Thursday, October 2, 2008

SELECTIONS DERBY DAY HYDERABAD

RACE ONE

1.(5)HYPERKINETIC 2 .(6)BLAACK MISCHIEF 3.(2)SPECTACULAR FALCON 4.(1)BOURBON STAR

THE BEST WIN % IS JOINTLY OF SPECTACULAR FALCON AND BLAACK MISCHIEF FOLLOWED BY THAT OF HYPER AND THEN BY BOTH BOURBON STAR AND ENFORCEMENT.THE PLACE % OF BLAACK IS THE BEST FOLLOWED BY BOURBON STAR AND SPECTACULAR FALCON.IF HYPER HAS NOW BEEN GIVEN TO FAISAL HASSAN THE HORSE IS AVOIDABLE FOR EVEN PLACE.SINCE THE TERMS FAVOUR HYPERKINETIC IN COMPARISON TO BOURBON IN SUCEEDING STARS RACE WHERE HYPER FINISHED 8TH AND IS DOWN BY 2 KGS AND BOURBON FINISHED 9TH AND IS UP 4 KGS, BOURBON STANDS NO CHANCE.WE SEE NOWADAYS SURAJ RIDING FOR FAISAL HASSAN.THE HORSE OF PRASAD IS GIVEN TO GNANESHWAR BUT ON DATE SURAJ IS RIDING FOR PRASAD AFTER SOME GAP.LOOKS LIKE THIS RACE IS SET FOR HYPER AND DO A FAVOUR TO FAISAL HASSAN.ON MERIT BLAACK MISCHIEF AND HYPERKINETIC.SURPRISER CAN BE SPECTACULAR FALCON.ALCOHOLOGY LOOKS AT BEST A PLACE.ENFORCEMENT LOOKS DIFFICULT.

RACE TWO

1.(3)SOUND OF NATURE 2 .(4)ONE MISSION 3.(1)SPYMATE 4.(5)LIGHT BRIGADE

THE BEST WIN % IS SHARED BETWEEN ONE MISSION AND SOUND OF NATURE FOLLOWED BY THAT OF SPYMATE AND THEN BY LIGHT BRIGADE.THE BEST PLACE % IS OF SPY MATE AND THEN FOLLOWED JOINTLY BY SOUND AND ONE MISSION FOLLOWED AGAIN BY LOGHT BRIGADE.THE INTERESTING POINT IN THIS RACE IS THAT LIGHT BRIGADE HAS BEATEN ONE MISSION COMPREHENSIVELY AND IS NOW GOING 7.5 KGS DOWN WHEREAS ONE MISSION IS ONLY 4 KG DOWN.HOWEVER THE NEXT RUN OF LIGHT WAS BAD AND ONE MISSION HAS IMPROVED.FLASHY TREND IS AVOIDABLE FOR EVEN PLACE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.EVEN THOUGH ONE MISSION HAS THE BEST RATING,THE HORSES FROM LD LOOK GOOD WITH SOUND LOOKING BETTER.FLASHY TREND HAS NO CHANCE AND LIGHT BRIGADE HAS LOST FORM BUT CAN MAKE A COMEBACK

RACE THREE

1.(1)FLASH FLARES 2 .(2)WINNING RAYS 3.(9)CANADIAN GIRL 4.(3)FEUDAL LORDS.

THE OTHER DIVISION OF THE RACE IS RACE 8.THE BEST WIN & PLACE % IS OF FEUDAL LORDS BUT THE PROBLEM WITH THE HORSE IS THAT IT IS A SLOW STARTER.THE WIN % OF FLASH FLARES IS NEXT BEST AND THEN FOLLOWED BY WINNING RAYS.THE NEXT BEST PLACE % IS OF STAR SENORA WHICH HAD A LAMENESS PROBLEM AND ALSO FELL OFF DURING TRACK WORK FOLLOWED BY WINNING RAYS.FEUDAL LORDS IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.CELTIC SHOT,STAR SPELLBOUND AND LOCAL IKON ARE AVOIDABLE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.FLASH FLARES LOOKS THE BEST.WINNING RAYS ALSO IS IN THE HABIT OF BEING SLOWLY OFF.CANADIAN GIRL CAN UPSET.STAR SENORA SHOULD BE AVOIDED TILL WE UNDERSTAND THE GRAVITY OF ITS LAMENESS PROBLEM AND ALSO THE REASON WHY THE HORSE FELL DOWN DURING TRACKWORK.FEUDAL LORDS IS NORMALLY SLOW AWAY.CAN UPSET.

RACE FOUR

1.(3)CONCEPTUAL 2 .(10)ADORNA 3.(2)METICULOUS 4.(1)ARMSTRONG

THE BEST WIN AND PLACE % IS OF CONCEPTUAL.THE NEXT BEST WIN % IS OF NANO WAR FOLLOWED BY BOTH ARMSTRONG AND LAVENDAR MIST.THE NEXT BEST PLACE % IS OF METICULOUS FOLLOWED BY THAT OF ULTRA VIOLET RAY WHICH IS AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.ULTRA VIOLET RAY,BUNDLE OF ROSES AND GOLDEN FLAME ARE AVOIDABLE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.CONCEPTUAL LOOKS TOO GOOD.HAS TO BEAT THE IMPROVED ADORNA AND METICULOUS.ARMSTRONG CAN SPRING A SURPRISE.YOUNG STAR ,ULTRAVIOLET AND ONERA HAVE NO CHANCE.NANO ,BUNDLE OF ROSES A PLACE ONLY.GOLDEN FLAME CAN UPSET.AMONTILLADO CAN PLACE AND GOLDEN FLAME FROM THE SAME STABLES LOOKS BETTER.

RACE FIVE

1.(9)HURRICANE BAY 2 .(5)VIJAYSAMRAAT 3.(2)POWER PLAY 4.(3)PROHIBITION

THE BEST WIN % IS OF HOLLY GO LIGHTLY FOLLOWED BY THAT OF POWER PLAY AND THEN BY ROYAL EMBASSY.THE BEST PLACE % IS OF POWER PLAY FOLLOWED BY THAT OF INTEGER AND THEN JOINTLY BY HOLLY GO LIGHTLY AND CLEVER PLOY. SHEN LONG IS AVOIDABLE EVEN FOR PLACE DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.PROHIBITION,VIJAYSAMRAT,ROYAL EMBASSY AND SHEN LONG ARE AVOIDABLE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.ONE IN ALL,POWER PLAY,PROHIBITION,HOLLY GO LIGHTLY,INTEGER,REALTOR AND CLEVER PLOY HAVE A PLACE CHANCE.DASH ON REGERADLESS,ROYAL EMBASSY,SHEN LONG AND VENTUROUS CAN BE IGNORED.VIJAYSAMRAAT AND HURRICANE BAY SHOULD FIGHT THIS ONE.

RACE SIX

1.(4)LANCASHIRE 2 .(8)ADAMANT APPROACH 3.(3)CHAMP FOREVER 4.(7)GLARING GODZILLA

ADAMANT APPROACH HAS THE BEST WIN % FOLLOWED BY ARROW OF LIGHT AND THEN JOINTLY BY CHAMP FOREVER AND AL JOUF.THE BEST PLACE % IS OF CHAMP FOREVER FOLLOWED BY THAT OF ADAMANT APPROACH AND THEN BY ARROW OF LIGHT.TRUE LEGEND,KINGS FORTUNE AND AL JOUF ARE AVOIDABLE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR. ARROW OF LIGHT,SECRET COMMAND,CITI STORM,KINGS FORTUNE CAN AT BEST PLACE.FORGET AL JOUF.CHAMP FOREVER, LANCASHIRE AND ADAMANT APPROACH SHOULD FIGHT FOR WIN.TRUE LEGEND AND GLARING CAN UPSET.

RACE SEVEN

1.(3)STAR PRESENTATION 2 .(9)CHIMERIQUE 3.(8)ATTRACTRESS 4.(4)SUCCEEDING STAR

THE BEST WIN % IS OF SUCCEEDING STAR FOLLOWED BY THAT OF LEON CAVALLO ( WHICH HAS BEEN WITHDRAWN)AND THEN BY ATTRACTRESS.THE BEST PLACE 5 IS OF RECONNECT FOLLOWED BY THAT OF STRATEGIC PARTNER AND THEN BY CHIMERIQUE CLOSELY MATCHED BY BOTH STAR PRESENTATION AND SUCCEEDING STAR.WITH SUCH A HIGH OVERALL RATING I AM FORCED TO TIP STAR PRESENTATION AS THE WINNER WITH CHIMERIQUE,SUCCEEDING STAR AND ATTRACTRESS FIGHTING FOR PLACE.RECONNECT MAY GO ON A PACEMAKING MISSION THIS TIME OUT AND MAY NOT PLACE.CARTE BLANCHE AND STRATEGIC PARTNER WILL WATCH THE BACK OF OTHER HORSES.INSPIRING TRUST MAY TRY TO BE THE PACEMAKER FOR SUCCEEDING AND FADE OUT IN THE STRAIGHT.

RACE EIGHT

1.(6)LUCKY DAMSEL 2 .(2)EASY FLASH 3.(5)RED RIVER REBEL 4.(4)SEE YOU THERE

THE BEST WIN % IS OF RED RIVER REBEL FOLLOWED JOINTLY BY THAT OF BEAT HOLLOW, EASY FLASH AND SEE YOU THERE. THE BEST PLACE % IS OF BEAT HOLLOW FOLLOWED BY SEE YOU THERE AND THEN BY RED RIVER REBEL.BON FIRE IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO TRAINER FACTOR.EASY FLASH AND ALLEGATION ARE AVOIDABLE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR. BON FIRE HAS NO CHANCE.ALLEGATION AT BEST CAN PLACE.KOHINOOR CAN ALSO PLACE.LUCKY DAMSEL MAY FIGHT WITH RED RIVER.EASY FLASH AND SEE YOU THERE ALONG WITH BEAT HOLLOW SHOULD FIGHT FOR PLACE

DAYS BEST 4-3

BEST OF LUCK

GOOD BETS FOR THE DAY
THREE 2 PLACE
FOUR 2 PLACE
FIVE 5 PLACE
SIX 8 PLACE
SEVEN 9 PLACE

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

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