season ending choices

Another season is drawing to a close and going by the Race card for the Day, it is evident that most races have a open look and most runners have a reasonably good chance.

These are my views ;

First race :
As only the First two Horses only offer DIVIDEND on bets , it should be Restricted to Ruby Rocket andTigresse Noire with Wild Temper having a small chance to upset.

Ruby Rocket was a impressive winner but in lower class.Tigresse Noire has the handicap in her favour and some strong saddle support can see it through.
Ivanka at this handicap and against some quality runners may find it difficult.Also it needs at least 8 furlongs to prove its mettle.

Cosmopolitan may have run with better Horses but consistency is lacking.

Call to Arms has not been tried over 1400 mts but with Aadesh Kumar , one can avoid.



Second Race :

Except for Blazing Speed , Kadima , Hidden Dragon and Beau Monde , the rest of the runners have a decent chance to score.

From the short listed Horses 2 are from Lagad Stable and as always it would be logical to bet on the long priced horse.

Algo Mas has better credentials and can be expected to WIN.

Honey Day is a good place bet considering the above mentioned factors.



Third race :

Sentinel : Knocking at the doors for a long time.But as the season is coming to an end it would be worthwhile to look for better options.NEGATIVE BET for me.

Sir Taj : Can strike .But looking at the field it is good to stick to PLACE bet.

Solor : Tracking well and may place.Choice of Jockey is negative.

Sparkler : Tracking extremely well but off springs of LIBOR , generally do well over longer distances and Mumbai has not seen many siblings of this Horse.MAY place at Longer odds.

Star Impact : Alfat and Aadesh : Good combination to avoid.

Forest Native : well bred sibling related to the Speedy Carlos.But first run ? against so many other better tracking horses.So avoid.

Snow Blind : Last run was not genuine.Keep an EYE.Can STRIKE.



Fourth race :

Born to Lead has been consistent all season and hence can WIN.

The Brave Heart : Demotee and speedy customer but 9 years old and facing younger opponents.So not possible to WIN.

Red Dawn / Festive Light / Amberley / Arabian Pride : Unlikely to trouble the bookies even for PLACE.

TearAway , Catalunya and Premier Perception : Two amongst these Three horses will be on board.



Fifth race :

Rave on , Cabinda , Naseebdar , Need for Speed and Paris Hilton are the Horses which are in contention.

Need for Speed has good credentials but the outer draw might be a factor in deciding the outcome of the event and hence I would hesitate to Bet on this horse.

Rave on may at best place as the handicap is against the horse.

Cabinda : After 4 Wins last week , based on racing logic , it is Prudent to avoid Abbas's horses unless the ODDS are very lucrative.Only Place chance for this Horse.

I would go with PARIS HILTON each way and Naseebdar Place.
( 4 th place payout in Mumbai )



Sixth Race :

Yankee Lane : Should be in the First TWO by default.
Force of Law : WILL Place.
Ekhabinskya : Tracking extremely well but I would avoid a WIN bet .
Antonios : may PLACE


Seventh race :


Vb Race so most fancied runners will falter.

I would go with Mercedes , Opera Royale and Mubarass.



Good day,

Shyam