Thursday, January 31, 2008

Fry Day Choices

These are my views on the shortlisted races ;

1 st race.

Small field yet picking the Winner is a strenous task.I would ignore COMPTON STAR for absence of good saddle support and SUAVE for the Distance.Of the rest if NEIL Darashah injects the performance boosters then Badge of honor could WIN.As that is not in public domain , it is safe to avoid this Horse also.

Star of Excellence and Cherika can be considered based on prevailing odds.Rapido Gonsalves may find it difficult but cant rule it out.



4 th race .

The First competitive race seen in bangalore for Youngsters.Considering the stake money offered , Iam sure most of the Horses would be given a good ride.

Fleeting Arrow was the most impressive Winner amongst debutants and hence should get first preference.The Outside draw could prove some discomfort but the breeding of the Horse should take it through this 7 furlong trip.

Mind Me and Spark of Isis may find this distance a bit tough and hence avoidable.

Blood Stream is well bred but coming from Mysore and hence is a ???.

Clouseau was given a horrendous ride last time and can do well if the Jockey is upto the task.SHOULD easily Place.

Seiliger the debutant is tracking extremely well but can the Horse beat so many Winners.Doubtful.Should be the dark horse to Watch out for.

Excellent Ability was backed last time but was unable to deliver.Is well bred and can surprise.

Gentle Knight is from a top quality Sire and others may look ordinary but may need a very GOOD ride which cant be expected when the stable fancy is not this Horse.

Prince Ville is the Prefered Horse from the stable but choice of Jockey is not encouraging.The previous WIN was not impressive and authoritative.Can / May SCORE but with Srinath always avoidable.

If one were to go by all this GYAN , then better to stick to Fleeting Arrow , Clouseau , Excellent Ability and bet based on the odds.a small bet on Seiliger for place may fetch good dividends.



6 th race .

Should be between Hesperus and Upper Crust.Woman on Top is also in with a decent chance.

Pastiche has not beaten any worthwhile opposition in the last 3 outings and has only beaten all wornout and jaded horses.

Woman on Top though merited cant be backed with certainity as the Trainer is not reliable and consistent with any of His wards.

Badge of Gold is also participating but WILL they even make an effort WHEN the Joint Ownership horse is in the fray ?

Associator rated 48 ( in effect 20 - 50 class IV Horse ) and a NON WINNER participating in this CLASS 1 Race is a Disgrace to the EVENT.


7 th race.

The best horse in the field is Sugar Blaze but the Horse always peeps at the Bookies enclosure and performs depending on the ODDS ,and hence can be ignored.A Winning bet on a horse running 1400 mtrs and top handicap is too much of a risk.

Carra Mia was prominent in race 103 until the last 100 metres and hence SHOULD be there in the FINISH.The Horse will reverse the position with Woman in Charge.

Among the rest , Amazing Speed is a genuine class II horse but may find the distance sharp.Should easily place due to Jockey Merit.

Alekona may at best place.

Flaming GLory has negative change of equipment and ignored.

The likes of Panchakshari and India Shining may not SHINE in this august company.



8 th race .

Super Woman is a one eyed filly and hence a risky betting proposition , particularly at 60 kgs in Division II.

Owners and Trainer had their FILL last time on Lush Foliage by Injecting some Banned substances.After being disqualified , it is expected to run normally , and hence one cant expect it to PLACE with Rajesh babu.

Dock of Bay and Sunny Land should be there in the Finish.

Long Shot is ENFORCER.


10 th race .

Top of the Class and Colonel Duff are my preferences.

River Island had beaten UPPER Crust and finished Second to Woman on Top ,in bangalore Summer season and is now in this lower class 3 compared to class 1 .That itself conveys that ALL is not well and hence this HORSE may not perform well as a favorite.

AFEA and Sporting Master have changed equipment and can be of some help to the bookies.




Good day,




Shyam

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

SHEET - ANALYSIS & WORKSHEET

in case anybody wants my sheet - both the working sheet & analysis please email me at g.swamybabu@gmail.com. i will be creating a group through which i will be sending the sheets.Existing recipients may also please send an email there

Thanks

Swamy

Sunday, January 27, 2008

have a colourful derby

hi all.
1) cheetah hi jeetha to strategic partner.
2)star composer to tigana.
3)colourful to ninja power.
4)regents park to lady escort.
5)speed motive OR crocodile hunter.(bad race)
6)another horror of a race. but queen alba should place.
7)vijayrath OR reconnect.(bad race)
8)another disgusting race. try global presence place.
9)pick from vijayraaj, the hurricane,retribution. bottom line eat classic sky.
10)green lasser to hunting bay.
today colourful should win easyily.
and please eat classic sky @ 1.25 to 1, because atleast 5 contenders that can beat it.
good luck.
rb.

DERBY DAY HYDERABAD

RACE ONE

1.(2)CHEETAH HI JEETHA 2 .(7)SOUTHERN SPICE 3.(8)STRATEGIC PARTNER 4.(6)DECCAN PASSION

BLAZING BOUNTY,HYPER KINETIC & DECCAN PASSION ARE NOT ROUSING IN TRACK AND CAN BE IGNORED.SOUTHERN SPICE WITH PRAKASH WAS AN INSIGNIFICANT 5TH WHEREAS CHEETAH RAN A GOOD THIRD IN ITS OUTING.STRATEGIC WAS A FARAWAY THIRD.WITH THE BEST IPR, PREVIOUS RUNS AND OVERALL CHEETAH SHOULD SCORE

RACE TWO

1.(4)TIGANA 2 .(3)TIME ON 3.(1)AMSTEL 4.(6)DREAM COUNSEL

THE BEST OVERALL TIMING IS OF AMSTEL BUT THE BEST IPR IS OF TIGANA FOLLOWED BY DREAM COUNSEL.TIME ON HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN ITS PREVIOUS RUNS LIKE TIGANA.VIJAY MARG CAN BE IGNORED.STAR COMPOSER HAD A BAD RUN AND MAY FIND IT VERY DIFFICULT.TITLE SHOT LOOKS A PLACE.DREAM COUNSEL HAS A CHANCE.PILLATRONICS ALSO LOOKS A PLACE.STAR COMPOSER WAS BEATEN COMPREHENSIVELY WITH B PRAKASH IN RACE 79 WHERE IT FINISHED SIXTH. AND NOW AMSTEL IS 4 KG HIGHER AND STAR IS 1 KG HGHER

RACE THREE

1.(6)COLOURFUL 2 .(7)SILVER ROSE 3.(5)ALUKKHAS 4.(1)CELTIC SHOT

LOOKS LIKE A RARE DOUBLE FOR DESHMUKH IN THE DIV-1 & DIV-11 OF THE RACE.THE IPR AND OVERALL IS TOO GOOD FOR COLOURFUL.THE ONLY THREAT SEEMS TO BE SILVER ROSE.ROMANTIC FLYER CAN BE IGNORED.CELTIC,NINJA POWER,ALUKKHAS, TOMMY CAN FIGHT FOR THE THIRD SPOT.GREEN VISION AT BEST CAN PLACE

RACE FOUR

1.(7)DANZSINGH 2 .(5)RYDER 3.(1)BASHA 4.(2)REGENTS PARK

DANZSINGH AND RYDER LOOK GOOD AND THE FINISH SHOULD INVOLVE THESE TWO.ON 5 RUNS AND OVERALL DANZSINGH CAN SCORE AND ON IPR RYDER IS SLIGHTLY BETTER.BASHA LOOKS DANGEROUS AND CAN UPSET.REGENTS CAN TROUBLE BUT LOOKS A PLACE.AR,STRONG AT BEST CAN PLACE.LADY ESCORT ALSO LOOKS A PLACE.VIJAYAM CAN BE IGNORED.ZINDABAD AND THAT TOO WITH LAKSHMIKANTH LOOKS BLEAK

RACE FIVE

1.(10)PANCHO PETE 2 .(6)SPEED MOTIVE 3.(2)JET EXPRESS 4.(3)CROCODILE HUNTER

DOING MY BEST AT BEST LOOKS A PLACE.JET EXPRESS LOOKS GOOD.CROCODILE HUNTER HAS A GOOD CHANCE.VIJAYVEER THOUGH FINISHED SECOND LAST TIME MAY ONLY PLACE.FLASHY TREND LOOKS GOOD AND CAN CHALLENGE.SPEED MOTIVE WON WELL AND ON PROMOTION MAY SCORE EVEN THOUGH ITS OVERALL PERMORMANCE IS BAD.TRUE VALUE LOOKS A PLACE.FABULOUS CROWN ALSO LOOKS A PLACE.BAY OH BABY ALSO LOOKS GOOD AFTER WINNING AND ON PROMOTION HAS A DECENT CHANCE.PANCHO IS TRACKING WELL AND ON TERMS IS LOOKING GOOD IN COMPARISON TO SPEED MOTIVE AS IT IS RUNNING AT 9 KGS LOWER FOR FINISHING SECOND BY 3.5 LENGHTS.ALL IN ALL A COMPETTITIVE RACE

RACE SIX

1.(3)FLASH FLARES 2 .(6)PENUMATCHA 3.(8)AMELIA CORDELL 4.(7)POWER RANGER

THIS COULD TURN OUT TO BE AN INTERESTING RACE WITH MANY CONTENDERS.LOLITA INSPITE OF ITS FINISHING 3RD LAST TIME, QUEEN ALBA INSPITE OF ITS GOOD TRACK,STATE CITY,CANNON LAD HAVE NO CHANCE.FLASH FLARES HAS BEEN CONSISTENT AND HAS THE BEST IPR.MONTUSH MAY AT BEST PLACE.PENUMATCHA LOOKS GOOD AND CAN WIN.POWER RANGER HAS GOOD CHANCE WITH A GOOD JOCKEY, OVERALL PERFORMANCE ,OVERALL TIMING AND GOOD PREVIOUS FIVE RUNS.AMELIA ALSO RAN A GOOD THIRD WHEN PENUMATCHA CAME SECOND AND HAS A GOD CHANCE TO SCORE.GOLDEN FLAME AFTER WINNING A RACE RAN INSIGNIFICANTLY BUT DUE TO SRINIVAS FACTOR HAS A LESSER CHANCE.AMONG FESTIVALS AND TASTE OF INDIA, THE TASTE IS BETTER BUT SRINIVAS FACTOR COUPLED WITH LAKSHMIKANTH AND RAMANA FACTOR LEADS ME TO IGNORE THE HORSES.NARWHAL & AIR BENDER TOO HAVE A CHANCE BUT LOOKS A PLACE PROSPECT.BLUE WAVE & THE LAST OUTING WINNER AVON GORGE HAS A CHANCE

RACE SEVEN

1.(1)ADAMANT APPROACH 2 .(4)RECONNECT 3.(7)STROKE OF LUCK 4.(3)EASY FLASH

PROBABLY TO MY KNOWLEDGE THE FIRST TIME HYDERABAD IS RUNNING A 1300 MTRS RACE.THE WINNER WILL BE THE RECORD HOLDER.ON IPR, ADAMANT LOOKS THE BEST.RED FAIRY CAN BE IGNORED.BOURBON STAR HAS A LESSER CHANCE.EASY FLASH MAY NOT WIN BUT IS A THREAT.CAN BE IGNORED ON SATYANARAYANA FACTOR.RECONNECT LOOKS GOOD.VIJAYRATH MAY ONLY PLACE.RAVILEENA ALSO LOOKS A PLACE.STROKE OF LUCK LOOKS VERY DANGEROUS.COPERTINA LOOKS A PLACE.

RACE EIGHT

1.(14)CHEETAH 2 .(8)FLYING RUDOPLH 3.(11)MISSION CHIEF 4.(16)STAMPEDE

ANOTHER TOUGH RACE TO SPOT THE WINNER.TOUCH OF GOLD,RED KEY POINT,RUDOLPH,STAMPEDE HAVE A DECENT CHANCE.SHELLY GREEN NEEDS TO IMPROVE AFTER ITS DISMAL RUN LAST TIME.ADELAIDE IS WAY ABOVE ITS CLASS.CLASSIC ART HAS DETERIORATED.ARROW OF LIGHT IS A SHADOW OF ITS FORM.LANCASHIRE LOOKS DIFFICULT AND SO TOO DA VINCI ROSE.FLYING RUDOLPH HAS IMPROVED.MISSION CHIEF LOOKS DANGEROUS.CANNON SCOT HAS NO CHANCE.GLOBAL PRESENCE HAS THE 2ND BEST IPR AND LOOKS GOOD.CHEETAJ HAS THE BEST IPR AND CAN WIN.ROYAL VIEW CAN BE IGNORED DUE TO THE RIDER AND STAMPEDE HAS A DECENT CHANCE AND MORE SO DUE TO ITS TRACK

RACE NINE

1.(13)GOLDEN SHADOW 2 .(4)RETRIBUTION 3.(13)WELCOME BACK 4.(11)CLASSIC SKY

THIS ALSO COULD TURN OUT TO BE A HELL OF A RACE WITH KING OF HABASHE,SCIMITAR,SOUTH STAR HAVING NO CHANCE.OROCHI,SMART EMPIRE,VIJAYRAAJ, CLAASIC SKY HAVE DECENT CHANCE.CHAMP LOOKS AN OUTSIDER,RETRIBUTION,GOLDEN SHADOW,HURRICANE & WELCOME BACK LOOK TO HAVE GOOD CHANCE.SPRUCES LOOKS A PLACE

RACE TEN

1.(9)PAGE THREE 2 .(6)HUNTING BAY 3.(1)GREEN LASSER 4.(4)HARI HARA PRIYA

TRUE FASHION,CEFIRO,HIGHLANDS HAVE NO CHANCE.PAGE THREE LOOKS GOOD AND HUNTING BAY WILL CHALLENGE.HARIHARA PRIYA CAN UPSET.GREEN LASSER ALSO LOOKS GOOD.INDIAN ARCHER,HABITUATED DO HAVE A CHANCE.EASY MOVER LOOKS A PLACE

DAYS BEST 3-6
BEST OF LUCK
GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY
ONE 2 WIN
TWO 4 PLACE
THREE 6 WIN
THREE 7 PLACE
THREE 6-7 QUINELLA
FOUR 5 PLACE
FOUR 5-7 QUINELLA

Derby Choices

Though the Race has 13 entries only a few are in with a chance to WIN the Classic Event.

Retribution , South Star , Sprucespringstein , Vijayraaj and Welcome back are the horses which come into contenttion based on previous runs and current form.

Retribution has been always highly thought off though the Horse has never fulfilled the expectations.Is having good form to go by but the distance may go against the Horse particularly in a slow paced event.Has a good chance to WIN a classic at a small centre as none of the others have done anything of note till date.

South Star : did not perform in bangalore when it was made to compete over shorter distances.The last run was impressive though the quality of oppositon is nothing to be proud off.

VijayaraaJ : is the local contender for the race which is sponsored by the Owners of this horse.The Horse has limitations on distance and hence looks very difficult though not ruled out.

Welcome back : has just WON 2 races and finished 2 nd in the last outing to WONDER SMILE.Not sure if the Jockey is genuine enough to WIN a classic.

Sprucespringstein : has the class to WIN the place as the Horse is bred to run over longer distances.Not many would give this Horse a choice based on its past record / Jockey declared to ride.BUT CAN UPSET.



The others do not qualify to be in the reckoning.I might go wrong in my analysis but the best FIVE are shortlisted above.

Stroke of Luck , Easy Flash are TWO Horses which are looking good in the races framed for youngsters.

Trainer Deshmukh is likely to be in the limelight on the Classic Race day.Zoheb Shaikh and Prasad Raju do come into contention based on the runners and Jockeys declared to ride.

Good day ,



Shyam

Saturday, January 26, 2008

HYDERABAD 26.1.08

RACE ONE

1.(4)HYPNOTIQ 2 .(5)INTEGRA 3.(2)FLY BY WIRE 4.(3)FAVOURABLE TERMS

THE FIGHT SHOULD BE BETWEEN THE IMPROVED FLYBYWIRE,HYPNOTIQ & INTEGRA.FAVOURABLE CAN FINISH FOURTH.WINNER PRICKING IS HAZARDOUS

RACE TWO

1.(8)NADANVANAA 2 .(5)EASY TOUCH 3.(2)GREY SHOT 4.(7)IVORY SNOW

FIRST SOLAR,CANNON VIEW,GIRL OF LOVE CAN BE IGNORED.SUPERFLUOUS IS TRACKING WELL BUT MAY AT BEST PLACE.EASY TOUCH HAS A GOOD TIMING BUT MAY ONLY PLACE.NANDANVANAA HAS THE BEST CHANCE.GREY SHOT & IVORY SNOW WILL FIGHT.IVORY SNOW MAY FIND IT DIFFICULT TO WIN DUE TO THE BAD RIDER

RACE THREE

1.(3)GENTLEMANS DEAL 2 .(1)MAXIMISE 3.(5)SILVER BULLET 4.(2)TURF RAIDER

MAXIMISE IS TRACKING THE BEST FOLLOWED BY GENTLEMANS DEAL WHO HAS THE ADVANTAGE OF DISTANCE IN ITS FAVOUR.

RACE FOUR

1.(6)AL MALAWI 2 .(1)COSTA MESA 3.(2)GLOBAL STAR 4.(3)SMARTY PRINCE

COSTA MESA,THE SCOT & RETRO ARE TRACKING WELL.THE SCOT MAY AT BEST PLACE.GLOBAL STAR CAN PLACE.COSTA MESA CAN SCORE.SMARTY PRINCE AT BEST IS A PLACE.TOP SHAPE ALSO CAN PLACE.AL MALAWI HAS A GOOD CHANCE.MIZZNA LOOKS DOUBTFUL.RETRO CAN UPSET.STYLISH LOOKS DOUBTFUL

RACE FIVE

1.(8)ROYAL FLYER 2 .(1)PREMIER THRILL 3.(9)SHINE AWAY 4.(2)GREY HOUND

PREMIER,GREYHOUND & TALLAHASSEE ARE TRACKING WELL.TALLAHASSEE & GREYHOUND HAVE A CHANCE AND CAN FIGHT FOR PLACE.WORLD VISION CAN BE IGNOREED.ALZAHARA CAN PLACE.ASTRO KING MAY NEED THE RUN.TRUE FORCE ALSO LOOKS A PLACE.ROYAL FLYER HAS A GOOD CHANCE AND SO TOO SHINE AWAY WHO HAS A HANDICAP CHANCE

RACE SIX

1.(4)AL JAMEEL 2 .(10)JAZZ MAN 3.(3)BENTOTA 4.(7)ROYAL BOND

BUNDLE OF ROSES,UJJAINI,STINGER, FREAK FANTASY CAN BE IGNORED.BENTOTA CAN SCORE BUT ANIL IS OUT OF FORM.AL JAMEEL HAS A CHANCE.STAR WORLD AT BEST CAN PLACE.BIG BUDGET CAN PLACE.ROYAL BOND LOOKS OK AND HAS A CHANCE.JAZZ MAN LOOKS THE BEST WITH DEAR TO MY HEART HAVING A CHANCE

RACE SEVEN

1.(8)JOHN GALT 2 .(3)COGENT 3.(2)WALK IN THE PARK 4.(6)ROYAL AWARD

SPECIAL FORCE LOOKS DIFFICULT FOR WIN BUT CAN PLACE.WALK IN THE PARK HAS A CHANCE BUT MAY ONLY PLACE.COGENT LOOKS GOOD.PROUD ACCOLADE HAS A CHANCE.CANNON TARGET CAN BE IGNORED.ROYAL AWARD LOOKS IMPROVED AND HAS A CHANCE.KID BROTHER MAY AT BEST PLACE.JOHN GALT LOOKS GOOD AND WILL TRY

RACE EIGHT

1.(5)BOSTON RANGER 2 .(11)SPEEDY BOY 3.(4)FLORAL TRIBUTE 4.(9)TIME SQUARE

THIS COULD TURN OUT TO BE AN UPSET RACE.ANGUNA,FLORAL TRIBUTE & SPEEDY BOY ARE TRACKING WELL. CHARMING PROSPECT CAN BE IGNORED DUE TO LAXMIKANTH AND SO TOO TOP GEAR DUE TO ANIL & ANGUNA DUE TO KRISHNA BUT ANGUNA CAN PLACE.STAR KID,FINAL FRONTIER,FIRST WARRIOR,ADORNA,NANO WAR LOOK DIFFICULT.ROYAL LIGHT,FLORAL TRIBUTE,BOSTON RANGER,MAN ON FIRE,TIME SQUARE,MR CHIEF & SPEEDY BOY SHOULD BE INVOLVED IN THE FINISH.AVOIDABLE RACE

RACE NINE

1.(11)DEBONAIRE 2 .(2)CHAMCHA IN CHIEF 3.(6)ALTAI 4.(8)HOSPITALITY

ALTAI DUE TO NITIN & HOSPITALITY DUE TO LAKSHMIKANTH LOOK DIFFICULT TO WIN BUT HAS A CHANCE.WILLOW BEND THOUGH TRACKING WELL CAN BE IGNORED.TENTH PLANET HAS NO CHANCE.SINCE & TRACK RULE CAN AT BEST PLACE.CHAMCHA IN CHIEF LOOKS GOOD,GUN ROCK CAN PLACE.PORTFOLIO HAS A CHANCE BUT HAS NOT DELIVERED IN THE RECENT PAST.GRAND ACT CAN CHALLENGE BUT LOOKS A PLACE.DEBONAIRE LOOKS THE BEST

DAYS BEST 3-3
BEST OF LUCK
GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY
TWO 8 EACH WAY
THREE 3 WIN
FOUR 6 EACH WAY
SIX 10 PLACE
SEVEN 8 PLACE
NINE 11 EACH WAY

Thursday, January 24, 2008

MUMBAI 24.1.2008

RACE ONE

1.(3)CALLING THE SHOTS 2 .(5)PUERTO CABELLO 3.(1)CATALYST 4.(8)KALPAVRUKSHA

ON ITS LAST RUN CALLING SHOULD WIN.HOWEVER PUERTO CAN CHALLENGE.CATALYST LOOKS A PLACE.KALPAVRUKSHA HAS IMPROVED.SUN DANCER WITH BAANDAL CAN BE IGNORED.LONE TROJAN AND REGINA LOOK DOUBTFUL.THUNDERING & ARABIAN CAN PLACE.

RACE TWO

1.(4)SAN JOSE 2 .(7)BLACK HUSSAR 3.(9)FULL THROTTLE 4.(10)NORTHERN PRINCE

ADJUSTMENT & SEPIA TONE CAN BE IGNORED.SOLID BLACK OF RD MELLO AND THAT TOO RIDDEN BY BAANDAL CAN BE IGNORED FOR WIN.SAN JOSE, BLACK HUSSAR,FULL THROTTLE , NORTHERN PRINCE LOOK GOOD.LYRICAL STAR,JOHNY BRAVO,NORTHERN WARRIOR AT BEST LOOK A PLACE.TRUE LEGANCE & DESERT BLUE HAVE AN OUTSIDE CHANCE

RACE THREE

1.(7)BABEINTHEWOODS 2 .(12)ROHANS GLORY 3.(4)SECRET AFFAIR 4.(10)MUSICAL RHYTHM

WITH SEVEN FIRST TIME RUNNERS AND WITH NO HORSE WHICH HAD A RUN BEING OUTSTANDING THIS COULD BE AN AVOIDABLE RACE.SECRET ADMIRER ALSO HAS A CHANCE

RACE FOUR

1.(9)CLEAN SWEEP 2 .(16)CONSUELA 3.(4)ALMARINA 4.(1)STAR GESTURE

KINGS TROOP AND ACCEPTANCE AT BEST IS A PLACE.RED CLOUD, GATRAVAT,CONSTANTIA, FIREY FUTURE CAN PLACE.ALMARINA. CLEAN SWEEP & CONSUELA HAVE A GOOD CHANCE TO WIN.STAR GESTURE,NASEEBDAR,SEA GULL HAVE A DECENT CHANCE.SURMOUNT, THE RIGHT MAN AND GAME OF POWER CAN FIGHT BUT LOOK GOOD FOR PLACE

RACE FIVE

1.(7)AEGINA 2 .(8)CHIMERIQUE 3.(12)QUAND MEME 4.(4)POCKET ROCKET

WITH TEN FIRST TIME RUNNERS AND SUCH A LARGE FIELD THIS RACE IS ALSO AVOIDABLE. AEGINA SHOULD PLACE.QUAND MEME CAN ALSO FIGHT. CHIMERIQUE & POCKET ROCKET LOOK GOOD

RACE SIX

1.(1)ROCKEFELLER 2 .(9)NOTABLE RUNNER 3.(8)MORPHEOUS 4.(6)BORN DESTINY

ROCKEFELLER & NOTABLE RUNNER CAN FIGHT FOR WIN & BORN DESTINY,MORPHEOUS ALSO LOOK GOOD.STAR OF THE SEASON,ALMANDINE,ISHTAR & REGAL REFORM LOOK DOUBTFUL.FIDDLERS LOOKS A PLACE

RACE SEVEN

1.(3)GAEA 2 .(2)SILVER TERN 3.(1)STAR LUMINARY 4.(4)MAGIC TOUCH

GAEA LOOKS GOOD.SILVER CAN TROUBLE.STAR LUMINARY MAY PLACE AND WITH JOCKEYSHIP CAN TROUBLE.MAGIC CAN BE IGNORED

RACE EIGHT

1.(5)POLAR GLOW 2 .(8)HOUSE PREFECT 3.(11)PHI 4.(4)GYPSY QUEEN

BORZU AGAIN CAN BE IGNORED.SIMPLY PERFECT AND BLOOM LOOK DIFFICULT.GYPSY QUEEN.POLAR GLOW,HOUSE PREFECT & PHI SHOULD FIGHT.RAGE F ANGELS,HYMNS ANGEL & LOVE FORTY CAN UPSET.PRINCESS LOOKS A PLACE AT BEST

DAYS BEST 6-1
BEST OF LUCK
GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY
ONE 3 WIN
TWO 4 PLACE
FOUR 9 PLACE
SIX 9 PLACE
EIGHT 8 PLACE

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

views on thursday races

Hi all ,

my choices for the day are as follows :

Race 3

Most of the racebooks and Web sites are rooting for Rohan's Glory , going by the track work and blood lines( Owned by Rohan Blood stock )Not sure if Names prove lucky but a youngster getting so much support on debut is not worth a bet at the odds.

Having said that I would go for the Horses which are ALSO tracking well and can be speedy enough to come into contention.Fire Queen and Focus merit a bet based on the Odds.

The Jockeys declared on other Horses would not mind showing the way to ROHAN's Glory for obvious reasons and are hence ignored.


Race 5

Pocket Rocket the well bred COLT is blazing the tracks and should easily account for this set provided the outside draw does not create traffic problems.

Raghuvansh is very well bred but coming from DRAW 1 is not going to be easy.Besides the Horse may find the distance a bit sharp as it is bred to stay.

War Craft again may need 1400 to prove his credentials.

QUAND MEME and Wings of Angels ,are the pick amongst the rest and should both fight for the Honors with Pocket Rocket.


Race 6.

Perfect setting for the Owner of ROCKEFELLER as none of the other Horses have any recent form to go by.

Almandine has taken the punters for a LONG RIDE and better ignored inspite of impressive track work.

Ishtar ; The Trainer's ;ast 3 Winners have tested positive for banned substances for which suspension is awaited.So this Horse chances are ruled out .

Fiddlers Ferry after running a class ONE CLASSIC race in bangalore has rightfully come back to his class and could have shined but for the absence of regular track work.

Morpheus the grey ageing Horse is in reality the dark horse in this race but Jockey AJ Nilesh has not even PLACED over the past 4 years which itself is a record.

Hence going by Pune race 42 , Notable Runner can Place by default.


Race 7.

Handicap or CLASS.Take the call and bet accordingly.

once a prestigious race ; now locating acceptances for this event is difficult.



Should Win : Calling the Shots , Pocket Rocket

Dark Horses : San Jose and Fire queen

Each way : Desert Blue , Quand Meme and Notable Runner.
.




Good day ,,

Shyam

Monday, January 21, 2008

HYDERABAD 21.1.08

RACE ONE

1.(3)GOLDEN CELEBRITY 2 .(6)BOSSEI GIRL 3.(5)PORTPATRICK 4.(4)INDIAN DANCER


BEAUTY ON DUTY CAN BE IGNORED.SILVER BULLET WILL ALSO FIND IT DIFFICULT AND SO TO INDIAN DANCER.THE FIGHT SHOULD BE BETWEEN PORTPATRICK,GOLDEN CELEBRITY & BOSSEI GIRL

RACE TWO

1.(7)FOOTPRINT 2 .(5)GOOD BOOKS 3.(4)MONEY CARE 4.(3)SMART CHOICE


YOUNG TALENT CAN BE IGNORED ALONG WITH RAJPUTANA RIFLES.SUGAR GOLD,SPEED HUNTER,SHANARUMA ,CANNON GAIN,ROYAL AGENDA MAY PLACE.SMART CHOICE,MONEY CARE,GOOD BOOKS,FOOT PRINT SHOULD FIGHT.

RACE THREE

1.(10)CHANGE OF LOYLATY 2 .(8)IMPERIAL LAW 3.(5)BONNY STAR 4.(11)AUTUMN GOLD

NEW DIMENSION,PARINEETA,KRRISH ,EMERALD BEAUTY CAN BE IGNORED.ZAGREB,OUR OPINION,RISING RAYS APPEAR A PLACE ONLY.IMPERIAL LAW & CHANGE OF LOYALTY SHOULD FIGHT FOR WIN.BONNY STAR HAS A BRIGHT CHANCEAUTUMN GOLD HAS A HANDICAP CHANCE BUT MAY ONLY PLACE

RACE FOUR

1.(6)EASY MOVER 2 .(11)ZINDABAD 3.(8)FAVOURABLE TERMS 4.(3)SHEN LONG


REALTOR,FIRE WINGS,GREYHOUND CAN BE IGNORED.ALL ROUND,ARMSTRONG,LEBERTADOR,DREAM COUNSEL HAVE A DECENT CHANCE.SHEN LONG,EASY MOVER, FAVOURABLE TERMS & ZINDABAD HAVE A GOOD CHANCE

RACE FIVE

1.(4)VIJAYLAKH 2 .(6)TOLEDO 3.(2)CORPS COMMAND 4.(1)YOUNG STAR

YOUNG STAR LOOKS A PLACE.CORPS COMMAND HAS A CHANCE.WORLD WIDE MAY UPSET.VIJAYLAKH LOOKS GOOD.TOP GEAR CAN BE IGNORED.TOLEDO CAN PLACE.GREAT BALL OF CHINA AT BEST IS A PLACE.INDIAN DIVA HAS A SMALL CHANCE

RACE SIX

1.(5)RAVING ROCKET 2 .(6)TITLE SHOT 3.(11)OUR CONQUEST 4.(10)UNEXPECTED TWIST

OPULENCE LOOKS DOUBTFUL.PUNJAB REGIMENT CAN BE IGNORED.BASHA CAN PLACE.CHIEF DE MISSION HAS A CHANCE.RAVING LOOKS GOOD.TITLE SHOT HAS A CHANCE.EKTA LOOKS A PLACE.KID LOOKS A PLACE.LAPIS HAS A CHANCE.UNEXPECTED & OUR CONQUEST LOOK DANGEROUS

RACE SEVEN

1.(10)EMBATTLED 2 .(5)PORTFOLIO 3.(9)BONFIRE 4.(6)GRAND ACT

STATE CITY,SECRET SILENCE,SINCE CAN BE IGNORED.EMBATTLED LOOKS TOO GOOD.JOHN GALT CAN PLACE.PORTFOLIO LOOKS GOOD.GRAND ACT CAN UPSET.ALTAI AT BEST IS A PLACE.FREAK FANTASY LOOKS GOOD.BON FIRE HAS A GOOD CHANCE

RACE EIGHT

1.(5)COME TOGETHER 2 .(2)ONE MISSION 3.(8)LADY PATRICIA 4.(6)DORABELLA


COME TOGETHER LOOKS GOOD AND ALSO ONE MISSION. MAM CAN GO IN EITHER AND AS IT IS A MEMORIAL CUO NAY IGNORE IN WHICH CASE DORABELLA & LADY PATRICIA CAN BE IN THE FRAY.STAR SENORA MAY NEED THE RUN.DASH ON REGARDLESS,POLAR DIVINE CAN PLACE.COLORADAS MAY AT BEST PLACE

RACE NINE

1.(7)ROYAL BOND 2 .(3)SECRET CHAMP 3.(1)MUSIC EXPRESS 4.(6)POCKET DYNAMITE


THE LAST RACE SHOULD SEE A FIGHT FOR WIN BETWEEN ROYAL BOND & SECRET CHAMP.MUSIC EXPRESS CAN UPSET.HIGHLAND QUEEN APPEARS A PLACE.BENTOTA LOOKS DOUBTFUL.BUG BUDGET MAY PLACE.POCKET DYNAMITE HAS A CHANCE.MI JHINKLE & ROYAL ASSEMBLYALSO APPEARS A PLACE.

GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY
TWO 7 PLACE
THREE 10 EACH WAY
FOUR 6 PLACE
FIVE 4 PLACE
SEVEN 10 EACH WAY
EIGHT 5 WIN
NINE 3 PLACE
DAYS BEST 8-5
BEST OF LUCK

Sunday, January 20, 2008

MUMBAI 20.1.08

RACE ONE

1.(1)ABSOLUTE REALITY 2 .(5)IKARIA 3.(6)LONE SENTINEL 4.(3)FLUENT VICTORY

AGIOS NIKOLAS MAY NEED THE RUN.FLUENT VICTORY MAY ONLY PLACE.HIGHLAND MAGIC & STAR SPEED CAN BE IGNORED.WESTERN CHALLENGE CAN PLACE.ABSOLUTE HAS IMPROVED AND 1400 SUITS THE HORSE.IKARIA SHOULD FIGHT.LONE SENTINEL LOOKS A PLACE.ABSOLUTE IN ANY CASE WILL PLACE

RACE TWO

1.(7)KAI 2 .(8)PREMIER QUEEN 3.(4)QUEENS COURT 4.(2)ATHENA

MAZAN NEEDS TO IMPROVE FURTHER TO BE IN CONTENTION.UPROAR CAN BE IGNORED.RETURN OF THE KING HAS A CHANCE.THE MOST IMPROVED IS KAI.PREMIER QUEEN LOOKS GOOD AND IN ANY CASE WILL PLACE.ATHENA HAS A CHANCE.QUEENS COURT CAN CHALLENGE.REIGNING SKY CAN BE IGNORED

RACE THREE

1.(2)FLASHING FLAME 2 .(3)ETERNAL FLIGHT 3.(4)PEBBLE BEACH 4.(1)CHARDIN

ABSOLUTELY AVOIDABLE RACE WHERE ANY RUNNER CAN SCORE.PLEASE LOOK AT RACE TIME TRENDS

RACE FOUR

1.(11)CRESPO 2 .(9)OYSTER GEM 3.(12)MANTOVANI 4.(6)INTIMACY

FARFALLAH,RED AMETHYST,THE DOMIATOR,TANTRIK CAN BE IGNORED.BLAZING ARROW,STAR GIRL REALLY ROMANTIC HAVE ONLY A PLACE CHANCE.OF THE BALANCE HORSES ELEMENTOANGEL,BORN TO LEAD,PACEMAKER HAVE AN OUTSIDE CHANCE.FIRE GOD HAS A CHANCE BUT MAY NEED THE RUN.INTIMACY,OYSTEM GEM,CRESPO & MANTOVANI SHOULD FIGHT

RACE FIVE

1.(5)SOUTHERN SUMMIT 2 .(1)CAVARADOSI 3.(4)INSITE SOUL 4.(7)RATTLE

THERE ARE FIVE FIRST TIME RUNNERS OF WHICH CAVARADOSI,DANGEROUS BELLE ARE GOOD.SOUTHERN CAN WIN AND SO TOO INSITE SOUL.ANOTHER AVOIDABLE RACE.DANCING GLORY ALSO HAS A CHANCE.VANTAGE LOOKS DOUBTFUL

RACE SIX

1.(3)ADAMS STAR 2 .(2)EVATINA 3.(7)ATMOSPHERE 4.(4)AGHA

THE LAST RUN OF AGHA WAS BAD ELSE CAN BE IN CONTENTION.OYSTER COVE MAY AT BEST PLACE.EVATINA LOOKS GOOD AND MAY FIGHT WITH ADAMS STAR.ATMOSPHERE ALSO HAS A CHANCE.LAGO MEDIO MAY BE IGNORED.THE RISING MAY AT BEST PLACE.DESERT CONQUEROR MAY ALSO AT BEST PLACE.OPRAH & SHYBOY AT BEST IS A PLACE

RACE SEVEN

1.(13)SWEEPING SUCCESS 2 .(1)ALVARITA 3.(9)PENINSULA 4.(14)YANA

SWEEPING SUCCESS LOOKS TOO GOOD.CITY TAMER, DOMINATRIX, IVANKA,LIVORNO, MATHEMATICA, OBELLINA MAY AT BEST PLACE.ALVARITA, GOBELIN, PENINSULA & YANA CAN FIGHT WITH SWEEPING. RECOLLECTION & SELLANS CAN BE IGNORED. SPIRITUAL AT BEST CAN PLACE

RACE EIGHT

1.(11)GENERALISSIMO 2 .(2)ENGLEHART 3.(1)HAZELHEAD 4.(8)SURAJ

AN AVOIDABLE RACE AND A BIG UPSET IS NOT RULED OUT.HAZELHEAD, ENGLEHART,OASIS STAR,SURAJ,(INSPITE OF THE RIDER), GENERALISSIMO, PREMIER PERCEPTION HAVE GOOD CHANCE.PEORIA, STRATHENDRICK, AVEC PLAISIR,DEELECIOUS,QUEEN VICTORIA HAVE A SMALL CHANCE.SPICA, CINCINNATI HAVE NO CHANCE

RACE NINE

1.(11)THE REBEL 2 .(1)ORIENTAL JEWEL 3.(3)MARMARIS 4.(5)MELBA

ORIENTAL HAS ALL THE CHANCE BUT THE REBEL LOOKS TOO GOOD ALONG WITH MARMARIS ALSO IN CONTENTION.CZECH, HABIT,VIRGINIA WOLF,TEHRIANI HAVE NO CHANCE.MARMARIS, ASTRO BOY,MELBA, SUMMER OF FORTY TWO ALONG WITH THE REBEL & ORIENTAL HAVE GOOD CHANCE.QUAOR & VARUN HAVE A SMALL CHANCE

GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY
ONE 1 PLACE
TWO 8 PLACE
FOUR 12 PLACE
SIX 3 EACH WAY
SEVEN 13 WIN
EIGHT 11 PLACE
NINE 11 PLACE
DAYS BEST 7-13
BEST OF LUCK

SELECTIONS FOR 20TH JAN.

HI ALL.
HERE ARE MY SELECTIONS FOR TODAY.
1. IKARIA TO LONE SENTINAL.
2. ATHENA SHOULD WIN EASILY FROM QUEENS COURT.
3. PEBBLE BEACH TO CHARDIN.
4. PACE MAKER TO BORN TO LEAD. (ALSO TAKE A SMALL SWING AT RED AMETHEIST TO WIN AT 25 TO 1)
5. SIX GOOD JOCKEYS AND 9 RIDICULOUS HORSES. WHAT A DISASTER.
6. ATMOSPHERE (I WISH P S CHOUHAN WAS NOT RIDING IT) TO EVATINA.
7. ALVARITA, GOBELIN, PENINSULA, SWEEPING SUCCESS. TAKE YOUR PICK. I LIKE GOBELIN.
8. OASIS STAR SHOULD WIN THIS EASY FROM AVEC PLAISIR.
9. TWELEVE DOGGIES RUNNING THIS ONE. I GIVE SMALL EACHWAY CHANCE TO QUAOAR TO BEAT THE REBEL. EAT ORIENTAL JEWEL IF IT COMES DOWN BELOW 1.5 TO 1.
GOOD LUCK TO ALL.
RB.

AVOID PUNTING TODAY

HI ALL,
WINNER PICKING IS A TOUGH ONE TODAY.
I SHALL GIVE MY SELECTIONS SHORTLY.
TAKE IT EASY TODAY .
RB.

HYDERABAD 20.1.08

RACE ONE

1.(1)AL JOUF 2 .(5)FABULOUS CROWN 3.(4)PROHIBITION 4.(3)TRUE VALUE

ANIL IS NOT PERFORMING WELL THIS SEASON AND SO PROHIBITION FOR WIN IS NOT CHOSEN.FABULOUS IS A 1100 MTR HORSE.BY DEFAULT AL JOUF HAS A BRIGHT CHANCE.SUPER BRAND,ROCK BREAKER,SUGAR LADY CAN BE IGNORED.AUSTRALIS IS A SLOW STARTER AND HENCE IGNORED.ALCOHOLOGY MAY AT BEST PLACE.

RACE TWO

1.(2)GREY SHOT 2 .(6)AL AWAL 3.(1)CANOPUS 4.(9)SOUTHERN QUEEN

GREY SHOT SEEMS TO HAVE IMPROVED.THE THREAT SEEMS TO BE ANOTHER IMPROVED AL AWAL.CANOPUS MAY FIND IT DIFFICULT AND MAY AT BEST PLACE.IMPACT,ONERA,SUOER BRAT & SOUTHERN QUEEN CAN BE IGNORED.ALUKKHAS & RUBY ROUGE MAY NEED THE RUN.

RACE THREE

1.(7)HEYDAN 2 .(2)COSTA MESA 3.(1)CELTIC SHOT 4.(8)SIDDIPET EXPRESS

SIDDIPET EXPRESS HAS THE PROBLEM OF BEING SLOWLY AWAY AND ALSO GOING WIDE.HEYDAN HAS BEATEN CELTIC COMPREHENSIVELY.GOING PLACES HAS NOT BEEN VERY IMPRESSIVE IN ITS THREE RUNS.COSTA MESA IS GOOD AND CAN FIGHT.JUST BE COOL CAN AT BEST PLACE.SIR ALMAS,SWEETY BOY CAN BE IGNORED

RACE FOUR

1.(3)TURF RAIDER 2 .(5)INTEGRA 3.(1)KHALEELS PRIDE 4.(4)YES ES YES SES

FRIENDLY FIRE CAN AT BEST PLACE.KHALEELS ALSO HAS THE TERMS AGAINST BUT HAS THE CLASS.TURF & INTEGRA SHOULD FIGHT IT OUT.YES ES YES SES CAN PLACE

RACE FIVE

1.(3)RIPPLES 2 .(2)CANNON TREASURE 3.(7)EXECUTE 4.(4)VANEN BERG

LOLITA CAN BE IGNORED.FINAL FRONTIER THOUGH COMING OUT WELL IN THE OVERALL RATINGS CAN BE IGNORED.FEARLESS LOOKS A PLACE.CANNON TREASURE,RIPPLES,VANEN BERG & EXECUTE SHOULD FIGHT

RACE SIX

1.(3)FLYING RUDOLPH 2 .(1)BOLD BLAST 3.(2)COMMANDER MOIL 4.(7)BERNARDO

SIXTH ELEMENT CAN BE IGNORED.SURYARATH MAY FIND IT DIFFICULT IN THE HIGHER CLASS.BLAST HAS TERMS AGAINST IT.FLYING LOOKS THE BEST.COMMANDER MOIL AND BERNARDO HAVE A CHANCE. GOOD SPEED LOOKS DIFFICULT.

RACE SEVEN

1.(4)INDIAN ARCHER 2 .(8)VENTUROUS 3.(7)TRUE FASHION 4.(1)SPYMATE

MAANUSH,THUNDERING GOLD,HIGH LANDS ARE NOT FAVOURED AS PER THE TERMS AND CAN BE IGNORED.TRUE FASHION HAS IMPROVED,VENTUROUS HAS A GOOD HANDICAP CHANCE.INDIAN ARCHER LOOKS GOOD AND IS A PLACE CERTAINTY.SPYMATE ALSO LOOKS GOOD THOUGH THE WEIGHT MAY PROVE A STOPPER.VIJAYVEER CAN CHALLENGE.

RACE EIGHT

1.(5)RUDOLPH VALENTINO 2 .(9)BUDDY BROTHERS 3.(12)WALK IN THE PARK 4.(3)SECRET COMMAND

EASY RIDER,LENAVI,KINGS FORTUNE CAN BE IGNORED.CITI STORM HAS THE WEIGHTS AGAINST IT.SECRET COMMAND HAS A CHANCE.TRUE LEGEND CAN PLACE.RUDOLPH ON ITS LAST RUN HAS A GOOD CHANCE.INDRAJIT HAS A CHANCE.BUDDY BROTHERS LOOKS VERY GOOD AND MUST IN ANY CASE PLACE.VINALEO LOOKS OK BUT I HAVE MY DOUBTS.MAYHEM CAN PLACE.WALK IN THE PARK WILL FIGHT IT OUT.SPECIAL FORCE MAY PLACE

RACE NINE

1.(10)BENAZIR 2 .(4)DEAR TO MY HEART 3.(8)RECAST 4.(3)PEACE TALKS

A VERY BAD RACE WITH MANY CONTENDERS AND MANY PRETENDERS.HORSES WHICH HAVE FARED POORLY ARE TRACKING WELL.ROYAL DUTY CAN BE IGNORED BUT IS TRACKING WELL.CHARMING,SANJANA,GOLDEN CASTLE CAN BE IGNORED.CANNON LAD,FOREST WIND LOOK AT BEST A PLACE.RAIN DANCE COULD HAVE BEEN IGNORED BUT THE LAST RUN WAS GOOD.PEACE TALKS HAS A CHANCE AND IS ALSO TRACKING WELL.DEAR TO MY HEART,RECAST & BENAZIR HAVE THE BEST CHANCE.MONOCHROME, NANO WAR & LUCKY DAMSEL HAVE HANDICAP ADVANTAGE

GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY

TWO 1 PLACE
THREE 2 PLACE
THREE 7 WIN
SIX 1 PLACE
SEVEN 4 PLACE
EIGHT 9 PLACE
DAYS BEST 3-7
BEST OF LUCK

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Alvarita / Peninsula for the Oaks : edited at 11am

I A SAIT has been having a torrid time off late.I am expecting his Horses to be in the limelight today.


First Race :

The race wears an open look with most of the Horses working well.

I prefer Star Speed and Fluent Victory .

First time runners are best ignored and hence AGIOS Nikolaos has not been considered.

Lone Sentinel did end a impressive third but over 1000 mts but not sure if it can do well over 1400.

Star Speed was given a bad ride last time and is the BEST BRED Horse in the fray.One can consider a bet if there are sufficient indications at race time.

Western Challenge is also well bred and can PLACE.



Fourth Race.

Difficult to hazard a guess with the presence of so many runners.Suffice to say Born to Lead and Oyster Gem can be ignored.A small bet on STAR GIRL might yield dividends.


Fifth Race.

Insite Soul has been given too many chances and due to lacklustre performance has to be ignored.

Dangerous Belle is tracking well and should be a good each way bet.

Dancing Glory is tracking well and can strike if the money is on the Horse.Todywala has a pathetic record as of date and hence watch for the trends at race time.

Yowza and Southern Summit can come into contention for place.


Sixth Race :

Evatina has impressive credentials and should score.Iam surprised by the odds offered.SHOULD EASILY WIN based on previous run , unless the Horses has had a set back which is not reflected in the official records.

Oyster Cove is one of those late finishing types and may find it difficult to place in this race.

Adams Star is looking good on handicap and with Hyderadad Superstar Suraj Narredu can do well as the Horse is genuine class.

Atmosphere may be fancied but gate manners is an issue with this Horse.

Oprah is not in this class , however on handicap and manner of finishing CAN come close.Can Place.


Seventh race ; The HDIL Indian Oaks ;

The pace of the race would decide the outcome of the race as a slow paced race would suit most runners.Of the Horses in contention ;

Sweeping Sucess does not appeal to me and would be a NEGATIVE BET.

Alvarita has been worked by C Alford at Mumbai regularly and based on TOP rating looks like the best horse on display.But the best Horse does not Win always particularly in the OAKS.

Livorno's manner of Winning was very impressive though quality of opposition was poor but with Rajendra in the saddle can remain a live threat.

Peninsula is a late bloomer and is bred to stay.Did come leisurely to finish 5 th to Sweeping Sucess in the Filles Classic.CAN shine if the Jockey is upto the task.Not seen very frequently in the track is a bit of a bother.

Spiritual Flame is bred to stay and One should not discount its chances based on earlier runs.

Mathematica's staying prowess is unknown but track work is very impressive and is in with a genuine chance to UPSET.

Eighth Race.

OASIS Star at the odds offered is not WORTH a bet.Should complete the formalities.

Depending on the pace of the race Premier Perception , Engleheart and Hazelhead can do well .Atleast 2 out of the above 3 should place by default.

Premier Perception is capable of springing a UPSET.


GOOD DAY,



SHYAM

BANGALORE 19.1.08

RACE ONE

1.(2)VALIANT BAY 2 .(7)CLOUSEAU 3.(3)LEOPARDINO 4.(1)GLORY BOUND

VALIANT BAY APPEARS TOO GOOD FOR THIS BUNCH.GLORY BOUND LOOKS A PLACE.ON TRACK LEOPARDINO,CLOSEAU & IMPERIAL ARE BETTER THAN GLORY BOUND.THESE HORSES SHOULD FIGHT FOR PLACE.COMPETENT SOLDIER,NON STOP CANNON,LESTER,NEEL GAGAN,CUTE STYLE & DESIRE TO DAZZLE CAN BE IGNORED

RACE TWO

1.(5)SUN ZONE 2 .(8)FANTABULOUS HERO 3.(2)ROCAMORA 4.(4)MISTER TROOPER

ON TERMS THE FIGHT IS RESTRICTED TO FANTABULOUS HERO & SUN ZONE WITH THE JOCKEY OF FANTABULOUS & NO TRACKWORK BEING A CAUSE OF CONCERN.ROCAMORA ON ITS TRACK,MISTER TROOPER & ZANGI SHOULD FIGHT FOR PLACE.ECUADOR CAN ALSO PLACE.SOUTH PARADE & QUEENS GLORY MAY FIND IT DIFFICULT.A SMALL QUINELLA BET ON 5-8 IS ON.FANTABULOUS WITH A GOOD IPR HAS THE CHANCE TO SCORE.

RACE THREE

1.(4)ROYAL AMBER 2 .(3)NOBLE VIEW 3.(8)ONE 4.(5)SUPER SENOR

WITH FIVE FIRST TIME RUNNERS OF WHICH THREE ARE TRACKING WELL AND TWO RUNNERS ROYAL AMBER & ONE DOING GOOD IN TRACK AND HAVING FINISHED 2ND BEST IN THEIR LAST OUTING THE RACE CAN BE IGNORED FOR BETTING.CASPIAN SEA,THE ASSASIN,SNOW PRINCE,MIGHTY FINE CAN BE IGNORED.LOOKS LIKE MAM MAY ONLY WIN ONE OF THE DIVISIONS.IF IN RACE 1 MAM WINS THEN I WOULD IGNORE NOBLE VIEW.

RACE FOUR

1.(7)PERFECT RHYTHM 2 .(1)CLASSICAL DANCER 3.(2)KORPORATE 4.(6)ZAFAR

NO TRACKWORK OF PERFECT RHYTHM IS A CAUSE OF CONCERN ELSE ON IPR & OVERALL SHOULD CANTER.PADDY IS NOT KNOWN TO RUN A HORSE WITHOUT PREPARATION.CLASSICAL,KORPORATE,ZAFAR CAN EXTEND PERFECT.REBELLIOUS & FEELFREE CAN PLACE.REGAL MUSIC& HAKUNA CAN BE IGNORED

RACE FIVE

1.(4)AURA 2 .(2)PASTICHE 3.(6)FANTABULOUS PRINCE 4.(2)PASTICHE

THE ONLY THING CERTAIN IN THIS RACE IS FANTABULOUS PLACING.EXCEPT SNAP DRAGON ANY HORSE CAN SCORE.LIONHEART ON IPR IS GOOD.PASTICHE HAS IMPROVED.STEELIUM HAS A MUCH LESSER CHANCE.AURA, IF THE LAST RUN IS IGNORED HAS A CHANCE.FANTABULOUS LOOKS A THREAT.LAGUNA BLUE THOUGH ON TIMING IS BAD IS TRACKING VERY WELL.DINESA LOOKS A LITTLE DOUBTFUL

RACE SIX

1.(1)EASY 2 .(4)SPRING FAIR 3.(8)GO GO BOY 4.(3)TINA'S TRIUMPH

IF NOT FOR NITYANAND & ALSO THE BLOOD VESSEL, EASY SHOULD SCORE EASILY.FACTION LEADER,GENEROUS LAD,HIDALGO DO NOT SEEM TO HAVE ANY CHANCE.TINA's SPRING FAIR & GO GO BOY CAN UPSET.BLACK SPLENDOUR CAN PLACE.

RACE SEVEN

1.(4)ADORABELLA 2 .(2)FANAA 3.(6)LATINO MAGIC 4.(7)ROYAL ARTIST

ADORABELLA SCORES ON IPR, PREVIOUS & OVERALL.KIOKO,SMART N SPECIAL,PRAYATNA CAN BE IGNORED.FANAA IS TRACKING WELL AND CAN THREATEN.MAAHI VE LOOKS A PLACE.LATINO HAS IMPROVED.ROYAL ARTIST IS ALSO TRACKING WELL BUT WITH THE JOCKEY CAN ONLY PLACE.READY TO CHALLENGE & LIVE IT UP HAS A SMALL CHANCE AND CAN PLACE

RACE EIGHT

1.(2)PACIFIC PRIDE 2 .(8)ROYAL FILLY 3.(7)CHOYA 4.(10)GATI POWER

PACIFIC HAS IMPROVED THE MOST BUT AM WARY OF KARAN SINGH.SPREAD A SMILE,PRINCESS EMILY,ROYAL LIASON,STAR NEWS,FULL STEELE APPEAR DIFFICULT.REBORN,CHOYA,ROYAL FILLY,GATI POWER & MAFIOSO HAVE A CHANCE.

DAYS BEST 1-2
BEST OF LUCK

Friday, January 18, 2008

Betting Options for Bangalore Races

FIRST RACE :
Glory Bound did end a Long way 3 rd to Prince Ville and hence a WIN seems unlikely The Horse is performing well in the tracks but as the case with small stables they rarely WIN when asked for particulalry when MAM Horses are fancied.

Valiant Bay is Impressive in tracks and after the race run with a work jockey is poised to strike.However the Horse is still sporting Steel Shoes as compared to Aluminium which is the case when the positive Jockey Switch takes place.At the Odds offered iam not sure if a WIN bet is a good proposition.

Non Stop Cannon is showing out regularly in the tracks and may need this run.

Clouseau ran a miserable 8 th to Mark of Gibralter but seems to have improved a lot off late.Due to the abscence of quality runners can PLACE by default.

Desire to Dazzle is genuine long shot and hence a small bet on place can be considered.

THIRD RACE :
Noble View is Best Bred Horse running in the race and is consistently tracking with Quality Horses from the same stable and hence Should account for this set easily.

Royal Amber finished 2nd earlier but beat nothing of merit.Hence i am not very optimistic of its chances.

the horse ONE cant be expected to do much as it lost to Narasimha ridden Originality.

Glorious Princess is tracking very well and should be in the final 1 - 2 placings.Was given a bad ride by Tony Farina earlier.Can make amends.

Fire of Joy is making its debut and seems to have been well prepared.If there is a genuine upset in this race This is the Horse to watch out for.

FOURTH RACE :
Classical Dancer is tracking well and has strong saddle support and considering the quality of opposition a EACH WAY Bet is ON.

Korporate : The Choice of Jockey is negative at this handicap and hence inspite of good credentials I would avoid a Winning Bet .

Feel Free may need 1400 mts to prove credentials and hence one can avoid a place bet also.

Zafar is Speedy WHITE horse who is Winner in the same class and hence should PLACE easily.

Perfect Rhythm is racing after a Long layoff and May not be tried particularly after last week double for trainer.


FIFTH RACE :
Pastiche : I cant sight any worthy rivals but at the odds offered I would not recommend a Bet.

Fantabulous Prince should easily Place.

Steelium and Aura havehad some set backs and hence are avoidable.

Laguna Blue also RAN in Pastiche's earlier RACE WIN and can PLACE.


SIXTH RACE :Easy ,The Stable and Jockey are both notorious and the Horse is also a known bleeder.At Top Weight a Bet is best avoided.

Spring Fair has been tracking well and has the handicap advantage.Also it is facing very facing mild opposition and hence it is a Good each way Bet.

Go Go Boy is also Well placed on handicap and finished 4 th to stable mate in the previous run .WILL PLACE



GOOD DAY

Thank you again.

Dear Mr.Swamybabu,
Thank you for rejoining me in your blog.Hope to rise up to the expectations of our dear members.
With regards
Abel.D.Raj

POLL OAKS

IN THE POLL PLEASE IGNORE ROMANTIC SCENE.

BANGALORE 18.1.08

RACE ONE

1.(8)ASPIRING SEVEN 2 .(7)ROYAL FLYNN 3.(3)COMMAND PERFROMANCE 4.(1)SCINTILLATING STYLE

EVEN THOUGH COMMAND COMES OUT WITH THE BEST IPR AND ALSO GOOD PREVIOUS RUNS, THE SAME IS AVOIDED DUE TO JOCKEY/TRAINER. ASPIRING HAS THE SECOND BEST AND CAN FIGHT WITH ROYAL FLYNN.SCINTILLATING AND CORUS CAN FIGHT FOR PLACE.SPRINT QUEEN.MISS LIBERTY & BANDANNA CAN BE IGNORED.THE RATING OF ASPIRING HAS IMPROVED IN THIS SEASON IN COMPARISON TO ROYAL FLYNN.

RACE TWO

1.(1)ACTION HERO 2 .(2)LAGO VISTA 3.(5)REPLENISH 4.(7)SILVER PARIS

REPLENISH HAD A BAD RUN LAST TIME.IF THE RUN IS IGNORED HAS A CHANCE TO FIGHT AND MAY PLACE.ON ITS LAST RUN, ACTION HERO LOOKS TOO GOOD.SILVER PARIS CAN BE IGNORED DUE TO THE TRAINER/ JOCKEY.LAGO VISTA HAS A GOOD CHANCE.ASTONICAL,DONS DELIGHT MAY AT BEST PLACE.TOUCH OF PARADISE, DAWSONS CREEK CAN BE IGNORED.

RACE THREE

1.(1)SONTAG ETOILE 2 .(3)VAN DE STAR 3.(2)MYSTIFIED 4.(4)CHERIKA

ON ITS LAST RUN SONTAG COMES OUT WELL BUT HAS A FIGHT FROM VAN DE STAR.MYSTIFIED HAS A CHANCE.DOUBLE ELITE MAY AT BEST PLACE.SONTAG AFTER WINNING IN 20-50 WAS RUN IN 60-90 AND NOW IN 40-70 HAS A CHANCE.CHERIKA LOOKS A PLACE ONLY.DOUBLE ELITE LOOKS DOUBTFUL.SAPTASHWA CAN BE IGNORED

RACE FOUR

1.(1)MARK OF GIBRALTAR 2 .(2)ALCMENE 3.(3)MUSIC FOREVER 4.(5)OPPRIMO

IT MAY NOT BE EASY FOR MARK OF GIBRALTAR AS ALCMENE CAN FIGHT EVERY INCH, WITH THE FINISHING SPEED OF MARK, SHOULD BE ABLE TO PULL IT OFF

RACE FIVE

1.(8)SWIFT FIRE 2 .(1)CARABINERI 3.(2)RENASCENT 4.(3)MUCHO

ON IPR CARABINERI LOOKS GOOD BUT AM WARY OF THE LUCK OF DHARIWAL FOR WIN.SWIFT FIRE HAS A VERY BRIGHT CHANCE.RENASCENT IS TRACKING WELL AND CAN PULL IT OFF.SWIFT FIRE CAN BE GAMBLED BY ESHWAR.HEROINES AND ROYAL TREASURE CAN BE IGNORED.MUCHO LOOKS A PLACE. PRET ALSO LOOKS ONLY A PLACE BUT IS TRACKING WELL.RENASCENT HAS A GOOD CHANCE.NO NAME HAS A PLACE CHANCE.MADAM RICH LOOKS A PLACE

RACE SIX

1.(3)LADY BANKS 2 .(7)SPLENDID POWER 3.(9)LITTLE SPLENDOUR 4.(6)BLUSHING BEAM

ON IPR AND OVERALL LADY BANKS SHOULD HACK THE FIELD.SPLENDID IS THE ONLY THREAT BUT SPLENDID SHOULD HAVE IMPROVED TO A GREAT EXTENT TO BEAT LADY.SPLENDID & LITTLE ARE TRACKING BETTER THAN LADY BUT WITH MAM HAVING FIVE RUNNERS SOMEONE WILL ACTUALLY INTERFERE WITH SPLENDID & LITTLE.IF SPLENDID GETS BACKED DOWN IN THE LAST MINUTE, IS ACTUALLY WORTH A BET WITH PRITHVIRAJ PULLING OFF LOTS OF GAMBLES THIS SEASON

RACE SEVEN

1.(7)LIGHTNIN BLUES 2 .(8)SHENANDOAH 3.(2)SURPRISE PACKAGE 4.(4)CRACKERJACK

FREEMASON DOES HAVE A CHANCE BUT LOOKS A PLACE.SURPRISE PACKAGE HAS A GOOD CHANCE BUT MAY AGAIN FINISH 2ND OR 3RD BEST.GIVE ME THE MONEY CAN PLACE.CRAKERJACK HAS A CHANCE ON ITS IMPROVEMENT SHOWN.SPIRITED CAN BE IGNORED.AMAZING LOOKS A PLACE.LIGHTNIN BLUES HAS THE BRIGHTEST CHANCE.SHANANDOAH LOOKS GOOD AND MAY FIGHT WITH LIGHTNIN.GENERAL RIDGE & SMART COLLECTION CAN BE IGNORED. ROYAL HERO HAS AN UPSETTING CHANCE ALONG WITH DRAUPADI

DAYS BEST 4-1

THREE 3 PLACE
FOUR 1 WIN
FIVE 8 PLACE
SIX 3 WIN
SEVEN 7 PLACE

Thursday, January 17, 2008

CHOICES for FRIDAY


another listless day of racing scheduled at bangalore.Here are my shortlisted choices ;

The W J Sibbrit Memorial Plate : Class THREE Race : Distance ; 2000 mts.

The options are : Sontag Etoile , Van De Star , Cherika.

Van De Star should strike in this open looking race with no clear favorites.Irfan Ghatala needs some redemption and this race should see him in happier times.The Horse has had a run with Mallesh and though it finshed 9 lenghts behing the eventual WINNER , the present trip and handicap favors the Horse.Should be a GOOD each way bet.

CHERIKA ; the horse is fashionably bred and staying prowess of the horse is known and should not pose a problem.Had also participated in BLINK race but with a work Jockey, with C D HAYES the Horse does merit some attention.

Sontag Etoile ran a forward race but that was at 51 kgs.Is bred to stay but the handicap makes it a bit difficult.

Double ELITE is a 00 - 28 WINNER and the handicap advantage is not likely to benifit.Saptashwa has not been tried over this distance and hence may be ignored.

MYSTIFIED chances of finishing in first THREE seems very optimistic.

KRHOA Trophy for 3 year old's

Restricted choices as Only TWO horses are participating in this race.The Hyped Mark of Gibralter may score an encore.However due to the cramped odds , one can take a chance bet on ALCEMENE .Horse Racing is full of shocks and surprises and nothing wrong in placing a WIN bet on ALCEMENE.

The CHATRAPATHi CUp ; Class 2 race ; 60 - 90 ; 1400 mts.

Swift Fire is looking good on handicap and has better credentials than the rest of the field.Should score if taken on a START to FINSH Mission.

RENASCENT is entirely avoidable being a class IV Winner at Bangalore.Pret a Porte will be the Horse fancied by the connexions.

Carabinieri is a moral certainity for place in the light of its earlier 2 nd to STAFIRE.

the January Plate ; term race for maiden horses;

Splendid Power , Lady Banks , Blushing Beam.

Lady Banks has the class and bloodlines but entirely avoidable.

Splendid Power with the benifit of a easy race run has a better chance.

Blushing Beam might place to salvage some PLACE money for the Jockey who has been suspended.






Good day ,



Shyam

MUMBAI 17.1.08- MISTAKES

MY MISTAKE IN CHOOSING AN AVOIDABLE TRAINERS HORSE- TODYWALA & Mrs LALWANI.

SWAMY

MUMBAI THURSDAY 17.1.08


RACE ONE
1.(1)URBAN WARRIOR2 .(6)MUBARRAS 3.(3)DESTINED PRINCE 4.(2)GOLDEN ORRA


AN AVOIDABLE RACE WITH URBAN, DESTINED & MUBARRAS HAVING A GOOD CHANCE.TARAS BULBA CAN BE IGNORED.JOHNY BRAVO LOOKS DIFFICULT.MAGICAL MORN MAY AT BEST PLACE.GOLDEN CAN UPSET

RACE TWO

1.(4)MASEEHA 2 .(3)TAANUSH 3.(5)LAHINCH 4.(6)DREAMING

MASEEHA LOOKS THE BEST.ROCOCO CAN BE IGNORED.FIERY FORTUNE CAN AT BEST PLACE.TAANUSH CAN UPSET.LAHINCH IF IN ITS OLD FORM CAN BE A LIVE THREAT.DREAMING CAN PLACE.

RACE THREE

1.(3)SIROCO 2 .(7)MEDTIAS PRIDE 3.(6)ARABIAN SPEED 4.(4)AMARANZA

MUSTANG SALLY CAN BE IGNORED.SIROCO,ARABIAN SPEED & MEDTIAS LOOK GOOD.ARABIAN PRIDE, AMARANZA & LIGHTNING HAVE A CHNACE AND CAN PLACE.EXPENSIVE, FIREY FUTURE & NUNCIA MAY AT BEST ONLY PLACE

RACE FOUR

1.(1)ANGELS GLORY 2 .(3)APPOLOTINA 3.(6)MONOPOLY 4.(5)LA JOIE DE VIE

ANGELS GLORY SHOULD WIN FROM APPOLITINA,MONOPOLY & LA JOIE DE VIE.GORGEOUS AND CRAKATOA CAN BE IGNORED.ANGELS HAS THE RUN ADVANTAGE AND SOULD SCORE

RACE FIVE

1.(2)CARLOS 2 .(11)MEJESTICAL 3.(10)MYSTERIOUS STAR 4.(6)SIMPLY SMASHING

WILD TEMPER, ARKHOS,HOLIDAY DATE,PRECISION CAN AT BEST PLACE.SNOW, SIMPLY SMASHING, PARTY CELEBRATION., HAVE A SMALL OUTSIDE CHANCE.CARAMEL, JEWEL STAR ETERNITY CAN BE IGNORED.AQUADISIAC LOOKS DIFFICULT.CARLOS SHOULD PULL IT OFF FROM MEJESTICAL AND MYSTERIOUS STAR

RACE SIX

1.(6)PRINCE LOCHINVA 2 .(1)TIGRESSE NOIRE 3.(2)MICKY MANTLE 4.(7)SOLSKJAER

THIS COULD BE A VERY TRICKY RACE WITH KA CHING,BUENOS & EAGLE MOUNTAIN HAVING LESSER CHANCE TO SCORE.PRINCE LOCHINVA LOOKS THE BEST AND IN ANY CASE SHOULD PLACE.SOLSKJAER IF NOT FOR BAAN DAL COULD HAVE BEEN A THREAT. TIGRESSE AND MICKEY SHOULD FIGHT

RACE SEVEN

1.(4)MODESTY 2 .(5)MULTICULTURAL 3.(3)PURE DEVOTION 4.(11)CHIEH WARRIOR

THE MOST CONFUSING RACE OF THE DAY.JUST AVOIDABLE.FANATIC, RISING PRINCESS,JUST BLESSINGS & SOLU HAVE NO CHANCE.JAZZEGO, CHARGING RHINO,HYMN STAR LOOK A PLACE PROSPECT.ENCOURAGEMENT,PURE DEVOTION,MODESTY, HAVE A GOOD CHANCE.MULTICULTURAL IPR IS NOT APPEALING BUT HAS A BRIGHT CHANCE.CHIEF WARRIOR HAS A DECENT CHNACE. CAN CAN ALSO HAS A CHANCE

DAYS BEST 5-2
BEST OF LUCK
GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY
TWO 4 WIN
THREE 7 PLACE
FIVE 2 WIN
SIX 6 PLACE
SEVEN 3 PLACE

Mumbai Selections.

Race 1
URBAN WARRIOR: (MUM – 42) Near 600 meters, URBAN WARRIOR (Samuel Fargeat) was checked by its Rider when ALEXA (Abhishek Habbu) who was racing directly ahead, dropped back.
DESTINED PRINCE: (MUM-65) reported that his mount was inclined to lug out during the race.
MABARRAS

Race 2
FIERY FORTUNE
TAANUSH
DREAMING

Race 3
SIROCO: (MUM – 116) Jockey C.D. Hayes (SIROCO) was observed to have checked his mount after a good start thus disappointing the horse and in the straight he made his move late. When questioned, Jockey Hayes stated that he was instructed to be in 4th/5th position and to be along the rails and to do his best in the straight. He added that in the straight there was a horse, TEASER, in front of him and hence he could not make his move earlier. Trainer Rehanullah Khan stated that the running style of SIROCO is to come from the back and today the horse found himself in front. He added that the horse does not like to be ridden from the front. The explanation tendered by Trainer Rehanullah Khan has been noted and Jockey Hayes has been cautioned for failing to take reasonable measures in the race.
ARABIAN SPEED
AMARANZA

Race 4
ANGELS GLORY: Showed better speed than SCHNELL on the same day. Should win.
LA JOIE DE VIE: Blasting the track. Should place.

Race 5
AQUADISIAC
CARLOS
PARTY CELEBRATION

Race 6
MICKEY MANTLE: An impressive winner. Can easily defy the penalty.
TIGRESS NOIRE
KA CHING

Race 7
MULTICULTURAL
CAN CAN
PURE DEVOTION

Day’s best: MICKEY MANTLE.
Best Place : LA JOIE DE VIE.

My Views on the Three shortlisted Races

Second Race :

Taanush , Maseeha and Lahinch are the Three Horses in with a chance.

ROCOCO , Firey Fortune and Dreaming are coming in after a very brief break and inspite of the relative merit of these HORSEs one cant bet confidently as performing in long distance races within a short period is not easy.

At best Dreaming can be a handicap chance.

The other TWO can be ignored.

Of the rest , Lahinch is the classiest Horse and has had a warm up race recently after skipping the pune season.Merit is never an issue though fitness could pose problems.The Horse has also had some set backs even earlier on in its career and hence is a risky betting Proposition.However with the allowance jockey opted the intention to Win is visible and hence I expect the Horse to shine today .

Maseeha , performs well when least fancied and can come into contention if Taanush decides to play pacemaker to stable mate Lahinch.



Fourth Race :


ANGELS GLORY is ( or rather should ) the WINNER.Does not need any detailed explanation.

La Joie De Vie is the only possible threat.You can forget the rest.



Fifth Race :

Carlos , Arkhos , Simple Smashing , Party Celebration and Mysterious Star come into contention in this class 3 race.

Aquadisiac is coming after a long layoff and set back and is to be ignored though it is a cut above these horses.If CARLOS is in the money Aquadisiac would not even tried.SO best avoided.

Carlos has been very unlucky on many occassions .Tograllu can prove to be the lucky Mascot.The bloodlines of the Horse may not be impressive when compared to the rest of the field but due to the CONSISTET performance One can consider backing this Horse.

Arkhos has also run alongside Carlos in race 95 and was not unduly extended.This distance would be ideally suited this time and should be a good each way bet.Considering that in the previous outing the race was SET for OYSTER the 4 th postion should not be taken at face value.

Simply Smashing coming after skipping the Pune season came on well in the same race referred to above and could upset.However the Horse has not been worked since previous run and swimming record is also negative , hence iam skeptical as DAJI usually works the horses prior to the race.

Party Celebration and Mysterious Starr have participated in race 67 and though the STARR finished ahead preference has to be given for Party due to better saddle assistance this time around .Mysterious star is also drawn in DRAW 1 and hence is a good negative bet.


Narendra Lagad has not been very active for past 5/6 race meets and is the one with the potential to strike today when least expected.





Good day



Shyam

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Thank you.

Dear Mr.Swamy,
Thank you for the invitation.
I have been going through your handicapping sheets for more than 2 years.The hard work done by you is clearly visible.In order to improve your strike rate to a higher percentage,I feel that you should make some kind of adjustments especially in the area of "False Rails".The timings mentioned in the sheet have been uniformly distributed without taking into account the nature of false rails.RecentlyHyderabad had accounted for the false rails by placing the starting stalls accordingly.Mumbai has done it much earlier.Bangalore,Mysore & Delhi are yet to fall in place.
This is my suggestion.
With regards
Abel.D.Raj

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

January 16 th : Mysore

This being my First post at this Blog , I wish to inform all visitors that my Views would be restricted to CLASS 3 Races upwards and Terms races only for Mysore , Bangalore , Hyderabad and Mumbai centres.However detailed analysis of all these races will be available for the TWO main centres only.

Race # 4 : Salem Plate ; Division 2 ; 40 - 70 handicap race.

Mr Majestic , Careerist , Dare you Say and Loremo are the Horses which appeal to me.
Among the fancied runners , Mint Royale is not seen in the tracks for a long time and hence omitted.Besides the handicap is against the horse.The other horses not shortlisted have no genuine merit or entrusted to work jockeys and hence WILL not place.

The Mumbai import Mr.Majestic having a victory with Shant Kumar earlier in the season stands a good chance being a youngster and also considering his past record in Western india.However the outer draw and handicap may go against the Horse and I would have prefered a Apprentice Jockey.

Careerist was full of running last time out and the trainer has worked the horse on 14/01 giving indication of his intention.1100 mts would have been ideal distance for this horse.Should do well.

Loremo : is a horse which likes to go to the front and previous runs should be ignored as the Horse was just worked with average jockeys.Coming from Draw 1 is an advantage and the Horse is capable of upsetting the field if the Jockey is upto the task.

Dare you Say the old warrior can be considered purely on JOCKEY merit.Is unlikely t trouble the book makers if the odds are very low.


Race # 6 Salem Place ; Division 1 ; 40 - 70 Handicap race

As this is a Division 1 Race , I would look only for TOP weighted Horse to score.Division Two winner could be at the weight of 58.5 ( ignoring dare u say for win )and hence Horses 1 to 4 only are to be considered for WIN.

Baghzad is tracking well and the earlier run was suggestive of potential.With Appu doing the honors the horse should WIN.The only negative against this Horse is at times it takes a slow jump from the gates which could ruin its chances.

Angel of Faith had WON Impressively earlier in the season but lost out subsequently in the betting.Afsar Khan does not usually do duty for this trainer and hence the chances of this Horse WINNING are low.CAN Place.

Thunder on and Smell of Sucess ignored for Jockey merit.

Amongst the others , Shooting Venus having strong saddle assistance should place.Windsor Square is at a tidy handicap and also a youngster to boot.Has WON at longer odds and can UPSET.

Zooming and Simply amazing can at best Place.


Race # 8 : Coimbatore Place ; 60 and above ; class 2 handicap race.

Very competitive race.Ansonia , Irish Whispers , Custer , Matter of Opinion and Sword of Power are the main contenders.Most of the others have no chance running over wrong distance or being ridden by weak jockeys except for Fire Brigade which is ignored as stable mate Matter of Opinion is also in the fray.

Ansonia : Was highly fancied in race 56 when Eclaire Blanche WON carrying 63 kgs.The Horse was seen tiring in the last 100 mts and hence i would not rate this Horse highly.However on pure class and considering Mumbai Import Jockey in the saddle can place.

Custer : Inline for a Hatrick.BUT Looks very doubtful as it has just come from class iv earlier on in the regular season.

Matter of Opinion came on well in race 56 and if the connexions decide to back the HORSE with all their might , NONE of the others will even try to WIN.

Sword of Power might find the going difficult and is expected to be out of depth.

Irish Whispers ; both her recent runs have been very very impressive and coming from MAM stables has the best chance to score.

MY CHOICE for the race is IRISH WHISPERS.


Hope this analysis is useful.Please look up to the odds at race time and bet accordingly.I would always avoid any WINNING bets below 4 to 1 in MYSORE.If the odds are on the higher side ,do go for the PLACE bet only.

Good day and happy punting to all Patrons.


SHYAM

Monday, January 14, 2008

HYDERABAD SELECTIONS 14/01/08

RACE ONE

1.(10)TIARA 2 .(8)RAVILEENA 3.(6)AL MALAWI 4.(5)ROYAL CODE

RACE SHOULD BE CONFINED TO RAVILEENA & TIARA OF WHICH TIARA HAS IMPROVED AND HAS A BETTER IPR.AL MALAWI SHOULD PLACE AND HAS A SMALL UPSET CHANCE.ELBRUS,GREEN VISION,ROYAL CODE,RETRO CAN ALL FIGHT FOR PLACE.JUST BE COOL CAN BE IGNORED.EASY TOUCH & JAAN BAAZ MAY NEED THE RUN

RACE TWO

1.(1)HUNTING BAY 2 .(8)JAZZ MAN 3.(2)CHAMCHA IN CHIEF 4.(6)MAN ON FIRE

THE RACE IS AT THE MERCY OF HUNTING BAY.JAZZ MAN APPEARS THE ONLY THREAT.CHAMCHA,CLASSIC,MAN ON FIRE SHOULD FIGHT FOR PLACE.MUTUAL FUND AND GRAND ACT LOOK DOUBTFUL.TRACK RULE CAN PLACE

RACE THREE

1.(2)BOURBON STAR 2 .(3)GLOBAL STAR 3.(5)KING IN THE SKY 4.(7)ROYAL EMBASSY

EVEN THOUGH ON FIRST APPEARANCE THE RACE LOOKS BETWEEN BOURBON STAR & GLOBAL STAR,KING IN THE SKY & ROYAL EMBASSY CAN ALSO CHALLENGE DUE TO BETTER IPR.WUWEI LOOKS A LOST CAUSE.RED FAIRY CAN UPSET.BAKERSFIELD,METICULOUS,SPARSH MAY AT BEST PLACE.INDIAN BRAVE HEART CAN BE IGNORED.

RACE FOUR

1.(7)SECRET COMMAND 2 .(1)CORAL GABLES 3.(2)ONNU ONNU ONNU 4.(3)AUXILIARY

THIS COULD TURN OUT TO BE AN UPSET RACE EVEN THOUGH CORAL & ONNU LOOKS GOOD.TOUCH OF GOLD & SECRET COMMAND HAS A CHANCE.AUXILIARY CAN ALSO BE IN THE FRAY.TRUE LEGEND IF NOT FOR THE JOCKEY/TRAINER HAS A CHANCE.CLASSIC ART CAN BE IGNORED.DA VINCI LOOKS DIFFICULT

RACE FIVE

1.(4)TIME ON 2 .(5)DARK DESIRE 3.(7)ALCOHOLOGY 4.(3)FLY BY WIRE

ALCOHOLOGY IS IMPROVING AND IS THE ONLY HORSE TO HAVE BETTER IPR THAN TIME ON BUT A RAMANA AS THE JOCKEY PUTS IT OUT OF CONTENTION,BUT MAY PLACE. TIME ON SHOULD WIN THIS ONE WITH SOME FIGHT FROM FLY BY WIRE & DARK DESIRE.HYPNOTIQ CAN AT BEST PLACE.ALL ROUND IF NOT FOR KHADE CAN PLACE.FAVOURABLE TERMS CAN PLACE.CANNON HAWK,REALTOR,DARK STRANGER AT BEST ARE PLACE.ROCK BRAKER CAN BE IGNORED.UNEXPEXTED CAN PLACE

RACE SIX

1.(10)GOOD BOOKS 2 .(4)ZARSHUK 3.(2)VIJAYLAKH 4.(7)FOOT PRINT

ON IPR ZARSHUK & GOOD BOOKS SHOULD FIGHT OF WHICH GOOD BOOKS IS A PLACE CERTAINTY.VIJAYLAKH,BASE LINE,FOOT PRINT SHOULD BE IN CONTENTION.CANNON EYE,FUSION MUSIC,NAVRATHRI,RISING TIDE LOOK ONLY A PLACE PROSPECT.SMART CHOICE,CHEROOKEE HAVE AN OUTSIDE CHANCE.HEARTS CRY & ROYAL AGENDA LOOK DOUBTFUL

RACE SEVEN

1.(8)IMPERIAL LAW 2 .(10)CHANGE OF LOYALTY 3.(6)CANNON GAIN 4.(3)ZAGREB

THE RACE SHOULD FUNDAMENTALLY BE CONTESTED BY CANNON GAIN,IMPERIAL LAW & CHANGE OF LOYALTY WITH ZAGREB BEING THE FOURTH DIMENSION.JUGNU,DEBONAIRE HAVE AN OUTSIDE CHANCE TO WIN AND WILL FIGHT FOR PLACE.FAIR TOUCH,APPARITOR,CITI CHIEF, OUR PET CAN AT BEST PLACE.MONEY CARE & OCEAN CITY CAN BE IGNORED

RACE EIGHT

1.(1)ADAMANT APPROACH 2 .(5)SPECTACULAR FALCON 3.(4)IAEPETUS 4.(6)TOOFAN
MAIL


THIS COULD BE A VERY TRICKY RACE WITH VIJAYSAMRAAT HAVING THE LEAST CHANCE.TOOFAN ALSO DOES NOT APPEAL.ADAMANT & SPECTACULAR APPEAR THE BEST WITH IAEPETUS COMING VERY CLOSE ALONG WITH AMAZING ACT.THIS IS A RACE WHERE FIELD SHOULD BE KEPT IN JP.

RACE NINE

1.(2)BABY OH BABY 2 .(7)FREAK FANTASY 3.(9)MILLION DEAL 4.(6)HOT SEAT

HOT SEAT THOUGH ON PAPER APPEARS A GONE CASE IS IMPROVING AS EVIDENCED BY ITS TRACK AND CAN BE A THREAT.ON IPR BABY LOOKS GOOD.FREAK FANTASY LOOKS GOOD AND COULD BE A PLACE CERTAINTY.MILLION DEAL CAN BE A HANDICAP CHANCE.UJJAINI,COSMIC CHAMP CAN BE IGNORED.ROYAL LIGHT,ALTAI CAN PLACE.FEVER FEW HAS LOST ITS FORM.

GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY
ONE 8-10 QUINELLA
TWO 1 WIN
FIVE 4 WIN
SIX 10 EACH WAY
SEVEN 10 PLACE
NINE 7 PLACE
DAYS BEST 2-1
BEST OF LUCK

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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