Sunday, July 20, 2008

Selections for 20th July, 2008 - Bangalore Summer Races

Hi Folks,

Diego Rivera who has been well prepared, is expected to score in the B.T.C. Anniversary Cup (1,400m), the chief event of the races to be held here on Sunday (July 20).Diego Rivera ran a mighty race last time out before going down narrowly to Noble Prince and Alekona. It stands head and shoulders ahead of the rest. With highest speed and hadicap ratings it should enable Trainer P.Shroff to score a good weekend treble and possibly end the present Bangalore Summer campaign on a high note. Abs Babs should annex the Esquire Trophy the supporting event for the day. My rest of the selections are as follows:

Race No. 1 : The Last Samurai 2) Burning Ambition 3) Excellent Ability

The last Samurai fought every inch of ground before he went down on the post to Thunders Roar over the same trip. He is the one to be beaten. Burning Ambitions seems to be the only danger inspite of running on promotion. It came very late on the scene and won comfortably albeit in lower class. In fact may go close in this present class.

Race No. 2 : Sugar Blaze 2) Originality 3) On A Roll

Sugar Blaze has regained her past touch as evidenced when last time out from 6th position at 600, 5th till 200 shot through the middle at 100 and fiished an impressive 3rd. A pure Class II horse should be an added advantage over the rest who are mostly running on pormotion. An each way strong bet is recommended else one can can eat the prevailing Jodi according to one's limit.

Race No. 3 : ABS FABS 2) Greens 3) Unseeded Star

ABS FABS last time out raced 10th at the start, 6th till 600, 3rd till 400 and finished an eye catching 2nd to Distinctly Ahead in her maiden run over 1100ms. Today with extra 100m to travel should enable trainer A. Mangalokar to annex the Esquire Trophy. She is the one to be beaten and hence according to me it appears as Days Best proposition. Note Unseeded Star for place, tracking well. Greens at the most may place. It needs lot of tune up in order to win a race.

Race No. 4 : Thunders Roars 2) Grand Madame 3) Double Elite

Even though most of the tipsters are fancing Grand Madame I for one would suggest to eat. Last time in lower class it was seen to be struggling to get the better of Moneyinthebank. Thunders Roar with better speed rating comes the best, hence an each way bet seems better then playing a horse as odds on favourite.

Race No. 5 : Diego Rivera 2) Woman On Top 3) Romantic Getaway

Dieo Rivera as explained earlier stands head and shoulders ahead of the rest in speed as well as handicap ratings. Last time out it covered good ground to finish an impressive 3rd to Noble Prince over 1800m. In fact if one observes the video recording minutely you will note that barely 20m from the winning post Mallesh had slightly eased up as Noble Prince had boxed him in between the two horses. Narredu has to position well before the homestretch as today it is travelling shorter trip and hence he has to be quite alert for the acceleration. Both Woman On top and Romantic Getaway have good burst and should place here.

Race No. 6 : Powerfuldreams 2) Appertain 3) Shisham

Race should be confined to this jodi. Amongst the 4yr olds Powerful Dreams is rated higher and hence has a slight advantage. It finished a close 5th with a late burst. Today with only Apertain to take care has a good chance to score as Appertain though won easily last time out, was observed not maintaining a straght course in the last 200m of the race. One can eat the odds on favourite. Shisham can very well place ahead of Badda Rupaiyya who has been penalised heavily.

Race No. 7 : Trafalgar Square 2) Princ ess Emily 3) Whisper Valley

An open race and one should refrain from betting.Trafalgar Square, Princess Emily, Event Horizon and Whisper Valley have raced alongside each other during the current Bangalore Summer campaign. Princess Emily will attempt its customary start-to-finish attempt and has to be caught by all before the post. Only Trafalgar Square with Appu astride looks capable of doing it. Still anybodys race.

Race No. 8 : Refresh 2) Star News 3) Anoosheek

Again an open race wherein winner finding is very difficult. Atleast four runners are to be considered for various pools i.e Refresh, Star News, Anoosheek and Soldier Blue. Refresh still looks somewhat better then the rest as it has raced in upper class. Today with a slight weight advantage it might prevail hence play each way. Star News though finished a late 2nd lost a certain race due poor handling of the jockey. Today again with same jockey one should not risk. Anoosheek finished unextended 3rd to Illusive Girl over the same trip. At best can place ahead of Soldier Blue.

Days Best : ABS FABS

Good Double : Abs Fabs and Diego Rivera

Kainchi w/pl : The Last Samurai, Sugar Blaze, Abs Fabs and Diego Rivera

Good luck to all

Thanking you,

Jimmy

2 comments:

Ravi Khanna said...

Dear Jimmy

You one again proved with your selections your strike rate is much better with detail reason to why you have tiped that as winner. 4 winner with very good odds please keep posting your selections. Ravi Khanna.

jyotinmaster said...

Hi,
I like the logocal thinking about the selections.Can we Have same logical arguments about the runners who CANNOT win on a particular day in spite of being favoured by the Connections & hence the odds? Like Yesterday I ATE "Diego" for 2 Reasons.1)The distance of 1400 mtrs. was unfavourable because its last many runs were 1600/1800 Mtrs.2)It was carrying top wt. on its back & its last run was coming from behind to fill the frame.Although CLASS horses do defy this handicap, i thought that DIEGO doesn't belong to that exalted company.

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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