MUMBAI 8.3.09 ANALYSIS & OBSERVATIONS

RACE ONE
8 TRIBAL WARRIOR 86
3 ELEMENTTOTRANCE 73
7 TRY YOUR LUCK 66
2 CHOPASNI 54
5 PRINCESS SAMERRAH 53

The best Average last four run time is of TRIBAL WARRIOR followed by that of CHOPASNI.On ipr and overall performance JOLTEON,GOLDEN KEY & PRINCESS SAMERRAH look difficult.The first and second race are two divisions of the same trophy.
The best rating increase is of ELEMENTTOTRANCE followed by that of TRIBAL WARRIOR.TRIBAL WARRIOR has the rating with MAXIMUM winners.The best performance over this distance is of TRIBAL WARRIOR with 3 wins in 10 outings.THE BEST WIN % IS OF TRIBAL WARRIOR followed by JOLTEON & THE BEST PLACE % IS OF GOLDEN KEY followed by JOLTEON.Looks like TRIBAL WARRIOR is a value each way bet.

RACE TWO
1 GENGHIS KHAN 77
4 CHARLIE PARKAR 77
6 GOLDEN ORRA 67
7 JOHNY BRAVO 63
3 WELLS FARGO 62

The best Average last four run time is of GENGHIS KHAN followed by that of CHARLIE PARKAR.On track WELLS FARGO is good.On ipr and overall performance ETERNAL FLIGHT & SUPREME ORATOR look difficult for win.The first and second race are two divisions of the same trophy.
The best rating increase is of CHARLIE PARKAR followed by that of WELLS FARGO.GOLDEN ORRA has the rating with MAXIMUM winners.The best performance over this distance is of ETERNAL FLIGHT with two wins.THE BEST WIN % IS OF ADJUSTMENT followed by ETERNAL FLIGHT & THE BEST PLACE % IS OF GOLDEN ORRA followed by CHARLIE PARKAR.

RACE THREE
6 ARES 86
8 BORN SPECIAL 83
3 TELSTAR 78
4 BLAU HIMMEL 55
5 MYSTERIOUS HEIGHTS 53

The best Average last four run time is of ARES followed by that of BORN SPECIAL .On track BLAU HIMMEL, ARES & BORN SPECIAL are good.On ipr and overall performance ONUS PROBANDI, MYSTERIOUS HEIGHTS & DIPLOMATIC LICENCE look difficult.The third and eigth race are two divisions of the same trophy.
The best rating increase is of DIPLOMATIC LICENCE as it is the only horse with any increase.The horse cannot score now but can be noted for end of the season surprise.ARES has the same rating .ARES has the rating with MAXIMUM winners of MUMBAI/PUNE & BORN SPECIAL for combined of all centres.The best performance over this distance is of TELSTAR which also has only placed once in its 3 runs.No horse has won over this distance.THE BEST WIN % IS OF BLAU HIMMEL followed JOINTLY by ONUS PROBANDI & FORCE OF LAW & THE BEST PLACE % IS JOINTLY OF MYSTERIOUS HEIGHTS & BORN SPECIAL followed by FORCE OF LAW

RACE FOUR
1 CAMEO 84
2 STAR LEGEND 83
3 SURAJ 62
6 GATRAVAT 59
4 INSITE SOUL 55

The best Average last four run time is of CAMEO followed JOINTLY by that of STAR LEGEND & GATRAVAT.On track CAMEO & FIRE WITHIN are good.On ipr and overall performance FORBES LIST looks difficult.MEDTIAS PRIDE may also only place.The fourth and ninth race are two divisions of the same trophy.
The best rating increase is of MEDTIAS PRIDE( but has non winner rating at MUMBAI & bad rating overall) followed by that of GATRAVAT .CAMEO has the rating with MAXIMUM winners.The best performance over this distance is of CAMEO & MEDTIAS PRIDE who have both won twice over this distance of which CAMEO is better.THE BEST WIN % IS OF FORBES LIST followed by CAMEO & THE BEST PLACE % IS OF CAMEO followed by INSITE SOUL.

RACE FIVE
4 CAUSTIC FINALE 88
2 SALUTE THE STAR 88
5 DE NADA 76
10 STAR CROWNED 69
7 JACQUELINE 67

AMONG the previous runners which are four out of eleven the best Average last four run time is of CAUSTIC FINALE which itself is a second slower than average time followed by that of SALUTE THE STAR.On track CAUSTIC FINALE, DE NADA,GLORIA, JACQUELINE & STAR CROWNED are good.
The best rating increase is of SALUTE THE STAR followed by that of CAUSTIC FINALE.CAUTIC FINALE has the rating with MAXIMUM winners at MUMBAI and JACQUELINE has for COMBINED ratings & JADE has NON WINNER RATING.Out of the four who had earlier run none of them even placed

RACE SIX
8 PILLATUS 95
9 NATIVE STRATEGY 76
3 SPITZ 73
4 CARLOS 63
2 SPIRITUALL 63

The best Average last four run time is of PILLATUS followed by that of AMBEROGIO.On track SPIRITUALL, STAR O WAR & ZARZATAINE are good.On ipr and overall performance STAR O WAR & DYNAMIC CAT look difficult.
The best rating increase is of NATIVE STRATEGY followed by that of PILLATUS . STAR O WAR, GENERALLISIMO & NATIVE share the honour with MAXIMUM winners on MUMBAI/PUNE RATING & in COMBINED RATING NATIVE is best followed by PILLATUS .The best performance over this distance is of STAR O WAR with 4 wins followed by SPITZ & AMBEROGIO with 3 wins each.THE BEST WIN % IS JOINTLY OF SPIRITUALL & SPITZ followed by DYNAMIC CAT & THE BEST PLACE % IS OF ZARZTAINE followed jointly by SPIRITUALL & SPITZ.

RACE SEVEN
3 DANCING DYNAMITE 90
2 AUTONOMY 77
9 RED ROMEO 77
6 FLEETING ARROW 75
14 PHENOMENALE 61

The best Average last four run time is of DANCING DYNAMITE followed by that of AUTONOMY.On track ANTONIOS, AUTONOMY,DANCING DYNAMITE, FLEETING ARROW, JUVENTUS,RED ROMEO & PHEMENALE are good.On ipr and overall performance DANCING GLORY,SOUTHERN SUMMIT, STAR OF WASHINGTON & STAR PRESENTATION look difficult.As per final analysis the prime contenders are AUTONOMY, DANCING DYNAMITE & PHENOMENALE with FLEETING ARROW,CEST BON, STAR OF WASHINGTON being upset commodities.
The best rating increase is of CEST BON followed by that of DANCING DYNAMITE.The only other horse whose rating has increased is of PHENOMENALE & the rating of FLEETING ARROW remains the same. AUTONOMY,RED ROMEO & STAR OF WASHINGTON have the rating with MAXIMUM winners on MUMBAI RATING & DANCING DYNAMITE on overall rating.The best performance over this distance is of FLEETING ARROW & STAR PRESENTATION with two wins each of which FLEETING has won both the starts.DANCING DYNAMITE, PHENOMENALE & FIREZONE also have won their only start.AUTONOMY, RED ROMEO,SOUTHERN SUMMIT & STAR OF WASHINGTON have not won over the distance even though they have run the distance.ANTONIOS & CEST BON have not run the distance.THE BEST WIN % IS OF CEST BON ( having won its only outing) followed by FLEETING ARROW and then jointly by DANCING DYNAMITE,RED ROMEO & PHENOMENALE & THE BEST PLACE % IS jointly OF AUTONOMY,DANCING DYNAMITE,RED ROMEO,CEST BON & PHENOMENALE followed jointly by ANTONIOS & FIREZONE.

RACE EIGHTH
7 ECSTATICA 90
2 LA JOIE DE VIE 77
5 FLARING SUN 71
1 BRAD 61
8 HISHAM 48

The best Average last four run time is of ECSTATICA followed by that of LA JOIE DE VIE .On track LA JOIE DE VIE,FLARING SUN & ECSTATICA are good.On ipr and overall performance GYPSY QUEEN & HISHAM look difficult.The third and eigth race are two divisions of the same trophy.
The best rating increase is of ECSTATICA followed by that of FLARING SUN.LA JOIE, FLARING SUN,YOUNG OFFENDER & HISHAM have the rating with MAXIMUM winners on MUMBAI rating & FLARING SUN ON combined rating.The best performance over this distance is of GYPSY QUEEN & HISHAM who have won a race each.THE BEST WIN % IS JOINTLY OF ECSTATICA & FLARING SUN , having won their only start followed by YOUNG OFFENDER & THE BEST PLACE % IS ALSO JOINTLY OF ECSTATICA & FLARING SUN followed by BRAD

RACE NINTH
9 CATALYST 93
7 STAR IMPACT 88
8 WILD TORRONAADO 75
1 PRINCESS RUBY 64
10 PRETTY COMMISSION 60

The best Average last four run time is of CATALYST followed by that of WILD TORRANAADO.On track CATALYST & PRETTY COMMISSION are good.On ipr and overall performance PACEMAKER, TEARAWAY, HEIFITZ,MAJOR WAGER look difficult.PRETTY COMMISSION also looks ONLY a place.The fourth and ninth race are two divisions of the same trophy.
The best rating increase is of WILD TORRANAADO followed by that of STAR IMPACT .STAR IMPACT has the rating with MAXIMUM winners.The best performance over this distance is of HEIFITZ & CATALYST with two winners each.THE BEST WIN % IS JOINTLY OF STAR IMPACT & PRETTY COMMISSION followed by PALME DOR & THE BEST PLACE % IS OF STAR IMPACT followed by PALME DOR.STAR IMPACT looks to have a decent chance & should fight with CATALYST

RACE TEN
5 MODESTY 88
8 SECRET AGENDA 85
1 SARJERO 77
11 CHARGING RHINO 73
6 HIGHLAND FLAME 71

The best Average last four run time is of MODESTY followed by that of SECRET AGENDA.On ipr and overall performance WIND STORM, SURMOUNT, BOLD ACT,STAR SPARKLE,FLYING ROCK & LOVE FORTY look difficult.
The best rating increase is of CONSTANTIA followed by that of MODESTY . MODESTY has the rating with MAXIMUM winners followed by SECRET AGENDA ON MUMBAI RATING & HIGHLAND FLAME on OVERALL RATING.The best performance over this distance is of SURMOUNT who has two wins and is the only winner over this distance.THE BEST WIN % IS OF CONSTANTIA followed by SURMOUNT & THE BEST PLACE % IS OF SARJERO followed by MODESTY.

DAYS BET :-
4-1( CAMEO)- EACH WAY
10-5(MODESTY)-PLACE.