Friday, April 18, 2008

Betting options for the day

Of the Six races framed for the day , only 2 races have 8 or more runners , thereby denying THIRD place Payout to the punters.Hence it is advisable to back for WIN and SHP only in respect of these 4 races.

These are my views on the races :

Polar Glow : Drifted out badly in previous outing.Is capable of striking as the Horse has a Victory to its credit.

Thundering Hero : After the initial 2 good runs , the Horse is now running like a DONKEY.How it WON earlier is a something one cant understand.Hopeless case.

Acceptance : Last run was forward with 57.5 kgs.Now with 4 kgs less can do well.

Princess Samerah : Initial pace of the race in the previous outing was not to the liking of this filly.Should do well inspite of I Shaikh.

Tribal Warrior : Finishing on well in race 302. But age , distance and the weather can play spoilsport.

Choices : Acceptance and Princess Samerah : Bets based on the ODDS.



Ring Bearer : Surprise Winner in race 268.Not possible here at 59 kgs top handicap.

Catalunya : The Horse is not in this class but not being allowed to run to its merits.May be Pune is the destination.Skip the bet.

Mister Fixit : Usually a frontrunner but in the last run was ridden off the pace.WILL WIN over this scurry.

Bridge too Far : Can do well .

The Dreamer : not here.


Choices : Mister FIXIT for WIN and Bridge Too Far : WIN / SHP.



The Boss : looks difficult in this field.May at best place.

Encouragement : Last run was too bad to be true.Can strike at lucrative odds.

Bu Attife; : Not here.

Quaoar : Place certainity.

Mustang Sally : Ignore last run as the Horse was never in the hunt.Will place.

Cocaine and Phi : Win looks difficult.


Final Choices : Encouragement and Quaoar : Bets based on Odds.




Black Phantom ; Fashionably bred.Can easily stay this distance.

Appollotina : Can do well in this very poor field.

Spirited Star : Trainer Not reliable.

Starlite Express : If Black Phantom is not in the fray , this Horse is capable of a UPSET.

Choices : Black Phantom and Appollotina.



Hurricane : Mediocre rider ruined all chances in race 299.Should do well.

Beyond Belief : has the class to WIN on a start to finish mission.

Cotswold Arms : Long layoff.Better to avoid.

Samarkhand : Last run was very impressive.May not try here.

Totalitarian : Lost to Haresh Mehta Horses on last two occassions. SHOULD DO WELL on saturday at this handicap.


Choices : Beyond Belief and Totalitarian.


Top Action : unlucky to lose to Kalpavrushka at the post last time.But carrying 62 kgs this time would make it a difficult task though not impossible.Not worth a WIn bet at the odds offered.

Gold Biscuit : keep an eye.Can strike.

Return of the king : Was finishing on well over 1200.The extended distance should benifit .SHOULD Place.

Morpheus : At best PLACE.Winning is ruled out.

Patek Philippe : No justification for being in the odds.


Choices : Gold Biscuit and Return of the king.








Good day

Shyam

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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