Friday, December 12, 2008

INITIAL OBSERVATIONS 13.12.08

Looks like some avoidables will upset tomorrow.That does not mean i expect Manohar to win but the possibiloty of Sapra Placing and Chandrasekhar winning does exist.I wouldnt expect shobhan Babu to win but place he can.I dont expect the Inayathula/ Vivek combination to do well tomorrow but a lokanath upset is possible.Sharath can place.Puttanna can try for a win.

Everybody has to stay in business so some good thing may come for Bookies to earn and something good for punters to earn

We can see a JIYO AUR JEENE DO tomorrow.

Anyway the following may interest you......

RACE ONE

FAIR OPTION had an easy run,was slowly off and then finished well with a dud jockey to place.PLATINUM CHAMBER is avoidable even for place and SUN GOLD & AMAZER are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor.SUN GOLD, NORTHERN SPLENDOUR & PLATINUM CHARMER are avoidable even for place due to jockey factor.The options for win therefore are FAIR OPTION,SPARK OF OLDENBURG,REAL MAGIC & FOND APPROACH

RACE TWO

The best WIN % is of ADAIR followed by that of ASPIRING SEVEN and the best Place % is of STAGELIGHT followed by that of CHILLI CHOCOLATE.The maximum winners over this distance is of ASPIRING SEVEN with 2 wins and placing 9 times. WHISPER VALLEY has the best place % of 66.7%.HELLO HAPPiNESS is avoidable even for place and WHISPER VALLEY & NON STOP CANNON are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor. avoidable even for place and CHAR CHAND is avoidable for win and WHISPER VALLEY is avoidable even for place due to Jockey factor.ADAIR has a perennial lameness problem.NON STOP CANNON has repeated Vet problems and the COOL one has frequest problem at the starting stall.The Options for win therefore are CENTRUM, CHILLI CHOCOLATE,ASPIRING SEVEN,ADAIR, STAGELIGHT,GALLOPPING BLUES,MEXICAN WAVE & THE COOL ONE.

RACE THREE

The best WIN % is of SILKEN CLARE followed by that of MILAGRO and the best Place % is again of SILKEN CLARE followed by again that of MILAGRO.The maximum winners over this distance is of TINAS TRIUMPH with 4 wins followed by both SILKEN CLARE & ANDRONICUS with 3 wins each.The place % of ANDRONICUS over this distance is 85.7 %( 6 TIMES IN 7 RUNS) followed by SILKEN CLARE with 83.3 % ( 5 times out of 6 runs).SOUTHERNER is avoidable even for place and TINAS TRIUMPH is avoidable for win due to Trainer factor. TINAS TRIUMPH is avoidable even for place and MILAGRO & EL GORDO avoidable for win due to Jockey factor.EL GORDO was slowly away last time and the Jockey reported loss of whip.The Options for win therefore are QUEEN RANIA, SILKEN CLARE,ANDRONICUS,LUSH FOLIAGE & MANGALYA PRARAMBH.

RACE FOUR

The best WIN % is of CALLISTA followed by that of GIFT A DIAMOND and the best Place % is of SUPERIOR SURPRISE followed by that of CALLISTA .The maximum winners over this distance is of .BADA RUPAIYYA has the maximum number of wins over the distance.SUPERIOR SURPRISE,JEDI KNIGHT. GIFT A DAMOND,EVER SO CLEVER , MADAM RICH and CRACKERJACK each have 2 wins.EVER SO CLEVER has a good 75 % place over the distance which includes two wins in 4 runs followed by JEDI KNIGHT with 62.5 % & SUPERIOR SURPRISE at 61.5 %.AUCHINLECH is avoidable even for place and DOUBLE EMERGE & SANGINI are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor. MADAM RICH, SANGINI & BADDA RUPAIYYA are avoidable even for place due to Jockey factor.The Options for win therefore are CALLISTA, SUPERIOR SURPRISE,JEDI KNIGHT, GIFT A DIAMOND,EVER SO CLEVER,REFRESH & CRACKERJACK

RACE FIVE

The best WIN % is JOINTLY that of CANNAVARO & PERFECT TRIBUTE followed by that of AFEA and the best Place % is of CANNAVARO followed by that of PERFECT TRIBUTE .The maximum winners over this distance is of CLASSICAL DANCER & AFEA .PERFECT TRIBUTE has placed in both its runs. Cannavaro has a very good 80 % place over the distance.FANTABULOUS PRINCE is avoidable even for place and CLASSICAL DANCER is avoidable for win due to Trainer factor . FANTABULOUS PRINCE & PERFECT TRIBUTE avoidable even for place due to Jockey factor.The Options for win therefore are LAVA, READ MY MIND,CANNAVARO,STRONG MINDED & AFEA

RACE SIX

The best WIN % is jointly that of ON THE DOT,ROYAL BANK and MEDIA MAN followed by that of YOU AND I and the best Place % is of RAPTOR FORCE followed jointly by that of ON THE DOT & ROYAL BANK .The maximum winners over this distance is of A RUN TO REMEMBER .ROYAL BANK has placed in all its 4 runs over the distance.CUTE STYLE,MEDIA MAN & A RUN TO REMEMBER are avoidable even for place and ROYAL BANK & SARANG are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor.ON THE DOT, A RUN TO REMEMBER & SERENGETTI SUNRISE avoidable even for place due to Jockey factor.The Options for win therefore are RAPTOR FORCE, YOU AND I,SON OF THE SUN & HURRICANE SPIRIT

RACE SEVEN

The best WIN % is of FLEETING ARROW followed by that of ABLE ASSOCIATE and the best Place % is jointly of ABLE ASSOCIATE & ARISTOS followed jointly by that of FLEETING ARROW & ORIGINALITY .The maximum winners over this distance is of STAR PRESENTATION.FLEETING ARROW & ABLE ASSOCIATE have won their only start ove this distance.ORIGINALITY has placed in its only run.ARCHIPENKO & FANTASTIC QUEST have won one and placed in all the three starts over the distance. There are no avoidables due to Trainer factor. STAR SPEED is avoidable even for place due to Jockey factor.The Options for win therefore are all other horses other than STAR SPEED.

RACE EIGHT

The best WIN % is of TOMSK followed by that of OWN VOICE and the best Place % is again of TOMSK followed again by that of OWN VOICE.The maximum winners over this distance is jointly that of NOBLE GUEST & DANCING HIGHNESS with 4 wins each.PERPETUITY has won the only time it has raced over this distance.NOBLE GUEST has a decent 58.3 % place in this distance.OWN VOICE had not even placed when it had raced once over this distance.EXCLUSIVE GESTURE is avoidable even for place and NOBLE GUEST is avoidable for win due to Trainer factor. EXCLUSIVE GESTURE & OWN VOICE are avoidable for win due to Jockey factor.The Options for win therefore are VANQUISH, SLAVIC,PERPETUITY, ROYAL AMBASSADOR,DANCING HIGHNESS, SOBERANO,FULL SPEED, MILFORD and TOMSK

RACE NINE

The best WIN % is of GRAPHIC DESIGN followed by that of LAGO VISTA and the best Place % is of LAGO VISTA followed by that of WORTH A MILLION.The maximum winners over this distance is of MASTER STRATEGIST,WORTH A MILLION and GRAPHIC DESIGN each with 2 wins.LAGO VISTA has a decent 50 % place which includes a WIN & WORTH A MILLION has 38.4 % place over the distance.WORTH A MILLION, WORD TO WORD ,RAIN MAN & PRINCE KIDANE are avoidable even for place and GRAPHIC DESIGN and SHES A DIAMOND are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor.GRAPHIC DESIGN,WORTH A MILLION, LAGO VISTA,WORD TO WORD,GENTLEMANS GLORY AND NICE GUY are avoidable even for place and RAIN MAN is avoidable for win due to Jockey factor.The Options for win therefore are MASTER STRATEGIST,SEASONS GREETINGS and BROTHERS IN ARMS.

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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