Sunday, July 20, 2008

Active Ratings - Bangalore 20th.

Race 1
EXCELLENT ABILITY 100
SNOW PRINCE 77
BURNING AMBITIONS 75
SUNNY COLOURS 71

Race 2
ASIATICUS 92
ON A ROLL 90
ORIGINALITY 89
PERFECT RHYTHM 88

Race 3
ABS FABS 97
UNSEEDED STAR 96
FOREVER MARK 92
GREENS 70

Race 4
GRAND MADAME 96
DOUBLE ELITE 94
AGASSIZ 85
SPARK OF EXCELLENCE 78

Race 5
BRAHMAPUTRA 95
RHAPSIDION SNOW 94
ELUSIVE STUDY 87
CORAL GABLES 86

Race 6
APPERTAIN 96
SHISHAM 91
BADDA RUPAIYYA 88
POWERFUL DREAMS 87

Race 7
ZIGGY STARDUST 100
PRINCESS EMILY 78
TRAFALGAR SQUARE 77
CORUS 71

Race 8
SOUTH PARADISE 98
ANOOSHEEK 94
REFRESH 92
STAR NEWS 81

Good bets: EXCELLENT ABILITY & ZIGGY STARDUST
Good luck.

SELECTIONS BANGALORE 20.7.08

RACE ONE

1.(8)JERSEY ROCK 2 .(2)THE LAST SAMURAI 3.(7) ANGEL FIELD
4 ( 3 ) BURNING AMBITIONS


THE LAST SAMURAI AND ANGEL FIELD ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN & SNOW PRINCE AND REDSHIFT ARE AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.RED SHIFT AND ANGEL FIELD ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.THE OPTIONS ARE SUNNY COLOURS , BURNING AMBITIONS, EXCELLENT ABILITY AND JERSEY ROCK.THE IPR OF THE LAST SAMURAI AT 101.52 IS BETTER THAN THAT OF JERSEY ROCK BUT AS IT IS AVOIDABLE FOR TRAINER I WOULD PREFER JERSEY AS CHRISTOPHER HAS HIS SOFT CORNER FOR ESHWAR.SUNNY,ANGEL & EXCELLENT CAN PLACE.BURNING HAS A CHANCE.SNOW PRINCE AND REDSHIFT CAN BE IGNORED.TAKE A SMALL CHANCE ON ANGEL PLACE.JERSEY IF AT GOOD ODDS FOR PLACE CAN BE PLAYED

RACE TWO

1.(7)ORIGINALITY 2 .(3)SUGAR BLAZE 3.(6)ON A ROLL 4.(8)ASIATICUS

INDIA SHINING IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.INDIA SHINING IS THE ONLY HORSE WHICH IS AVOIDABLE ALSO DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR. THE OPTIONS ARE THEREFORE PERFECT RHYTHM, TOP OF THE CLASS,SUGAR BLAZE, AFEA,ON A ROLL, ORIGINALITY AND ASIATICUS.PERFECT, TOP OF THE CLASS ARE WOEFULLY OUT OF FORM.INDIA SHINING CAN ALSO PROBABLY AT BEST FINISH 3RD OR 4TH.ON PREVIOUS RUNS ORIGINALITY IS TOO GOOD WITH CHALLENGE ONLY FROM SUGAR BLAZE AND TO SOME EXTENT FROM ON A ROLL.AFEA & ASIATICUS CAN FIGHT FOR PLACE

RACE THREE

1.(9)GREENS 2 .(3)FOREVER MARK 3.(6)ABS FABS 4.(1)UNSEEDED STAR

HELLO HAPPINESS AND LIBERTY SPEAKS ARE AVOIDABLE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR EVEN FOR PLACE.THE OPTIONS ARE UNSEEDED STAR, EDM0NDO,FOREVER MARK, SUPERLATIVO,ABS FABS, AHIRA AND GREENS.ON TRACK FORM ABS FABS IS BEST BUT ON IPR GREENS LOOKS GOOD.WITH PUTTANA FAILING ON SATURDAY, HE MAY GO ALL OUT ON GREENS.THE IPR OF FOREVER IS BETTER THAN THAT OF ABS.LIBERTY CAN BE IGNORED AND SO TOO HELLO HAPPINESS.UNSEEDED MAY NEED THE RUN.EDMANDO & SUPERLATIVO MAY NOT EVEN PLACE.AHIRA CAN AT BEST PLACE.GREENS CAN BE PLAYED PLACE IF ODDS ARE GOOD

RACE FOUR

1.(1)AGASSIZ 2 .(6)DOUBLE ELITE 3.(7)THUNDERS ROAR 4.(5)STAR OF EXCELLENCE

RAPIDO GONZALES AND THUNDERS ROAR ARE AVOIDABLE FOR EVEN PLACE AND DOUBLE ELITE IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO JOCKEYS FACTOR.THE OPTIONS ARE AGASSIZ, GRAND MADAME,SPARK OF ELEGANCE & STAR OF EXCELLENCE.THUNDERS HAS THE BEST IPR FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY AGASSIZ BUT THUNDERS IS IGNORED DUE TO JOCKEY.RAPIDO CAN BE IGNORED.GRAND MAY ONLY PLACE.SPARK LOOKS DOUBTFUL. STAR OF EXCELLENCE HAS A DECENT CHANCE.DOUBLE ELITE MAY AGAIN PLACE.

RACE FIVE

1.(1)DIEGO RIVIERA 2 .(6)WOMAN ON TOP 3.(4)BADGE OF GOLD 4.(10)ROMANTIC GETAWAY

SPLENDID SURPRISE AND CORAL GABLES ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.JET FIRE IS AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO JOCKEYS FACTOR.THE OPTIONS ARE DIEGO RIVERA, BRAHMAPUTRA,BADGE OF GOLD, WONDER SMILE,WOMAN ON TOP, RHAPSIDION,ELUSIVE STUDY AND ROMANTIC GETAWAY.RHAPSIDION,ELUSIVE CAN BE IGNORED.BRAHMAPUTRA AND JET FIRE,WONDER SMILE AND CORAL GABLES MAY ONLY PLACE.SPLENDID HAS A SMALL CHANCE.DIEGO,BADGE OF GOLD,WOMAN ON TOP AND ROMANTIC SHOULD FIGHT. ON THE BETTER IPR DIEGO GETS THE FIRST CHOICE

RACE SIX

1.(7)HIDALGO 2 .(5)BADA RUPAIYYA 3.(9)SHISHAM 4.(4)APPERTAIN

POWERFUL DREAMS, DAMGOOD AND SERIOUS WARRIOR ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN & BRAVE ARJUN IS AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.DAMGOOD AND BADA RUPAIYYA ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN & ECUADOR, BRAVE ARJUN AND MASURATHI IS AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.THE OPTIONS ARE APPERTAIN,HIDALGO, ILLUSIVE GIRL,SHISHAM AND MISS PUKKA.BRAVE ARJUN & ILLUSIVE GIRL HAVE NO CHANCE WHATSOVER.ECUADOR, POWERFUL,DAMGOOD,SERIOUS WARRIOR,MISS PUKKA HAVE ONLY A PLACE CHANCE.APPERTAIN. BADA RUPAIYYA,HIDALGO AND SHISHAM SHOULD FIGHT FOR WIN.MASURATHI CAN AT BEST PLACE.

RACE SEVEN

1.(6)EVENT HORIZON 2 .(3)WHISPER VALLEY 3.(1)PRINCESS EMILY 4.(2)TRAFALGAR SQUARE

FANTABULOUS HERO AND JAYA MASI ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.PRINCESS EMILY AND WHISPER VALLEY IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN & DARE YOU DO IS AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.THE OPTIONS ARE TRAFALGAR SQUARE,EVENT HORIZON,CORUS,COUELLE AND ZIGGY STARDUST.CORUS, COUELLE,ZIGGY & DARE YOU DO CAN BE IGNORED.JAYA MASI MAY AT BEST PLACE.FANTABULOUS HAS LOST FORM.PRINCESS,TRAFALGAR,WHISPER VALLEY & EVENT HORIZON SHOULD FIGHT.

RACE EIGHT

1.(5)STAR NEWS 2 .(11)DON CHERRY 3.(12)SOLDIER BLUE 4.(6)NEW PASTURES

REFRESH, SOUTH PARADISE AND ANOOSHEEK ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN & ASTRO FUTURE IS AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.SOUTH PARADISE AND ASTRO FUTURE ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN & NEW PASTURES, DON CHERRY AND SOLDIER BLUE ARE AVOIDABLE FOR EVEN PLACE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.THE OPTIONS ARE SIMPLY DANGEROUS, STAR NEWS, MAAHI VE AND DANTES PEAK.MAAHI VE, ASTRO FUTURE AND DANTES PEAK CAN BE IGNORED.REFRESH AND SOUTH PARADISE ,SIMPLY DANGEROUS LOOKS A PLACE ONLY.THE UNLUCKY STAR NEWS,ANOOSHEEK, THE IMPROVED NEW PASTURES,DON CHERRY AND SOLDIER BLUE SHOULD FIGHT.

DAYS BEST NIL

BEST OF LUCK

GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY

ONE 8 PLACE
THREE 9 PLACE
SIX 7 PLACE
EIGHT 12 PLACE

BTC CUP Open affair.

a few Owners managed races on saturday.May not repeat on SUNDAY.


Choice of Bets would vary if race time odds are not favorable.

My Choice is not definitely the best horse in the race.Kindly note that it is just my preference based on the odds.


1.Sunny Colors ; not here.
2.Last Sammurai ; big time gamble failed when Thunders Roar beat this colt at the post.With the penalty seems a lost cause at this weight.
3.Burning Ambitions ; Lucky winner in previous outing.But with Chethana , i would prefer to SKIP.
4.Snow Prince ;can do well.If in the place odds are reasonable One could take a chance.
5.Excellent Ability ; bred to stay ,has always met one better.Should do well.Owner picked up race on saturday and is in line for a double.
6.Red Swift ; point with all b class trainers is they rarely let the Horse do well upto its potential.Either a bad rider or lack of fitness is the issue.The Horse has the capability to WIN but not sure if it will be tried.
8.Jersey Rock :Has the CLASS to WIN.Is better placed on handicap compared to Last Sammurai.Definitely a good each way BET.

Choice is : Jersey Rock


Top of the Class :
Has run with much better company.Can upset.
Sugar Blaze :
no consistency in performance from this stable.
Afea :
not in this set.
On a Roll ;
Was SHOCKED at the post by Long Shot LAVA.Looks difficult here.
Originality ;
Chettinad Stud Stakes ??? No track work , but some activity seen in swimming.Not worth a BET at the odds offered.
Asiaticus :
Favorably placed on handicap.Last run with top weight was forward.if the same is repeated a LIVE threat.

Choice is : Asiaticus and Top of the Class.

Unsucceded Star : a WIN on Debut is very unlikely.
Edmondo :Tracking well , keep an eye.
Forever Mark ; Will definitely place .If the odds are lucrative Good each way bet.
Abs Fabs : Sorry not here.Looked outstanding in the earlier run but that was against a different set of opponents but was given a terrible ride.John cant handle it any better.
Ahira : Sibling of Sugar Blaze which in class 2.Last ride was pathetic due to relative jockey merit.Lots of track work after previous run.
Greens : is superior but at times jockey is found lacking in that extra effort.

Choice is AHIRA and Forever Mark.


This race we have only 7 Horses and only 2 place DIVIDEND.

Aggassiz : over worked.
Grand Madame : Long LAYOFF by racing standards and then to top it a race for a 3 year old over 2200 is something I cant relate to.
Spark of Elegance ; rarely have i come across off springs of Warrshan tried over this distance.Well it seems that the Trainer and Owner are confident of its capabilities.
Double Elite : gift race was not utilized in previous outing.Change of Jockey is not going to bring out change in fortune.
Thunders Roar : Suraj Narredu weighs 50 kgs and hence choice of Jockey is a mystery as Jagadesh struggles even in Mysore.

Choice is : Eat favorite let anyone WIN.

Diego Rivera : the presence of Owners and previous effort may lead to this horse being fancied but at this distance iam not convinced.SORRY.
Splendid Surprise : Tracking extremely well but again a Mile would have been preferred though It can do well over furlongs also.
Brahmaputra : should have been retained at Delhi.not here.
Badge of Gold : failed favorite when carrying 63 kgs , the lower handicap can help the Horse to some extent.
Wonder Smile : very very difficult.
Woman on Top : Can compensate for TOMSK.However the bad draw could affect its chances.
Coral Gables :8 year old competing against some youngsters of repute.
Rhapdision Snow : last run was very bad but that can be explained by the rains and underfot conditions .Is a one paced Horse.
Elusive Study : was full of running in Dancing Highness race , choice of Jockey is deceptive.My choice for PLACE.
Romantic Getaway :unplaced for ONE YEAR even in Mysore and Kolkatta yet came with a flourish carrying top weight to finish a commendable 2 nd to LION HEART.Positive change of equipment seen but CONSISTENCY is the main factor to be considered.Not here.
Jet Fire : B Paswan ????

Choice is : Elusive Study place.Badge of Gold each way.


bad race

Powerful Dreams : 1400 , 62.5 kgs top weight is negative any day irrespective of the quality of opposition.
Dam GOOD : at best 3 rd.
Appertain :
Odds are for the WEIGHT.Can repeat.
Badda Rupaiyya :
after the super effort through Gnaneshwar now entrusted to Bhagawat .Intention is to bring down the handicap .May not even place over the next 5/6 months.
Hidalgo :
Ran last week.If you had seen some potential then take a chance.
Illusive Girl :
not again.
Shisham :
Ghatala and Shinde have been taking punters on a merry go round.

Choice is : Damgood Place.


Vb race but Whisper Valley looks good and can WIN.
Couelle
can Place as most runners have no inclination to run on merits going by choice of jockeys.


Refresh : Could have picked a race in class 3 easily,Demoted hastily .No chance at 62 kilos.
South Paradise : tracking well but again top weight .Will place for sure.
Star News :belated effort in Kandiate race.Ring prices will give some indication.
Anoosheek : not here.
Dantes Peak : 4 Year old making debut.


Choice is : South Paradise each way.



Place bets :

Jersey Rock , Asiaticus , Ahira , Elusive Study , Damgood , South Paradise.

Likely Winners :

Whisper Valley , Star News , Excellent Ability and Woman on Top.


Negative :

Abs fabs , On a Roll , Grand Madame , Trafalgar Square.


Good day ,

Saturday, July 19, 2008

SWAMYBABU RATING POINTS 20.7.08 BANGALORE

THE 7TH RACE RATINGS HAVE BEEN CHANGED.

RACE ONE

8 JERSEY ROCK 96
5 EXCELLENT ABILITY 83
7 ANGEL FIELD 71
2 THE LAST SAMURAI 56
4 SNOW PRINCE 49


RACE TWO

3 SUGAR BLAZE 77
8 ASIATICUS 74
4 AFEA 69
7 ORIGINALITY 67
5 INDIA SHINING 50


RACE THREE

6 ABS FABS 87
7 AHIRA 78
3 FOREVER MARK 74
9 GREENS 74
8 LIBERTY SPEAKS 54


RACE FOUR

6 DOUBLE ELITE 82
1 AGASSIZ 78
5 STAR OF EXCELLENCE 63
3 RAPIDO GONZALES 60
4 SPARK OF ELEGANCE 50


RACE FIVE

4 BADGE OF GOLD 87
7 CORAL GABLES 84
3 BRAHMAPUTRA 70
5 WONDER SMILE 65
6 WOMAN ON TOP 61


RACE SIX

4 APPERTAIN 86
9 SHISHAM 86
12 MISS PUKKA 74
7 HIDALGO 74
1 ECUADOR 63


RACE SEVEN

3 WHISPER VALLEY 85
5 FANTABULOUS HERO 80
6 EVENT HORIZON 71
1 PRINCESS EMILY 70
2 TRAFALGAR SQUARE 65


RACE EIGHT

12 SOLDIER BLUE 84
11 DON CHERRY 84
2 SOUTH PARADISE 74
7 ANOOSHEEK 73
1 REFRESH 64

WATCH OUT FOR PUTTANNA- KRISHNAN COMBINATION

WATCH OUT FOR THE COMBINATION MORE SO ON 20.7.08.

ON 19.7.08 NOBLE GUEST , NORBERT & SUPER SONIC FAILED.

ON 20.7.08 THEY HAVE A CHANCE ON STAR OF EXCELLENCE AND STAR NEWS .THE BEST CHANCE IS ON GREENS

SWAMY

BNG 19TH JULY

BANGALORE 19TH JULY 2008

TODAYS SELECTIONS

IST RACE 6.ONE 8.FANTASTIC FLAME
1.GRIS RAPIDE 4.WAY TO FANTASY

2ND 2.AFFIRMED CROWN 5.GLORIOUS PRINCESS
3.FIRE ZONE 6.CHIMERIQUE

3RD 2.LADY BANKS 8.FIRE OF JOY
6.CLOUSEAU 3.BAFFLED

4TH 2.COTSWOLD ARMS 4.ANGELIQUE
3.ARTURO 6.FRIENDLY FIRE

5TH 1.TOMSK 8.SAFARI
2.CELESTIAL SON 4.LYCIA FALCON

6TH 8.ZAFAR 10. READ MY MIND
7.ADORABELLA 11.CALISTA

7TH 1.TOUCH OF MAGIC 5.VOICE OF INDIA
3.YOU BEAUTY 10.LIVE IT UP

8TH 9.SUNNYLAND 7.BALLERINA GIRL
10,SUPER SONIC 5.ENFORCER

GOOD BETS 1/6 ONE 3 /2 LADY BANKS
5/1 TOMSK 7/1 TOUCH OF MAGIC



BANGALORE UPSET SELECTIONS.

THIS IS ONLY FOR THOSE WHO DONT LIKE FAVOURITES

I ST 8 1 4
2ND 5 3 6
3RD 8 /12 / 7 6
4TH 1 6 2 4
5TH 8 2 4 7
6TH 11/ 7 8 1
7TH 5 3/ 10 / 4
8TH 2 5 9


ALL THE BEST

RAJ
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Swamy








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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.


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