MUMBAI 19.2.09 ANALYSIS & OBSERVATIONS

RACE ONE
4 MOONSTORM 90
6 BLADE RUNNER 90
1 MARMARIS 65
3 CLASSIC DREAM 63
7 WHITE HART LANE 56

The best Average last four run time is of MOONSTORM followed by that of BLADE RUNNER .On track MOONSTORM is good.On ipr and overall performance ARABIAN EMPEROR & WHITE HART LANE look difficult.MARMARIS, MYPET HONEY & ARABIAN EMPEROR have each won once over the distance
The best rating increase is of MYPETHONEY followed by that of MARMARIS . WHITE HART LANE has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & MYPET HONEY,MOONSTORM,BLADE RUNNER & ROYAL HUNTER has NON WINNER RATING.On rating analysis MARMARIS, MY PET HONEY,CLASSIC DREAM,MOONSTORM,BLADE RUNNER & ROYAL HUNTER will find it difficult to win but on Timing & IPR analysis the race should be between MOONSTORM & BLADE RUNNER. Because of the confusing signals, this race is avoidable but both MOONSTORM & BLADE RUNNER are place certainties.

RACE TWO
4 EKHABINSKYA 88
1 HYMNS TO FREEDOM 75
7 GLOBAL SPIRIT 64
8 VICTOR IVANOV 64
3 INSITE SOUL 50

The best Average last four run time is of followed by that of .On track INSITE SOUL & EKHABINSKYA are good.On ipr and overall performance ANAMIKA,LIGHTNING BOLT & THE RIGHT MAN look difficult.LIGHTNING BOLT has won twice over the distance which is the best performance
The best rating increase is of GLOBAL SPIRIT followed JOINTLY by that of VICTOR IVANOV & THE RIGHT MAN .EKHABINSKYA has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & INSITE SOUL, GLOBAL SPIRIT & VICTOR IVANOV has NON WINNER RATING and these will find it diffcult to win.On rating analysis EKHABINSKYA has a good chance to win & LIGHTNING BOLT has an upset chance.

RACE THREE
4 BRAD 80
2 CONGRATS 77
1 PENINSULA 67
5 TSESEBE 45
3 RAGE OF ANGELS 32

The best Average last four run time is of BRAD followed by that of CONGRATS .On track CONGRATS is good.On ipr and overall performance RAGE OF ANGELS looks difficult.NO HORSE has won over 1800 mrs before
The best rating increase is of RAGE OF ANGELS followed by that of PENINSULA having the same rating . PENINSULA has the rating with MAXIMUM winners.As per rating analysis peninsula has an upsetting chance even though as per IPR & OVERALL performance the race should be between CONGRATS & BRAD.

RACE FOUR
2 SECRET GLORY 87
4 CALYPSO DANCER 80
1 INDIAN SUMMER 74
3 BORN DESTINY 60
8 REFUSE TO BEND 58

The best Average last four run time is of SECRET GLORY followed by that of BORN DESTINY.On track CALYPSO DANCER & CEST BON are good.On ipr and overall performance SOLSJKAER,HISHAM,SUDDEN IMPACT & LONE TROJAN look difficult.SURMOUNT also looks only a place.INDIAN SUMMER, BORN DESTINY & SOLSJKAER have each won once over the distance.
The best rating increase is of BORN DESTINY followed by that of REFUSE TO BEND .SECRET GLORY has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & SOLSJKAER,SUDDEN IMPACT & LONE TROJAN have NON WINNER RATING and cannot win.On rating analysis INDIAN SUMMER also cannot win.As per the same SECRET GLORY & BORN DESTINY have a good chance.The first timer may need the run.We may have to give another ( probably last) chance for SECRET to redeem itself.

RACE FIVE
9 KA CHING 87
11 WALKING TALL 82
7 FRANGIPANI 69
3 RAQUEL 65
8 SOLID BLACK 64

The best Average last four run time is of followed by that of .On track WALKING TALL is good.On ipr and overall performance FIRED UP, DA VINCI & GIOCOMETTI look difficult.RAQUEL & SOLID BLACK have both won twice over this distance.
The best rating increase is of KA CHING followed by that of WALKING TALL . WALKING TALL has the rating with MAXIMUM winners followed by that of KA CHING & SOLID BLACK has NON WINNER RATING and cannot win.On rating analysis both KA CHING & WALKING TALL have a good chance and FIRED UP & MAJOR WAGER have upsetting chance.PRINCE LOCHINVA & RAQUEL may find it difficult to win due to rating analysis.

RACE SIX
7 FAIR TACTICS 81
9 RED DAWN 79
6 PILLATUS 73
2 SPICA 70
1 SPIRITUALL 66

The best Average last four run time is of PILLATUS followed by that of RED DAWN .On track SPIRITUALL,SPICA,PILLATUS, RED DAWN & ZARZAITAINE are good.On ipr and overall performance COSMOPOLITAN looks difficult.SPICA, THREE OF ARTS & RED DAWN have each won twice over the distance
The best rating increase is of FAIR TACTICS followed by that of RED DAWN .RED DAWN has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & NATIVE STRATEGY, THREE OF ARTS & FAIR TACTICS have NON WINNER RATING and cannot win.On rating analysis ALGO MAS also looks difficult.On the same basis SPIRITUALL & RED DAWN have a decent chance.

RACE SEVEN
3 DUKE OF WINDSOR 92
12 ROKEBY VENUS 90
11 RIVER BLOSSOM 81
15 VIOLETTA 79
1 ARTS 77

On track ARTS & VIOLETTA are good.On rating analysis BEMISAAL,NOBLE SALUTE,CAUSTIC FINALE,EMPRESS OF INDIA, ESTEVEZ,SECRET MAGIC & SNOW QUEEN will find it difficult to win.On the same basis DANCING MONEY has a good chance though on TRAINER , JOCKEY & TIMING does not inspire confidence & RED DRAGON & VIOLETTA have a decent chance.
DANCING MONEY has the rating with MAXIMUM winners followed by that of RED DRAGON and VIOLETTA & RIVER BLOSSOM and ROKEBY VENUS have NON WINNER RATING and may find it difficult to win.

RACE EIGHTH
9 NIMBLE FEET 76
3 RED INDIAN 75
10 GENERALISSIMO 72
2 ALVIDA 65
5 THE RISING 62

The best Average last four run time is JOINTLY of RED INDIAN, BORN TO LEAD & NIMBLE FEET followed by that of GENERALISSIMO .On track STAR O WAR is good.On ipr and overall performance COVENANT looks difficult for win and may at best place.STAR O WAR has the maximum winners - 4 times over the distance
The best rating increase is of PREMIER PERCEPTION followed by that of LEGENDARY .STAR O WAR has the rating with MAXIMUM winners &COVENANT, OYSTER PRINCESS,BORN TO LEAD & PREMIER PERCEPTION have NON WINNER RATING and will find it difficult to win.On rating analysis STAR O WAR has a GOOD CHANCE and LEGENDARY & THE RISING have a decent chance.On the same basis ALVIDA looks difficult

RACE NINTH
9 MICKEY MANTLE 92
5 KISS AWAY 85
2 MISCHIEVOUS TROT 77
7 ROMAN BEAUTY 61
8 CALLING THE SHOTS 60

The best Average last four run time is of MICKY MANTLE followed by that of Mt GREEY .On track PROCYON,MISCHIEVOUS TROT,BONNY LIGHT & CALLING THE SHOTS are good.On ipr and overall performance GATRAVAT, BONNY LIGHT,GYPSY QUEEN & NOTABLE RUNNER look difficult.BONNY LIGHT has won twice over the distance.
The best rating increase is of ROMAN BEAUTY followed by that of Mr GREEDY .CALLING THE SHOTS has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & BONNY LIGHT and NOTABLE RUNNER have NON WINNER RATING and will find it difficult to win.On rating analysis GATRAVAT, KISS AWAY & CALLING THE SHOTS have a decent chance.

RACE TEN
3 ARGENTINA 95
8 MUSICAL RHYTHM 74
10 SPARROW HAWK 72
11 OPERA ROYALE 68
9 ELEMENTTO TRANCE 58

The best Average last four run time is of ARGENTINA followed by that of SPARROW HAWK.On track ARGENTINA is good.On ipr and overall performance KEMPINSKI, ARISTROCRATICAL, GOLDEN KEY & LILAC TIME look difficult.No horse has won over 1800 mtrs before.
The best rating increase is of ARGENTINA followed by that of OPERA ROYALE .OPERA ROYALE has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & ARISTROCRATICAL,GOLDEN KEY,LILAC TIME have NON WINNER RATING and will find it difficult to win.On rating analysis KEMPINSKI will find it difficult to win & ARGENTINA,FOREVER AMBER,MUSICAL RHYTHM & OPERA ROYALE have a decent chance to score.