Wednesday, March 12, 2008

It is Special race day with the First Three events having less than 8 runner, which are not punter friendly.

Some selections for the day ;

First Race :


Czech can shine as the Horse covered good ground to finsh 4 th to Pure devotion in race 181.The next run in race 207 where it finished 5 th was over 2000 mts which must have beyond its capability.Might get Good odds due to the presence of other fancied horses.GOOD EACH WAY BET.

Johnny Bravo or House Perfect : One of these should figure on Board.

Trainer Sait has several good runners for the day and hence the First runner can be ignored.



Second Race :


Fantastic Fury and Nitrous are the Horses which can be omitted.

Amongst the rest I like Desert Dust and Maseeha.

Miles and More has not beaten any QUALITY opposition and if fancied , can be a good negative bet.



Third Race :

Combustion at this handicip is not possible.

Flo Nightingale.If Czech does well in the first race , this Horse will surely place.

Classic : Looking good .Hope Alford delivers.

Eternal Flight : Old Warhorse looking for that lucrative odds to strike again.UPSET chance , keep an eye.


Fourth race :

Casual Look : enquiry case.Not sure of intentions.

Clean Sweep : Can repeat.Will place ahead of Casual Look that is for sure.

Amberogio :May be fancied but at best a place prospect.

Kalpavruksha : Last run was against all expectations.Jockey has JUST WON his First race in this season on SUNDAY.So i would avoid a WIN bet at such short notice.



Fifth race :

Seems open and the contenders are ;Ikaria , Thundering Hooves , Bella , Feet of Flames and CELTIC CHARM.

Surprising to see Srinath on Thundering Hooves being the retained rider of Shapoor Mistry Owned celtic Charm.

On all counts Thundering is the better Horse compared to Celtic.

I expect Bella and Ikaria to easily place and challenge thundering hooves.

After the Triple Sucess on Sunday for Haresh Mehta , the chances of Feet of Flames are not rosy.



Sixth race :

Mysterious Star gets the First Preference.This Horse is long over due for a WIN.

Red Indian : Trainer / Jockey / Owners did not object when the Horse was interfered in previous outing.When intention is suspect no use betting on the Horse.

Seillans : Had beaten Mysterious earlier and considering common ownership I wont bet on this Horse.

Ponyta : Should Place.

Noble Replica : last run was a eyewash.Is capable of better show.Keep an eye .good bet at longer odds.

CHARDIN : most punters will definitely fancy the chances after seeing the performance of PERSONIFIED.But this HORSE cant WIN the race.May only place.



Last Race :

Love Forty , Vanilla Sky and Shaktiman.

It would be advisable to avoid both ARTILLERY and NORTHERN PRINCE which are notorious for inconsistency.



Long Shots : Eternal Flight and Bella.

Avoid : Miles and More , Red Indian / Chardin and Northern Prince for WIN
.



Good day


SHYAM

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.


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