Monday, September 29, 2008

INITIAL OBSERVATIONS 1.10.08 HYDERABAD

RACE ONE

SILVER BULLET HAS BEEN COMPETING IN HIGHER CLASS ALSO. DARK STRANGER IS COMING UP FROM A LOWER CLASS. POWER RANGER HAS THE BEST WIN & PLACE PERCENT FOLLOWED BY SMART EMPIRE AND GOLDEN SHADOW.THERE ARE NO AVOIDABLES ON ACCOUNT OF TRAINERS IN THIS RACE.

RACE TWO

THE RACE IS FOR NON WINNERS.THERE ARE TWO HORSES WHCH ARE AVOIDABLE DUE TO TRAINERS.HUNTING BOY IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN AND DECCAN PASSION IS AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE.THE BEST PLACE PERCENT IS OF SMARTY PRINCE WHICH HAS BEEN REGULARLY PLACING EVEN WITH BAD JOCKEYS.I THINK THE TRAINER HAS BEEN WAITING FOR THE RIGHT OPPORTUNITY.VIJAYSENA HAS THE NEXT BEST WHICH HAS BEEN FLATTERING TO DECEIVE FOLLOWED BY THAT OF SUPER SENSE WHICH HAS BEEN PRETTY INCONSISTENT, EXCEPT FOR THE GOOD RUN BEHIND CHINA PEARL WHICH ALSO IS NO GREAT SHAKES. THIS RACE IS RUN IN TWO DIVISIONS THE OTHER BEING RACE 4

RACE THREE

THE BEST WIN AND PLACE % IS OF AUXILIARY FOLLOWED BY THAT OF RUBY QUEEN WHO HAD SETBACKS AND HAD COME BACK TO TRACK WITH A MATCH RACE AGAINST CORAL GABLES.THE FUNNY PART IN THIS RACE IS THAT AUXILIARY WON BY 4 LENGHTS WITH A WEIGHT OF 61.5 KGS AND THE WEIGHT HAS REDUCED BY 7.5 KGS TO 54 KGS .IN THE SAME RACE DOING MY BEST PLACED FOURTH AND THE WEIGHT REMAINS AT 52 AND LENAVI WAS SIXTH 10.5 LENGHTS BEHIND AUXILIARY AND ITS WEIGHT HAS DECREASED BY ONLY 2 KGS. THE WINNER WITHOUT ANY GREAT HANDICAPPING SHOULD BE AUXILIARY UNLESS RUBY QUEEN DECIDES TO GET BACK ITS FORM.

RACE FOUR

FIRE BENDER WHICH WAS EARLIER WITH FAISAL HASSAN HAS NOW COME TO S ABBAS AND AN ENQUIRY WAS HELD ON ITS EARLIER RUN WHERE THE JOCKEY WAS SUSPENDED FOR 12 DAYS. WILL S ABBAS WIN WITH THE IMMEIDATE NEXT RUN OR SAVE A FELLOW TRAINER FROM FURTHER PROBLEMS.THE BEST PLACE % IS OF FIRE BENDER AS IT PLACED IN ITS FIRST RUN AS IN THE EARLIER TWO RUNS IT WAS WITHDRAWN, FOLLWED BY THAT OF ZORBONAUT AND THEN BY BAYWATCH BABE.THIS RACE IS ALSO FOR MAIDENS.THIS IS THE OTHER DIVISION OF RACE NO 2

RACE FIVE

THE FIFTH AND SEVENTH RACE ARE TWO DIVISIONS.THE BEST WIN PERCENT IS OF DARK DESIRE FOLLOWED BY THAT OF EMBATTLED WHO HAS THE BEST PLACE %.THE WIN AN PLACE PERCENT OF STAR CRUSH IS DECENT.THE PLACE PERCENT AFTER EMBATTLED IS GOOD OF CHIEF DE MISSION AND RUDOLPH VALENTINO.THERE IS ONLY ONE AVOIDABLE HORSE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR AND THAT IS PROUD ACCOLADE.

RACE SIX

THE SIXTH AND NINTH RACE ARE THE TWO DIVISIONS OF THIS RACE.EASY TOUCH AND CLARE BRIDGE ARE THE AVOIDABLE HORSES EVEN FOR PLACE AND HIGHLANDS IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.PRETTY FIT HAS THE BEST WIN % BUT IS GOING A CLASS UP.THE BEST PLACE % IS OF ARTISTIC EMPEROR WHO HAS THE SECOND BEST WIN %.THE PLACE % OF STROKE OF LUCK IS GOOD.THE WIN % OF CLARE BRIDGE AND THE PLACE % OF SOUTHERN SPICE IS DECENT.

RACE SEVEN

THE OTHER DIVISION OF THE FIFTH RACE.AT HYDERABAD THE TRAINERS ARE KNOWN TO DIVIDE THE WINNERS IN BETWEEN DIVISIONS AND VERY RARELY YOU FIND THAT BOTH THE DIVISIONS ARE WON BY THE SAME TRAINER.TOP ACT AND AL ZAHARA ARE AVOIDABLE FOR EVEN PLACE DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.THE WIN % OF OPULENCE,AL ZAHARA,VIJAY MARG AND MI JHINKLE ARE GOOD AND VERY CLOSE, FOLLOWED BY THAT OF GOOD SPEED.THE PLACE % OF ADELAIDE IS BEST FOLLOWED BY THAT OF GOOD SPEED AD THEN BY MANY HORSES PROMINENT BEING THAT OF MI JHINKLE.

RACE EIGHT

CANNON VIEW IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN AND ARSHAM IS AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.THE WIN % OF CANNON VIEW.THE BEST WIN AND PLACE % IS OF SMART CHOICE, FOLLOWED IN BOTH % BY BENAZIR.THE WIN % OF LUCRATIVE IS NEXT BEST.THE PLACE OF LUCRATIVE IS GOOD AND THAT OF JAY JAY IS DECENT.PLEASE DONT BE PUT OFF BY THE NUMBER OF RUNNERS.ABOUT 7-8 HORSES HAVE NO BUSINESS TO BE RUNNING AND THEIR OBJECTIVE IS TO GET TO THE BOTTOM OF THE SCALE AND TRY TO SCORE A VICTORY OR TWO.

RACE NINE

THIS IS THE OTHER DIVISION OF RACE 6.KOHINOOR FAIRYTALE IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN & RISING RAYS AND HOT SEAT ARE AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.THE WIN % OF ACCORDION IS THE BEST FOLLOWED BY THAT OF THE OUT OF FORM TIARA AND THEN OF CHAMATKAR.THE PLACE % IS THE BEST OF TIARA FOLLOWED BY THAT OF ACCORDION AND THEN OF GREY SHOT WHOSE RIDER WAS CAUTIONED FOR THE EARLIER RIDE.

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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