Thursday, March 27, 2008

ACTIVE RATINGS of todays runners.

Race 1
PREMIER DIVA 92
MOBARRAS 89
OPERA ROYALE 87
GUSTI ELGI 67

Race 2
SHAKTHIMAN 88
LOVELY FEELINGS 83
THE RIGHT MAN 78

Race 3
BLUE BLAZE 96
FIGHTING FANTASY 83
POMME DE TERRE 66

Race 4
DYNAMIC CAT 94
CALL TO ARMS 92
WILD TEMPER 73

Race 5
BABE IN THE WOODS 93
ELEMENTO STYLE 81
FLAMING ARROW 80

Race 6
ATHENA 95
BEAU MONDE 91
AXIOLOGY 90
GENERALISSIMO 88

Race 7
BONNY LIGHT 93
MULTI CULTURAL 86
CHARLIE PARKER 71

14 comments:

G Swaminathan said...

Excellent Abel.Lets hope you do well.Heres wishing you the best

Swany

Anonymous said...

It will be better if you give some reason alongwith this ratinh to ascertain on which money is to put.
if this is not possible then please explain once how you are come to this rating .

RB said...

anonymous.....
abel is a very good handicapper and uses a form of speed rating to arrive at his figures.
the above involves sectional times and much more.
if you wish to follow the rating then you should accept it on face value, as he is a regular and amongst the intelligent contributers to this blog.

abeldraj said...

Dear All.
I am a strong follower of Rubin Boxer’s ENGINEERING ANALYSIS OF THOROUGHBRED RACING. Earlier I adopted the system of Andrew Beyer speed figures. But on experience of Indian racing, I felt Rubin Boxers theory is more adaptable to Indian conditions rather than any other foreign writers. But 22 equations of his is a Herculean task. It’s almost impossible within a specific time frame but possible if we can spend a lot of time in analyzing, by which time the races are practically over.
His time change per weight change and the extra distance traveled by a horse around a turn (especially Hyderabad’s sharp final bend) are accurate to Indian racing. For eg. CHARDIN in Race No. 246 after being 5 horses wide at the bend drifted out further to be 8 horses wide into the straight and according to Rubin Boxer, CHARDIN was forced to cover a longer distance of more than 4.71 lengths before losing to RED INDIAN by half a length. The wide at a circumference around a turn is much more than a diagonal wide in the straight. But our naked eye tends to give importance to the drift in straight.
Hence I felt to rate the horses according to their run in a race especially their positioning around a turn.
In the 3rd race BLUE BLAZE is rated at 96 just 4 short of the maximum 100 and the next horse, FIGHTING FANTASY, a debutant is rated at 83 based on track work, which means that BLUE BLAZE has a good chance to score.
In the 6th race all the 4 horses are closely grouped. BEAU MONDE after breaking a blood vessel finished a good 4th.
Hence Mr. Anonymous, I would request you to analyse the difference in ratings and play accordingly.

Anonymous said...

Very good,4 toprated and one 2nd toprated won out of seven.It shows that u have worked very hard and taken every little aspect into consideration.Please keep up the good work.A boon for jackpot hunters....Vinod vyas

abeldraj said...

Thanks Mr.Vinod,
As I said earlier, this is the first time that I am using rating formula.I wish to make some adjustments and calculations wherever necessary to move my score upwards.

Anonymous said...

A goog and positve sigen that another handicaper has come up with different way of making rating with speed but not on the basis of media and odd and i strongly feel this will work much better.

Anonymous said...

on comparing with rajgopal dfr rating and yours ratin in come to notice that 1st race top rated horse won both of yours
2nd race you both failed
3rd race again you both won top rated horse
4th race you failed but gopal 3rd rated won
5th race you bothe won your 2nd rated horse
6th race again both won first rated horse
7th race again both won first rated horse

now rajgopal is saying rwitc racing is not doing well and loger odds without any performed horsed are winning and if we compair to day result then it is in my openion horses won as per merit can you or he or any other punter who want a healthy discussion on this matter.

abeldraj said...

BU ATTIFEL’s last run on 20th March, 2008 was after a gap of 5 months. If F.A.Abbas is questioned, he would say that BU ATTIFEL required his last run because of the lay off where he finished 6th.As such BU ATTIFEL won on merit.

STAR O’WAR had already beaten CALL TO ARMS (see RB postings) and had won accordingly.
It is clear that both the horses had their day today and both of them won on merit.

In the last race BONNY LIGHT stumbled at the turn and then wriggled out of traffic jam in the straight and came on to win. This too was on merit inspite of being short priced.

abeldraj said...

Dear Members,
My ratings are based on the performance of a horse in a race together with the latest track work, if any. The maximum points that a horse can generate is 100.If I quote 100, then that horse should be a clear cut winner. Kindly note that MY RATINGS ARE NOT BASED ON ODDS or on MEDIA TIPS. Hope to get more 100’s.

Anonymous said...

I fell that you might have read the comments i would like to knoe that what axatelt the rating and what are the highest marks you are giving in that way we will even guess what is the actual potential of the horse. if let presume 100 is the higest rating then
d.d 92
bb-96
dc &cta 94-92 lost by head
at95
bol-93
indicates that horses havinh more then 90 rating and having other horses less then 80 rating are havinh more and more chances am i right.

Anonymous said...

As racing pulse has started new platorm of comparing the commen horses can you explain what exately is that and how to compair that.

abeldraj said...

Yes.The higher the rating, the better is its potential.

Anonymous said...

is there ant need to compair third rted or 4 th rated horse if the ratinh of those horses are much more low

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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