Sunday, November 30, 2008

OBSERVATIONS 30.11.08

RACE ONE

The best WIN % is of BID FOR GLORY followed by that of ATTATURK and the best Place % is of PINAAKINI followed by that of EXCELLENT ABILITY . .Only Attaturk and Bid for Glory have won before.The 1st and 3rd race are run in two divisions.ATTATURK AND FANTASY KNOT are avoidable even for place due to Trainers factor.ATTATURK,PINAAKINI and EXCELLENT ABILITY are avoidable for WIN and FANTASY KNOT is avoidable even for PLACE due to Jockey factor.

RACE TWO

The best WIN % is of LITTLE PREMIUM followed by that of GAMPU and the best Place % is of GREAT CHIEFTAN followed by that of ASPIRING SEVEN .Only Aspiring Seven, Little Premium and Gampu have won before.The maximum winners over this distance is of .TWO TO TANGO,LADY OF LIGHT AND COUELLE ARE avoidable even for place due to Trainer factor.GENTLEMANS GLORY,VALIANT BID,LITTLE PREMIUM and COUELLE are avoidable even for PLACE & ASPIRING SEVEN and TWO TO TANGO is avoidable for win due to JOCKEY FACTOR.

RACE THREE

The best WIN % is of SCRAMJET followed by that of JUST GREAT and the best Place % is of SUPER SHA followed jointly by that of AFFIRMED CROWN AND SCRAMJET.The maximum winners over this distance is of .ATLANTUS is avoidable for Win and WORTH A MILLION AND CUTE STYLE are avoidable even for PLACE due to Trainer factor.CUTESTYLE is avoidable for WIN & LOOK ALIKE, WORTH A MILLION AND ATLANTUS are avoidable even for PLACE due to Jockey Factor

RACE FOUR

This race is for 2 Y old maidens of which only 3 have raced before .DRAMATIC DANCER is avoidable for Win due to Trainer Factor and DESERT IMAGE is avoidable for even PLACE due to Trainer Factor.ROYAL LEGEND AND MYSTIC QUEST are avoidable for WIN & GOOD GIFT, DESERT IMAGE,CELTIC HEROINE AND SMART COOKY are avoidable even for Place due to Jockey Factor

RACE FIVE

The best WIN % is of EL GORDO followed by that of EXCELLENT SPEED and the best Place % is of DOUBLE ELITE followed by that of VAN DE STAR .The maximum winners over this distance is of .DOUBLE ELITE and FREE MASON are avoidable for Win due to Jockey Factor.

RACE SIX

The best WIN % is of FIREZONE followed jointly by that of VALIANT BAY AND MUSICAL PARADISE and the best Place % is of SPARK OF GOLD followed by that of VALIANT BAY .The maximum winners over this distance is of .SANGINI and FLY FREE are avoidable for even PLACE due to Trainer Factor.

RACE SEVEN

The best WIN % is of AQUITAINE followed by that of ORIGINALITY and the best Place % is JOINTLY of ABS FABS, ICE BREAKER AND AQUITAINE followed by that of GLORIOUS PRINCESS .The maximum winners over this distance is of .VIOLET HONEY is avoidable for win due to Jockey Factor.

RACE EIGHT

The best WIN % is of followed by that of and the best Place % is of followed by that of .The maximum winners over this distance is of .STONE OF DESTINY is avoidable for even PLACE due to trainer factor.ACT SMART & EASY ARE avoidable for win & MUCHO, STONE OF DESTINY,LUCKYNUMBERSLEVIN,RAIDERS SON and ROYAL TREAURE are even avoidable for place due to JOCKEY FACTOR

RACE NINE

The best WIN % is of followed by that of and the best Place % is of followed by that of .The maximum winners over this distance is of .A RUN TO REMEMBER and ZANGI are avoidable for even PLACE and WHISPER VALLEY is avoidable for win due to trainer factor.SHUSHAM AND STAR BLUE are avoidable for WIN & A RUN TO REMEMBER , MY PRECIOUS GIRL,ZANGI AND WHISPER VALLEY are even avoidable for place due to JOCKEY FACTOR>

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.


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