Saturday, December 20, 2008

HYDERABAD 21.12.08 OBSERVATIONS

RACE ONE

DAILY STAR & SPARKLING SAPPHIRE are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor. BELLE DANCER has the advantage of placing over the current distance.BOYANCE is avoidable even for place and ROOKIE is avoidable for win due to Jockey factor.

RACE TWO

Pygmalion is avoidable for win due to Trainer factor.GLORIOUS BAY is avoidable even for place due to Jockey factor. RIDE TO GLORY has the advantage of placing over the current distance.

RACE THREE

The best WIN % is of MAXIMISE followed by that of BOLD BLAST and the best Place % is of MAXIMISE followed by that of BLAST IN CLASS .The maximum winners over this distance is of OROCHI.MAXIMISE has not done well over this distance.BLAST IN CLASS also has done well by winning twice and placing once over this distance. BOLD BLAST is avoidable even for place due to Jockey factor.On terms OROCHI runs with a lesser weight after beating BLAST IN CLASS who runs at the same weight.LOGICALLY OROCHI should again beat BLAST IN CLASS.

RACE FOUR

The best WIN % is of PRETTY FIT followed by that of RUNWAY MODEL and the best Place % is of RUNWAY MODEL followed by that of STAR WORLD .The maximum winners over this distance is that of PRETTY FIT.RUNWAY MODEL has placed 5 times( including 3 wins) in its 10 runs.FUSION MUSIC & BON FIRE are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor.RUNWAY MODEL & CHANGE OF LOYALTY are avoidable for win due to Jockey factor.

RACE FIVE

The best WIN % is JOINTLY that of BAKERSFIELD & IVORY SNOW followed by that of EASY MOVER and the best Place % is of ARTISTIC EMPEROR followed by that of ZORBONAUT .The maximum winners over this distance is JOINTLY that of EASY MOVER,HIGHLANDS & TRACK RULE.ZORBONAUT has placed thrice in its 5 runs .There are 3 runners in this race, namely CHINA PEARL,TRACK RULE & INDIAN STORM trained by Habeebullah but is avoidable for win.CHINA PEARL & STROKE OF LUCK avoidable even for place and GLOBAL STAR & TRACK RULE are avoidable for win due to Jockey factor.

RACE SIX

The best WIN % is of MANDURO followed by that of KING SIZE and the best Place % is of KING SIZE followed by that of BOURBON STAR .Only GOLDEN TRICKS and PROUD ACCOLADE have won once over this distance.CHIEF DE MISSION , MANDURO & SECRET SILENCE are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor.BOURBON STAR is avoidable for win due to Jockey factor.

RACE SEVEN

The best WIN % is of JET EXPRESS followed by that of UJJAINI and the best Place % is of PAGE THREE followed by that of WORLD WIDE .The maximum winners over this distance is JOINTLY that of JET EXPRESS & UJJAINI .PAGE THREE and SPECTACULAR HERO are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor.PLAY ZONE is avoidable for win due to Jockey factor.

RACE EIGHT

The best WIN % is of ICE MAN followed by that of FLASH FLARES and the best Place % is again of ICE MAN followed by that of ROYAL GUARD .Only ROYAL GUARD and CALIGATAE have won once over this distance. FLASH FLARES & TITLE SHOT are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor.

RACE NINE

The best WIN % is of INDIAN ARMY followed by that of TIME SQUARE and the best Place % is of ALTAI followed by that of MILLENIUM QUEEN .ONLY TIME SQUARE has won over the distance . TIME SQUARE,PLAY IT SMART,SPINTHEMALL & WHITE CHIEFTAN are avoidable for win due to Trainer factor.BHARADVIJ is avoidable even for place and TIME SQUARE & GOING PLACES are avoidable for win due to Jockey factor.

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.


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