Friday, May 23, 2008

Saturday choices

These are my views for the day ;

First race :

Opprimo starts as favorite based on track run , previous performance and Jockey merit.

Sadly none of the other horses in the fray have any of these 3 qualities to qualify for a comment.

With Hyderabad Horses and Jockeys in the fray alongside some mediocre bangalore Jockeys ,it is difficult to even guess the Horses with a chance for place.

My Guess is Alexander the Great and Cute Style. At least these names sound better than the rest.



Second race :

Lotus Leaf was a failed favorite with Ryan Marshall astride on debut.How it was fancied on debut is a mystery.Jockey Harish not being given mounts by most Trainers and also being the out of form , not sure if he can make a difference.

Act of Duty may have some credentials but the Jockey is mediocre.

Solitary Champ : has placed once in Winter and is seen in tracks consistently.May come into the reckoning.

Sparsh / Sir Almas / and the 2 Horses from MAM Camp : Ignored on Horse and Jockey merit.

Light Brigade : Well bred but again Jockey has not been seen on Winning Horses for past 2/3 months.

Perfect Analysis : NIL Track work. Cant see how a Horse can do well when it is not fit.


Bottomline : race is as BAD as one can imagine with with the Bonus being the common interests of the three Harish ,Suraj and Ashish.


Third Race :


Hill of Grace : If W Smith is Even able to guide the Horse over the race distance , the Horse has the Chance to easily wrap up the race.But with his current record in bangalore , how many of us can even consider him for place.

Queens Guest : Negatve change of equipment / Top weight : Ruled out.

Spark of Isis : Has finished 4 th to Fleeting Arrow in Bangalore Winter Season.That is proof of the filly's potential.Should be there in the First TWO.

Illusive Girl : is a front runner , if the others are not able to catch up with the tactics can upset.

Royal Zen : is at a tidy handicap and also looking fit.PLACE chance only.


Fourth Race :

Talk of the Devil : Tracking well.Needs some forceful riding.As a fancied runner finished a miserable 7 th earlier with the same jockey.May at best PLACE.

Gentleman's Deal : may struggle here.

Vanquish : unplaced in Hyderabad but considering the poor quality of runners here , May be in the reckoning.Should PLACE easily.

Orochi : Gelded on 21/03 , negative Change in equipment , D K ASHISH are all negative pointers when one considers the fact that Suraj the retained rider of Trainer Prasad Raju is on the favorite.


Stafire : Quality Horse at tidy handicap but seems to be out of form. However better placed on handicap compared to Talk of the Devil.May place.

Crocodile Hunter : Padmanabhan and Smith make a deadly combination.The earlier Trainer was Rafaat.Has done well upto 1400 metres.Has the capability to go over this extended distance.All depends on SMITH.

Guided Missile : Keep an EYE.I expect this Horse to place.



Fifth Race :

Strong Minded : Should place .

Panchakshari : Is a speedy Horse but abscence of Trackwork and choice of jockey is negative.Competing with some high quality sprinters makes it difficult.

Kiara : In all likelihood would be a candidate for this years SPRINTERS cup.However not worth a bet mainly on account of the ODDS and also for the JOCKEY.

Script Ure Destiny : A Horse which comes and WINS a Race after a year long break has to be very talented.Good each way chance.

Cimmaron : R Marshall cant be trusted for place also.

Lush Foliage : negative change of equipment.Looks difficult.



Sixth Race :

Alcmene : Failed favorite in Winter,.Can make amends if it lasts the distance.

Star of Washington : Has the Bloodlines in its favour.But has beaten some poor quality opposition.Lot of Expectations.May do well.

EQUIDAE : Place is a MORAL certainity.CAN WIN.Again we have to go by the performance of the Jockey.Good BET.

Valid Expectation : First run after being gelded.Difficult for place.

Iaepetus and Vijayrath : Hyderabad based horses , at this handicap looks very difficult.

DORABELLA : TOP WEIGHT , HYDERABAD BASED , but has been consistent and also has the services of a Good Jockey.May place.


Last Race :

Royal Hero : may at best come 3 rd. Avoid WIN bets.

Char Chand : Has the best credentials.

Run to Remember / Free Glider / Lightin Blues : the Horses with potential to UPSET.


Kenchi bets based on Horses fancied by many tipsters ;

Oprimo / Lotus Leaf / Kiara / Equidae / Vanquish : based on Opening odds any 4 of these can be shortlisted for a kenchi as the odds are reasonable except for KIARA.

Place hopefuls : Spark of Isis , Guided Missile / Strong Minded / Alcmene and Char Chand.

good day,

No comments:

Powered By Blogger

Click to Print

DOWNLOADS

toolbar powered by Conduit

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

We acknowledge with thanks the SUPPORT systems available to us and for the PATRONAGE people have shown for this blog.


We would like to especially thank the Racing sites available due to which we are able to get instant information.


Swamy








Hit Count

Count :
View My Stats

STAT COUNTER

The Counter is now been set to UNIQUE VISITORS.

We crossed a MILLION page loads on 15.9.2011 , ONE AND A HALF MILLION page loads on 29.8.2012 & TWO MILLION on 22.7.2013

We had crossed Half A Million Unique Visitors on 19.7.2011 and reached THE COVETED MILLION MARK on 19.1.2013.

Thanks For Your Patronage.

Footer

The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


Mathematics by itself does not work whenever human involvement is there.

An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.


The blog can be accessed by all and no invitation is necessary