Wednesday, November 26, 2008

OBSERVATIONS HYDERABAD 27.11.08

RACE ONE

The best WIN % is of SPECTACULAR FALCON followed by that of METICULOUS and the best Place % is of METICULOUS followed JOINTLY by that of SPECTACULAR FALCON AND REALTOR.The maximum winners over this distance is of Realtor who is the only horse to have travelled this distance and has won in its only appearance.In fact Only Meticulous and realtor have won over 2000-2200 mtrs( Once each). It is pertinent to note that Jockey A Imran Khan is riding for S Abbas & Nitin S for Satheesh In this race Realtor is trained by S Abbas.Adjustments are possible.

RACE TWO

The best WIN % is of Nano War followed by that of Regents Park and the best Place % is of Vijayam followed followed by that of Regents Park.The maximum winners over this distance is Jointly that of Nano war and Cannon treasure .TIME ON has a decent place% of 62.5 ( 5 of 8 times) over this distance. DREAM COUNSELIS AVOIDABLE FOR EVEN PLACE AND DRUM DANCE IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO JOCKEY PERFORMANCE IN CURRENT SEASON.VIJAYAM IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.TRAINER LAXMAN SINGH EVEN THOUGH IN WIN CATEGORY HAS BEEN HAVING A DISMAL SEASON.LOOKS LIKE HIS STARS ARE NOT FAVOURABLE. BETTER TO AVOID HIS MOUNTS TILL IMPROVEMENT IS SHOWN.The 2nd and the 5th race are two divisions of the same Plate.

RACE THREE

NO HORSE HAS WON TILL NOW.ONLY CHESTNUT CHARMER AND ABOVE THE LINE HAVE PLACED BEFORE.5 HORSES ARE FIRST TIME RUNNERS.This is 2 yo race.The 3rd and the 4 th race are two divisions of the same Plate.

RACE FOUR

BOYANCE IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.BOYANCE AND CHEMELI ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.NO HORSE HAS WON TILL NOW.ONLY RIDE TO GLORY AND SCAMPER HAVE PLACED BEFORE.8 HORSES ARE FIRST TIME RUNNERS. The 3rd and the 4 th race are two divisions of the same Plate.

RACE FIVE

The best WIN % is of Vijaymarg followed by that of Golden Tricks and the best Place % is jointly of Classic Cruise and Embattled followed by that of Chief De Mission and Vijaymarg .The maximum winners over this distance is of VIJAYMARG.Chuef De Mission has placed in 4 of its 6 outings over this distance. I would hesitate to play win on this but would keep it in the JP.VIJAYMARG AND PUNJAB REGIMENT ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.The 2nd and the 5th race are two divisions of the same Plate.

RACE SIX

The best WIN % is of AL ZAHARA followed by that of PORTFOLIO and the best Place % is of KOHINOOR STAR followed by that of PORTFOLIO.The maximum winners over this distance is of Al Zahara followed by Portfolio.Fusion Music and Portfolio share the best place % over this distance with 44 %. FUSION MUSIC IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.The 6th and the 8th race are two divisions of the same Cup..With the in form Jockey declared ON Sugar Lady i would keep an eye on this horse.

RACE SEVEN

The best WIN % is of BOLD BLAST followed by that of CLASSIC ART and the best Place % is of BOLD BLAST followed by that of MISSION CHIEF .The maximum winners over this distance is of Lancashire followed by Classic Art .The best place % is of Fly By Wire by placing in 3 of its 4 runs which includes a win followed by Lancashire at 70.6 %.

RACE EIGHT

The best WIN % is of SUGAR GOLD followed by that of EASY MOVER and the best Place % is of SUGAR GOLD followed jointly by that of Royal Assembly and Vijay lakh .Star World, Easy Mover, Sugar Gold, Vijay Lakh and Fair Touch each have a win over this distance.Sugar Gold has the best place % of 60 % over this distance.QUEEN ALBA IS AVOIDABLE FOR EVEN PLACE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.VIJAYLAKH AND BONFIRE ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.The 6th and the 8th race are two divisions of the same Cup.

RACE NINE

The best WIN % is JOINTLY that of COSTA MESA and AMAZING ACT followed by that of HUNTING BOY and the best Place % is of AL MALAWI followed jointly by that of Page three and Sprint champ .None of the runners have raced in this distance before but for comparison if 1100 mtrs is taken then Costa Mesa, Amazing Act and Freak fantasy have each won once over the distance.The best place % over 1100 mtrs is of Sprint Champ followed by Al Malawi.FREAK FANTASY IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.HUNTING BOY AND AL MALAWI ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.


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