Both the main events for the Day wear an open look.These are My views ;
First Race :
Sangoma : How many times to follow ?? Winning Post seems nearer in this field.
Raging Chenb : Not advisable to back horses from this stable.I doubt even for PLACE.
Melba : Distance suspect.But seems ok on handicap and tracks.May place if the others tire out.
Armanita : Seen recently in tracks ,may need this run.
Temptation : Was hooked last time with Top Jockey.Not sure of intentions.Better to skip.Shelar has ZERO record for past 2 years.
Rising Princess : Nil Chance
Tribal Warrior : can do well as this Horse usually comes from way off the pace.
Second Race :
Silent Presence : Genuine class 2 Horse.Last outing run was very good considering long layoff.Can do well.Punters who have confidence in Aadesh Kumar can bet.
Our Excellence : One WIN in a terms race last season and NOW in CLASS 2 ?? has been an expensive failure after initial debut.Lost to Astrea and Regal Connexion both of whom are Highly rated.But a run after 7 months is something one cant understand.If it Wins , fine but it would be safer to avoid a bet this time around.
ARKHOS and WILD Temper : both are in with a chance.
Native Strategy : can never say .A long lead and the race may be over.
Third Race :
Samarkhand : If the Horse has travelled well from Hyderabad , look no further.
Orphues : unlikely to trouble the bookies.
Romantic Scene : Lucky last time .May repeat .Results in races with few runners are sometimes very difficult to predict.
World War Three : Choice of Jockey is not positive.
Rockefeller : Strategically placed in this race.Class 3 Winner ?? running in class ONE.Only a Miracle can see this Horse WINNING though the handicap favours the Horse.
Fourth Race :
Set Alight : Horses with LUCK factor usually dont last long . The Filly seems way ahead of the rest of the runners but being a Horse Race one cant be certain of anything.After winning at Longer odds on both occasions the Filly will be running at odds of 70 paisa or so . It MAY WIN but does not merit a bet at those ODDS.
AURORA AURELALIS : finished a dismal last when Set Alight WON but ran a great race to finish 3 rd in the PBM at lucrative odds for PLACE.Was seen tiring in the closing stages over 1400.So looks difficult.
BARBARA : Why here ?? No idea.
Gleaming Sky : Has travesed the MILE and also finished 5 th to Red ROmeo on Debut.Has the capability to put it across Set Aside.
Liberty Speaks : Came off the pace to finish 4 th in previous outing .May be difficult here.
Rattle : LONG Shot for place.
Riyasat : Must have improved substancially to come into the reckoning.Last run was Dismal.Trainer 's record is mediocre.
Secret Glory : Can shine.Genuine miler.
Fifth Race :
Restricted to WalKing Tall , Pacemaker , Almarina and Stellar Affair.Luck of the draw might decide the Winner.
Sixth race :
Red Romeo : is :conceding weight , running over a mile for the first time , was seen tiring over 1400 in previous outing.So inspite of competing with Horses which have WON Just one race , it is not going to be easy.
ARKTHOUROS : Winner with Neeraj , now entrusted to Alford .That says it all . Last run was most impressive but alford makes the difference.
Blue Ray : One good impressive Win on debut .Well bred and also tracking well .Has a chance.
Flaming Ace : Not here.
Highland Crown : Non winners rarely WIN when competing against previous outing Winners.Very well bred abd tracking well.May place.
Juventus : for reasons mentioned above , Winning seems doubtful . Place seems certain.
Raghuvansh : is bred to stay.Tracking well after previous WIN.Is the Horse to beat.GOOD EACH WAY BET.
Southern Summit : Has a lot of potential .Finished credible 6 th when Red Romeo ended 2 nd .Seems a good bet .But again how many horses to back ????
Star Sceptre : Why here ????? MAM.
RAGHUVANSH , JUVENTUS , BLUE RAY are my choices.
Seventh Race :
Honey Day : Place only.
Refuse to Bend : Aadesh Kumar for Sunderji seems a bit of a mystery.Horse has merit.But better to SKIP a WIN BET.
Ekofisk : at best place.
Mirror Image : Expected to do well.Keep an eye.At 8 to 1 and above , each way bet .
Romantic Agenda : Why fancied ???
Last race :Cabinda , Constantia , Landlord , Flying Rock , Sharapova : All FIVE BOARD OUT.
Of the rest 4 Horses , anyone can WIN.Avoid the First favorite at race time and back One among the rest.
Good day,
Shyam
GOOD LOGIC.LETS SEE WHAT HAPPENS
ReplyDeleteSWAMY