Hi Folks,
Set Alight should resume her winning spree by annexing The Maharaja Morvi Trophy for Indian horses 4 years old only to be run over a distance of 1400mts in a canter. She is kept in immaculate condition and should tackle this opposition to bring home the Hoodoo Trophy. Generally horses winning here fair badly in Indian Derby. I suppose trainer Pesi Shroff is not superstitious. In The Royal Calcutta Turf Club Trophy a handicap for horses rated 90 and above(Class I) to be run over a distance of 1400mts, I strongly fancy Cotswold Arms to Red Romeo the odds on favourite here. Cotswold Arms according to me is a pure Class I horse enjoying a rating of 104 point officially whereas Red Romeo is placed at 81 points. Now if taken into account this factor it is a difference of 23 points plus Cotswold Arms is claiming 5 kg additional allowance. Well if Red Romeo has to win it will purely be on jockeyship and even though it enjoys weight difference do not forget it will carry some over weight. Hence one should take a chance either by eating or by playing each way Cotswold Arms. Similarly in The Sir Rahimtoola Chinoy Trophy a handicap for horses rated 60-86(Class II)to be run over a distance of 1600mts, Secret Pilgrim being a pure Class II enjoys a wafer thin advantage over Ikaria which had a very hard race last time out. Both will have a fight on hand. For The Sir H.M.Mehta Trophy a handicap for horses rated 40-66 (Class III) ANTONIOS looks a cinch for the day inspite of Southern Summit having the advantage of a good mock race. My rest of the speed ratings for the day are as follows:
Race No. 1:
Phospher 628
Galactica 615
Chief Warrior 614
Opera Royale 607
Persian Power 602
Race No. 2:
Visionary has an edge over Sea Treasure and De Nada on account of good track work
Race No. 3:
Optimistic 658
Clarion Call 646
Uproar 638
Red Mesa 632
Ashwa Prabha 632
Race No. 4:
Set Alight 679
Flaming Ace 658
Romantic Impact 609
Race No. 5:
Cotswold Arms 691
Red Romeo 682
Cairndhu 651
Race No. 6:
Secret Pilgrim 633
Ikaria 631
Flashing Flame 601
Race No. 7:
ANTONIOS 681
Southern Summit 628
Ishtar 618
Snow Blind 609
Race No. 8:
Forbes List 656
Exotic Star 645
Victor Ivanov 644
Nuncio 643
Katania 629
Race No. 9:
Ecstatica - though debut run has an excellent track work on 4/2 wherein it finished six lengths ahead of Chevron should finish ahead of the rest.
Chieftan 620
Fearlessnegotiator 615
Flying Spirit 606
Resilence 606
Day"s Best : ANTONIOS
Good Double : Secret Pilgrim and Antonios
Kainchi w/pl : Cotswold Arms, Secret Pilgrim, Antonios and Forbes List
Good luck to all,
Thanking you,
Jimmy
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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.
We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.
Mathematics by itself does not work whenever human involvement is there.
An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.
The blog can be accessed by all and no invitation is necessary
We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.
Mathematics by itself does not work whenever human involvement is there.
An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.
The blog can be accessed by all and no invitation is necessary
1 comment:
Mr.Jimmy. Your ratings are brilliant. But for Seastorm, Cotsworld Arms would have won today. Antonios indeed turned out to be cinch. So did Ecstatica. Your hard work is really appreciated. Thank you.
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