 NARA 70
8 ORIENTAL JEWEL 65
5 ES SIDER 54


The best Average last four run time is of SADDLERS RULE followed by that of MAGICAL MANTRA .On track TROMOS is good.On ipr and overall performance FLO NIGHTINGALE, DUTCH ART & SHANGHAI GAL look difficult.TROMOS has decently improved

1.(3)TROMOS 2 .(1)SADDLERS RULE 3.(6)MAGICAL MANTRA 4.(4)DUTCH ART
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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.


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