RACE ONE | |
IGNORE | NIL |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | Golden Time & Regal Soldier |
UPSETTERS | Rajas Pet,Encourager,Magnifique,Emphatic Victory,All Clear & Shahraan |
GOOD CHANCE | Gagan Star,Dominica,Samajdar & Queens Cruise |
SUGGESTED BET | NIL |
Gagan Star,Dominica,Samajdar & Queens Cruise should fight.Dominica has the best rating points.Queens Cruise has the best overall rating,SB NO and the least ET.Samajdar has the best 5 run average time and the 2nd best IPR tome.Gagan Star has the best IPR time.Emphatic Victory,Magnifique & Rajas Pet have won over this distance.Such variance gives a clear indication to avoid this race. | |
RACE TWO | |
IGNORE | Green Mist |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | Game Dancer |
UPSETTERS | Herculean,Party Tonite,Speedy Amigo,Hackett,Shoot Out,Ground Marshall & Time Flies |
GOOD CHANCE | Mountain Splendour,Getafix & Wynn |
SUGGESTED BET | NIL |
Mountain Splendour,Getafix & Wynn should fight.Getafix has the best IPR Time,SB NO & least ET.Wynn has the best overall rating, Rating points,best average time & best 5 run average time.Mountain Splendour has the 3rd best IPR Time.EXCEPT Herculean & Mountain Splendour all others have won pver this distance.This race is also AVOIDABLE. | |
RACE THREE | |
IGNORE | Golden Steps,Sailing Through & Noble Princess |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | Nasty Rider,Stone Warrior & Blue Zone |
UPSETTERS | Red Bud & Youre Scintillating |
GOOD CHANCE | Saphira,Jewel Lady,Signifies & Gambit |
SUGGESTED BET | NIL |
Saphira,Jewel Lady,Signifies & Gambit should fight.Significantly, only these four are winners and have also won over this distance.Saphirahas the best IPR time with 2nd best overall rating & 2 least ET coupled with shoe change.Jewel Lady has the best SB NO.Gambit has the best rating points and 2nd best IPR time.Signifies has the best overall rating, least ET NO,best 5 run & average time and the 3rd best IPR time.GAMBIT place could have been an option but for the enquiry when this Jockey rode on 27.9.13 | |
RACE FOUR | |
IGNORE | Mellonsdelight,Our Love & Rising Sun |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | Lake Of Magic & Sivanta |
UPSETTERS | Southern Master,Maverical & Click |
GOOD CHANCE | Taylor Made,A Game To Remember,Inspirator & Persian |
SUGGESTED BET | A Game To Remember-Place |
Taylor Made,A Game To Remember,Inspirator & Persian should fight.Taylor Made ( a place maiden) has the best rating points in addition to equipment change.Inspirator has the best IPR time and the least ET.A Game To Remember has the best SB NO,2nd best IPR Time,best overall rating points and the best 5 run IPR time.Persian has the best overall timing.Rising Sun,Persian,Click & Maverical though are not maidens , have not won over this distance.Southern Master & Taylor Made are maidens.A Game To Remember must place | |
RACE FIVE | |
IGNORE | NIL |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | Lagoona & Beautiful Green |
UPSETTERS | Hoourable Empress,Bronzino,Fight Your Way,Appy's Pride,Easy Go Lucky & Mother Ewa |
GOOD CHANCE | Deep Blue Sea,Azetic Star,Natural View & The Alchemist |
SUGGESTED BET | The Alchemist-Place |
Deep Blue Sea,Azetic Star,Natural View & The Alchemist should fight.Deep Blue Sea has the best IPR Time and the 2nd best 5 run IPR time but has not won over this distance.Azetic Star has the least ET and the 2nd best overall rating & overall time.The Alchemist & Azetic Star share the best rating points.The Alchemist also has the best overall rating, 2nd best IPR time,2 nd best ET apart from both the best average & 5 run average time.Azetic Star,The Alchemist,Appy's Pride & Bronzino are maidens.Natural View, Beautiful Green,Fight Your Way & Honourable Empress have won over this distance.Considering all factors The Alchemist appeals for place.Dr MAM seems to have an obsession with "S" shoes.Given a choice he may alsorun with "S" shoes | |
RACE SIX | |
IGNORE | Dance Of A General & Sunspirit |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | One Time Magic & Bucethalis |
UPSETTERS | Chronicle,Spark of Beauty,Raphire,Cool Approach & Wind Tunnel |
GOOD CHANCE | Spaniard,Sussex Downs & Mi Amor |
SUGGESTED BET | Mi Amor-Place |
Spaniard,Sussex Downs & Mi Amor should fight.One Time Magic,Spark Of Beauty,Raphire & Dance Of A General have not won over this distance.Spaniard has the best SB NO,Rating Points,Overall Rating,least ET,best average time & 2nd best 5run time.Mi Amor has the best IPR Time,3rd best SB No & 2nd best overall rating ,average time and rating points.Sussex Downs has the best 5 run time,2nd best SB NO,third rating points and IPR Time. | |
RACE SEVEN | |
IGNORE | NIL |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | Virat |
UPSETTERS | Maddox,Color Me,Nickel Chrome,Foswell,Wind Of Soul,Thoughts N Actions,Indian Bolt,Talisker & Bold Police |
GOOD CHANCE | Jersey Girl & Visionist |
SUGGESTED BET | Jersey Girl-Place |
Jersey Girl & Visionist are main contenders.Visionist is the only participant not to have won over this distance.Jersey Girl shares the best rating points with Visionist, has the best overall rating,Best SB NO,least ET ,3rd best IPR Time and 2nd best 5 run time.Visionist has the best IPR time,5 run & overall timing and is 2nd best overall.Thoughts N actions with the 4 rd best IPR Time & Bold Police with the 3rd best rating points & Overall rating are more likely than others to upset.Odds Willing Jersey Girl-Place is a good option | |
RACE EIGHT | |
IGNORE | Beauty Is Truth |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | Ace Badraan |
UPSETTERS | Perfect Soul,Turf Striker,Racing Ahead,Scenic Warrior,Czar of Romance & Southern Emperor |
GOOD CHANCE | Charlatan & Ace Bucephalas |
SUGGESTED BET | Charlatan |
Charlatan & Ace Bucephalas are main contenders.None of the runners have won oven this distance but Charlatan,Racing Ahead & Turf Striker have placed.Charlatan has the best IPR time,SB NO,Overall rating,5 run time and the least ET. | |
RACE NINE | |
IGNORE | Sweet Surrender & Salsa Touch |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | Dauntless |
UPSETTERS | Migrolino,Starlight Magic,Decorated,Scenic Blast,Huckleberry Finn & Brigades Supreme |
GOOD CHANCE | Impedimenta,Mark Of Genius & Wild Nexus |
SUGGESTED BET | Impedimenta-Place |
Impedimenta,Mark Of Genius & Wild Nexus should fight.Salsa Touch is the only runner to have not won over this distance.Impedimenta has the best IPR time,least ET,best overall performance and the 2nd best rating points apart from the best 5 run & overall time.Mark Of Genius has the best rating points, 2nd best IPR time and overall rating,change of shoes & the 2nd best overall time.Wild nexus has the best SB NO. | |
RACE TEN | |
IGNORE | Byronic & Sweet November |
ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT | La Piperi,Tony Montana & Glimmers Magic Man |
UPSETTERS | Rakshita,One Two Ka Four & Shades Of Scarlet |
GOOD CHANCE | Hillton,For Your Eyes Only,Cherry Hinton & Black Dragon |
SUGGESTED BET | Hillton-Place |
Hillton,For Your Eyes Only,Cherry Hinton & Black Dragon should fight.Only Shades Of Scarlet & Hillton have won before and has also won over this distance.All others are maidens with a first time runner also in action.Black Dragon has the best rating,overall rating,SB NO,least ET & last 5 run best time but has change of shoes and had a bad previous run.Hillton has the best IPR time & 2nd best SB NO and overall rating.Cherry Hinton has done aything worthwhile but has change of shoes.Rakshita with the 2nd best IPR time can upset.For Your Eyes Only has the best overall time and the 2nd best rating points.The best bet seems to be Hillton-Place |
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With Respect to speculative investment our selections are based on a scientific rationale with understanding of the "HUMAN FACTOR" intervention.
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Sunday, October 20, 2013
MYSORE DERBY DAY- DETAILED ANALYSIS
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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.
We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.
Mathematics by itself does not work whenever human involvement is there.
An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.
The blog can be accessed by all and no invitation is necessary
We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.
Mathematics by itself does not work whenever human involvement is there.
An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.
The blog can be accessed by all and no invitation is necessary
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