MUMBAI 15TH MARCH 20009 - ANALYSIS, OBSERVATIONS & SELECTIONS

RACE ONE
2 RULE OF LAW 83
1 FLUENT VICTORY 78
3 SHABDEEZ 76
9 LAST NIGHTS SONNET 68
11 KIMAYA 64

The best Average last four run time from previous runners is of RULE OF LAW followed by that of SHABDEEZ .On track THE TEMPEST is good.On ipr and overall performance RAFTAAR,LAST NIGHTS SONNET & KIMAYA looks difficult.On rating analysis RULE OF LAW has a good chance , FLUENT VICTORY & SHABDEEZ have a decent chance & RAFTAAR looks difficult.
The best rating increase is of LAST NIGHTS SONNET followed by that of RULE OF LAW.RULE OF LAW has the rating with MAXIMUM winners on combined rating & EASTER LILY, IRISH COFFEE & KIMAYA have NON WINNER MUMBAI RATING.NO HORSE HAS WON BEFORE.The best PLACE % is of RULE OF LAW followed JOINTLY by SHABDEEZ and EASTER LILY.

1.(6) THE TEMPEST 2 .(2)RULE OF LAW 3.(3) SHABDEEZ 4.(4)ANEMOS

RACE TWO
4 BLUE DANUBE 98
1 BATTLE FURY 77
5 CRÈME DE LA CRÈME 70
6 PEREGRINE FALCON 58
2 DHRUPAD 51

The best Average last four run time of NON FIRST TIME runners is of BLUE DANUBE followed by that of BATTLE FURY .On track BATTLE FURY,BLUE DANUBE & LITTLE WARRIOR are good.On ipr and overall performance DHRUPAD, CREME DE LA CREME,PEREGRINE FALCON look difficult.BATTLE FURY also looks at best a place.On rating analysis BLUE DANUBE has a decent chance & LITTLE WARRIOR,PEREGRINE FALCON,RIDING FANTASY, RIVER ROUTE looks difficult.
The best rating increase is of BLUE DANUBE followed by that of CRÈME DE LA CRÈME, which also has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & DHRUPAD has NON WINNER MUMBAI RATING.NO HORSE HAS EVEN PLACED till now.I would prefer and improving BLUE but LITTLE WARRIOR is tracking very well and may not be worth if the odds are cramped.

1.(4)BLUE DANUBE 2 .(3)LITTLE WARRIOR 3.(1)BATTLE FURY 4.(5)CRÈME DE LA CRÈME

RACE THREE
6 BRAD 85
8 FALCON CREST 82
7 INDIAN SUMMER 71
4 RISING HERO 53
2 THUNDERING HOOVES 51

The best Average last four run time is of BRAD followed by that of INDIAN SUMMER .On track NORA & FALCON CREST are good.On ipr and overall performance TRUE ELEGANCE looks difficult.THUNDERING HOOVES & RISING HERO at best look a place.On rating analysis INDIAN SUMMER has a decent chance & TRUE ELEGANCE looks difficult.
The best rating increase is of BRAD followed by that of INDIAN SUMMER which has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & THUNDERING HOOVES & WALKING TALL has NON WINNER MUMBAI RATING.The best performance over this distance is of NORA & FALCON CREST with 1 win each.The best WIN % is of FALCON CREST followed by NORA & The best PLACE % is of RISING HERO followed JOINTLY by THUNDERING HOOVES & BRAD.

1.(7)INDIAN SUMMER 2 .(8)FALCON CREST 3.(6)BRAD 4.(1)NORA

RACE FOUR
8 ASTRAL FLASH 97
5 RED DRAGON 80
10 NATOUCHKA 79
9 HARMONICA 75
12 SNOW QUEEN 65

The best Average last four run time of NON FIRST TIME RUNNERS is of ASTRAL FLASH followed JOINTLY by that of HARMONICA & NATOUCHKA.On track CABRIOLET, CHANAKYA, HARMONICA & NATOUCHKA are good.On rating analysis RED DRAGON has a good chance , ASTRAL FLASH has a decent chance & LONE MONARCH,TELL ME MORE and SEA QUEEN looks difficult. THE OVERWEIGHT OF 1.5 Kgs MAY PROVE CRUCIAL FOR HARMONICA.
The best rating increase is of ASTRAL FLASH followed by that of NOTABILITY. RED DRAGON has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & CABRIOLET,NOTABILITY & ANASTASIA have NON WINNER RATING and may not win.The NIL winning rating of ASTRAL FLASH is due to non availability of the rating at Mumbai.If PUNE & MUMBAI is considered has a decent chance.NO HORSE HAS WON BEFORE.The best PLACE % is of ASTRAL FLASH followed jointly by NATOUCHKA & HARMONICA

1.(8)ASTRAL FLASH 2 .(9)HARMONICA 3.(10)NATOUCHKA 4.(2)CHANAKYA

RACE FIVE
10 EXCELLENT STORY 89
6 CALYPSO DANCER 78
2 BLUE JAY 74
8 GLOBAL SPIRIT 68
9 TATTENHOE 67

The best Average last four run time is JOINTLY of BLUE JAY & EXCELLENT STORY followed by that of CALYPSO DANCER.On track GRAND STAND & EXCELLENT STORY are good.On ipr and overall performance INCREDIBLE BEAUTY,HIGHLAND MUSIC & SEEN IT ALL look difficult.HIGHLAND MUSIC will be carrying 2 KGS overweight.On rating analysis EXCELLENT STORY has a good chance ,CALYPSO DANCER & TATTENHOE has a decent chance & DAFFODILS and HIGHLAND MUSIC looks difficult.
The best rating increase is of TATTENHOE followed by that of RAGING STAR .CALYPSO DANCER has the rating with MAXIMUM winners on combined rating and shares with EXCELLENT on MUMBAI rating & both INCREDIBLE BEAUTY and SEEN IT ALL has NON WINNER RATING and cannot win.The best performance over this distance is of INCREDIBLE BEAUTY with two wins .The best WIN % is jointly of RAGING STAR & GRAND STAND followed by INCREDIBLE BEAUTY & The best PLACE % is of BLUE JAY followed by EXCELLENT STORY.

1.(10)EXCELLENT STORY 2 .(6)CALYPSO DANCER 3.(9)TATTENHOE 4.(2)BLUE JAY

RACE SIX
8 FAIR TACTICS 94
10 WAFADAR 79
7 PREMIER PERCEPTION 77
3 ALVIDA 77
11 ALGO MAS 63

The best Average last four run time is of FAIR TACTICS followed by that of AMBEROGIO .On track MONOPOLY and THE RISING are good.On ipr and overall performance MONOPOLY,BEYOND THERAPY,APPRECIATE, THE RISING and FLAMES OF FIRE look difficult.On rating analysis FAIR TACTICS has a good chance , ALVIDA and PREMIER PERCEPTION have a decent chance & MONOPOLY and ALGO MAS looks difficult.
The best rating increase is of WAFADAR followed by that of ALVIDA and then by FAIR TACTICS .ALVIDA,PREMIER and WAFADAR have the rating with MAXIMUM winners on combined and ALVIDA and PREMIER on MUMBAI & BEYOND THERAPY,AMBEROGIO,THE RISING have NON WINNER MUMBAI RATING.The best performance over this distance is of MONOPOLY, THE RISING,PREMIER PERCEPTION & BU ATTIFEL have 3 wins each & FAIR TACTICS has placed in both its runs( with one win) .The best WIN % is of MONOPOLY followed by FAIR TACTICS & The best PLACE % is of FAIR TACTICS followed by MONOPOLY

1.(8)FAIR TACTICS 2 .(7)PREMIER PERCEPTION 3.(3)ALVIDA 4.(4)AMBEROGIO

RACE SEVEN
8 RHAPSIDION SNOW 92
7 OASIS STAR 87
11 AURORA AUREALIS 78
6 AVEC PLAISIR 67
10 ANGELS GLORY 66

The best Average last four run time is of RHAPSIDION SNOW followed by that of OASIS STAR .On track ELMWOOD,PEPE JUNIOR, AVEC PLAISIR,RHAPSIDION,OASIS & AURORA are good.On ipr and overall performance AGHA,ELMWOOD,ESCRAVOS,LAGO MEDIO,PEPE JUNIOR & KIARA look difficult.ANGELS also may at best place.On rating analysis OASIS has a good chance , LAGO MEDIO and RHAPSIDION have a decent chance,AVEC & AURORA have a chance & ELMWOOD and KIARA look difficult.
The best rating increase is of RHAPSIDION followed by that of OASIS which has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & AGHA and PEPE JUNIOR have NON WINNER RATING.The best performance over this distance is of ELMWOOD,OASIS STAR & KIARA with 5 wins each. The best WIN % is of ANGELS GLORY followed by OASIS STAR & The best PLACE % is of OASIS followed by ANGELS GLORY.

1.(7)OASIS STAR 2 .(8)RHAPSIDION SNOW 3.(6)AVEC PLAISIR 4.(11)AURORA AUREALIS

RACE EIGHTH
4 NITROUS 88
6 MASEEHA 70
7 SILVER TERN 67
8 ANGELIQUE 60
5 YANA 53

The best Average last four run time is of NITROUS followed by that of ANGELIQUE .On track NOBLE PRINCE is good.On ipr and overall performance SOUTHERN CHARGE & YANA look difficult.On rating analysis NITROUS has a good chance , SILVER TERN has a decent chance & NOBLE DEEDS,MAXIMISE look difficult. A PURELY AVOIDABLE RACE.
The best rating increase is JOINTLY of NITROUS & SILVER TERN.NITROUS has the rating with MAXIMUM winners on MUMBAI RATING and SILVER TERN on combined rating & SOUTHEN CHARGE has NON WINNER RATING and cannot win.The best performance over this distance is of MAXIMISE & NITROUS with 2 wins each .The best WIN % is of SOUTHERN CHARGE followed by MAXIMISE & The best PLACE % is of NOBLE PRINCE followed by MAXIMISE.

1.(4)NITROUS 2 .(1)NOBLE PRINCE 3.(7)SILVERTERN 4.(6)MASEEHA

RACE NINTH
3 WESTERN CHALLENGE 82
7 THANDA 70
4 ARGENTINA 69
5 LIGHTNING CAVALRY 64
2 EQUALITY 53

The best Average last four run time is of THANDA followed by that of WESTERN CHALLENGE .On ipr and overall performance CAVARADOSI looks difficult.On rating analysis ARGENTINA & BLACK PHANTOM looks difficult. ANOTHER AVOIDABLE RACE.
The rating of all horses has decreased.The least decrease is of WESTERN CHALLENGE.WESTERN CHALLANGE has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & LIGHTNING CAVALRY has NON WINNER RATING.The best performance over this distance is of BLACK PHANTOM who is the only winner.The best WIN % is of ARGENTINA followed by CAVARADOSI & The best PLACE % is of ARGENTINA followed by WESTERN CHALLANGE

1.(7)THANDA 2 .(3)WESTERN CHALLENGE 3.(2)EQUALITY 4.(4)ARGENTINA

RACE TEN
5 SIOOUX CHIEF 86
7 WINGS OF ANGELS 85
9 LADY TROOPER 81
4 MYSTERIO 61
10 KHUBSOORAT 58

The best Average last four run time is of SIOOUX CHIEF followed JOINTLY by that of WINGS OF ANGELS and LADY TROOPER .On track BLACK PARTRIDGE & SIOOUX CHIEF are good.On ipr and overall performance CALL OF HONOUR,AIMING HIGH & ROSES ALL THE WAY look difficult.On rating analysis SIOOUX CHIEF has a good chance & FASCINATION, ROSES and KHUBSOORAT looks difficult.
The best rating increase is of LADY TROOPER followed by that of FASCINATION.WINGS has the rating with MAXIMUM winners ON COMBINED RATING and SIOOUX ON MUMBAI RATING & BLACK PARTRIDGE ,AIMING and MYSTERIO have NON WINNER MUMBAI RATING and cannot win.The best performance over this distance is of LADY TROOPER who is the only winner.The best and in fact the only WIN % is of LADY TROOPER & The best PLACE % is of BLACK PARTRIDGE followed JOINTLY by MYSTERIO and WINGS OF ANGELS.

1.(5)SIOOUX CHIEF 2 .(9)LADY TROOPER 3.(1)BLACK PARTRIDGE 4.(6)FASCINATION