ICEBREAKER for The HDIL Indian Oaks (Grade I)

Hi Folks,

Icebreaker trained by newly crowned champion trainer of Bangalore S.Padmanabhan,to be ridden by highly skillful jockey D.Allan is in good shape and should not find it difficult to win The HDIL Indian Oaks run over 2400mts. Icebreaker is the second best filly in the country who has improved with every run and further she goes better she travels. She had an educative run in one thousand guineas wherein she beat Originality quite comfortably home and dry. Still on scales it is just superior by 3.5kgs to Originality and 12kgs to Phenomenale (officially). Now Originality is the real joker in the pack. It is having the best track work of all the fillies running here but can she travel extra distance is a big question mark. According to me the longer she travels better. Hence she can trouble Icebreaker somewhat. Phenomenale though ran two thousand impressively and was seen leading the field upto 200mts, did not impress me much as Antonios placed ahead of her being 6kgs inferior in scales. Hence Icebreaker the Poonawalla Bangalore Derby winner is not short in class and in fact is way ahead of Phenomenale in scales and also has a proven record amongst good colts at Bangalore. Icebreaker having matched strides with the champion filly Set Alight in the 1000 Guineas gave me an impression that she had managed to hang on with Set Alight though only for a samll phase and please note that was her first run on Mumbai track. It was a gallop in preparation for the Oaks and that should make her connections very confident. Hence I would not hesitate to nominate Icebreaker as the best betting proposition for the day whereby one can make it a banker in the carried forward super jackpot pool and if need arises one can cover up by taking a permutation Tanala which is also carried forward by taking a simple four way ticket i.e. Icebreaker, Originality, Phenomenale and Attractress. In The P.D. Avasia Trophy I fancy Premier Perception in this inferior field as she has been consistent lately and the opposition she has to face is none too difficult. She looks good in this set and should prevail with ease. In The Byculla Club Trophy Meseeha with in form jockey S.A. Desousa looks outstanding eventhough it has been beaten by Nitrous last Mumbai season by 2.5ls. As Nitrous has lost form this season tremendously and was also beaten by former I do not see reversal. My rest of the speed ratings for the day are as follows;

Race No. 1:
(avoidable race)

Solar 616
Belligerent 612
Forest Native 604
Rattle 600

Race No. 2:
(avoidable race)

River Glory 624
Moon Flower 622
Riding Fantasy 619
Notability 602
Anastasia 600

Race No. 3:

Premier Perception 698
Red Dawn 689
Star O' War 684
Native Strategy 672
Rising 650

Race No. 4:

Arts 695
Whispering Willows 673
Caption Smart 661
Cinquecento - first run can place ahead of Captain Smart

Race No. 5:

Salve Regina 647
Chois 634
Catalyst 617
Go Guzzi Go 610

Race No. 6:
(avoidable race)

Classic Spirit 644
King Of The Ring 629
Borzu Again 626
Any Time Money 623
Flying Rock 618
Lady Trooper 605
Tequiero 590

Race No. 7:

Snowden 645
Golden Kingdom 638
Grand Warrior 635
Ran Banka 614
Sir Taj 606
Illusionist 603

Race No. 8:

ICEBREAKER 638
Originality 630
Phenomenale 615
Attractress 601

Race No. 9:

Hava Nagila 675
Hidden Dragon 668
Highland Bounty 665
Blue Jay 661
Daffodils 649
Rubidium 641
Tembung 635

Race No. 10:

Maseeha 529
Nitrous 525
Silver Tern 515

Day's Best : ICEBREAKER

Good Double : Arts and Icebreaker

Kainchi w/pl : Premier Perception, Arts and Icebreaker

Good luck to all,

Thanking you,

Jimmy


P.S. : The above views are my PRESUMPTIONS and one can either follow it or
pass over it, healthy comments/suggestions will be entertained by me rather
than foul filthy language.