Sunday, November 16, 2008

OBSERVATIONS 20.11.08 HYDERABAD( Some changes have been made)

RACE ONE

PURELY A K.SATHISH AND LD SILVA AFFAIR.The best Win % & Place % is of Power Play followed by that of Sparsh.It could be a batttle royal between these two. SPARSH,POWER PLAY,CANOPUS AND RAVILEENA each have a winner over the distance but Spasrh with 20 % win and 80 % place & Power Play with 25 % win and 75% place share the top ranking.SUPER BRAND IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR

RACE TWO

Three horses have run before and none of them were impressive.The winner must emerge from a first timer only.Due to the current season performance RUFFIANO is avoidable for win due to Trainer Factor and KANSAS CITY MAGIC is avoidable for win due to jockey factor.

RACE THREE

The best Win % is of Title Shot followed Jointly by Ripples and Shivaji.The best Place % is also of Title Shot followed by Vanenberg.Vanenberg has the most winners over the distance.Ripples has the best place % over the distance followed by Golden Sabot

RACE FOUR

The best Win % is of Khaleels Pride followed Closely by Bold Blast and then by Champ Forever.The best place % is of Champ Forever followed by Ruby Queen.Khaleels Pride has the most winners over the distance.Classic Art and Ruby queen share a healthy 80 % place and 40 % Win.Khaleels has a 44.4 % win over this distance.Due to the current season performance GENTLEMANS DEAL is avoidable for win due to Trainer Factor and KHALEELS PRIDE is avoidable for win due to jockey factor.

RACE FIVE

The 5th and 7th race are run in two divisions for the same plate.The best WIN % is of LUCRATIVE followed by that of Execute.The best place % is of Asian Delight followed by that of Execute.Only Lucrative has won over this distance.Asian delight has a healthy 50 % place,followed by Execute with 25 % and then Lucrative 20 % over this distance,FIRST SOLAR IS AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR. Due to the current season performance LUCRATIVE is avoidable for win due to JOCKEY FACTOR .

RACE SIX

The best Win % is of Blaack Mischief followed by Iaepetus.The best place % is also of Blaack Mischief followed by Vijaydhanush.Sir Creek, Iaepetus, Blaack Mischief and Vijaydhanush have Won over this distance.Blaack has won its only start.Vijaydhanush has an impressive 100 % place record.SIR CREEK AND PROUD ACCOLADE ARE AVOIDABLE FOR WIN DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.Due to the current season performance PROUD ACCOLADE, SECRET SILENCE , VIJAY DHANUSH AND FIRE BENDER are avoidable for win due to Trainer Factor and BLAACK MISCHIEF AND GREEN HAVEN are avoidable for win due to jockey factor.

RACE SEVEN

The 5th and 7th race are run in two divisions for the same plate.Only Recast has won over this distance.Jay jay has an impressive 55.6 % place record over this distance.Recast has a 27 % place record.Only two horses namely Turning Point and Recast have Won earlier with recast having a better Win %.The Best Place % is also of Recast with the next best being of Jay Jay.CITI DANCER AND TENTH PLANET ARE AVOIDABLE FOR EVEN PLACE DUE TO JOCKEY FACTOR.Due to the current season performance AZZAX is avoidable for win due to Trainer Factor and TURNING POINT, AZZAX AND WHITE CHIEFTAN are avoidable for win due to jockey factor.

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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