Saturday, March 21, 2009

MUMBAI PBMM DAY SELECTIONS, OBSERVATIONS and ANALYSIS

RACE ONE

12 TRIBAL WARRIOR 83
1 ILLUSIONIST 77
9 CHOPASNI 72
10 ARISTOCRATICAL 71
7 PERSIAN POWER 69


The best Average last four run time is of ILLUSIONIST followed by that of PERSIAN POWER.On track HIGHLAND QUEST is good.On ipr and overall performance NONIOS,SUPREMO, SPARKLER & SUPREME ORATOR look difficult.DUTCH ART & HIGHLAND QUEST also looks a place only.On rating analysis ARISTOCRATICAL has a good chance ,ILLUSIONIST, HIGHLAND QUEST & TRIBAL WARRIOR have a decent chance & DUTCH ART, NONIOS & SUPREMO looks difficult. OTHER THAN THE CHOICES ILLUSIONIST & HIGHLAND have a chance to score.FRENCH KISS, HUGHLAND QUEST, DUTCH ART & TRIBAL have improved
The best rating increase is of CHOPASNI followed by that of DUTCH ART.TRIBAL WARRIOR has the rating with MAXIMUM winners on combined rating and ILLUSIONIST on MUMBAI/PUNE RATING & SPARKLER has NON WINNER RATING.NO HORSE HAS WON OVER THIS DISTANCE.DUTCH ART PLACED IN ITS ONLY RUN & CHOPASNI HAS PLACED ONCE IN ITS 3 RUNS .The best WIN % is of TRIBAL WARRIOR who is the only winner till now & The best PLACE % is of ILLUSIONIST followed JOINTLY by FRENCH KISS & CHOPASNI.

1.(9)CHOPASNI 2 .(10)ARISTOCRATICAL 3.(2)FRENCH KISS 4.(12)TRIBAL WARRIOR

RACE TWO

1 FOREST FLAIR98
3 SEA TREASURE 86
2 SEA OF KISSES 66
6 LUSTY 57
5 TUDOR REGENT 56


The best Average last four run time AMONG PREVIOUS RUNNERS is of FOREST FLAIR followed by that of SEA TREASURE .On track FOREST FLAIR, SEA TREASURE,LUSTY and LYRICAL LASS are good.On rating analysis FOREST FLAIR has a good chance , SEA OF KISSES and SEA TREASURE have a decent chance & TUDOR REGENT and LUSTY looks difficult.
The best rating increase is of SEA TREASURE followed by that of FOREST FLAIR.SEA TREASUREhas the rating with MAXIMUM winners.The best performance over this distance is of SEA OF KISSES & SEA TREASURE who have one win each .The best WIN % is of SEA TREASURE followed by SEA OF KISSES & The best PLACE % is JOINTLY of SEA TREASURE and FOREST FLAIR followed by SEA OF KISSES. 4 HORSES ARE MAKING THEIR DEBUT IN THIS RACE.

1.(1)FOREST FLAIR 2 .(3)SEA OF TREASURE 3.(6)LUSTY 4.(2)SEA OF KISSES

RACE THREE

3 FLARING SUN 83
5 INDIAN SUMMER 66
2 MATATA PRIDE 66
1 CHEVRON 56
4 RAGE OF ANGELS 30


The best Average last four run time is of INDIAN SUMMER followed by that of MATATA PRIDE .On ipr and overall performance RAGE OF ANGELS looks difficult.On rating analysis MATATA PRIDE,FLARING & INDAN have a decent chance & CHEVRON looks difficult BUT CHEVRON has consistently improved.
The best rating increase is ONLY of FLARING SUN. MATATA PRIDE & INDIAN SUMMER have the rating with MAXIMUM winners on MUMBAI/ PUNE rating and FLARING ON COMBINED rating.The best performance over this distance is of RAGE OF ANGELS who is the only winner and that too in its only outing .The best WIN % is of FLARING SUN followed by MATATA PRIDE & The best PLACE % is of FLARING SUN followed by CHEVRON

1.(2)MATATA PRIDE 2 .(1)CHEVRON 3.(3)FLARING SUN 4.(5)INDIAN SUMMER

RACE FOUR

8 ROMANTIC IMPACT 91
6 ATHENA 73
7 GENERALISSIMO 73
1 RED INDIAN 62
4 FLAMING ACE 57


The best Average last four run time is of GENERALISSIMO followed by that of ATHENA.On ipr and overall performance BEAU MONDE & BORN TO LEAD look difficult.On rating analysis ROMANTIC IMPACT has a good chance , RED INDIAN has a decent chance & BEAU MONDE, AMBEROGIO and FLAMING ACE looks difficult. ROMANTIC has improved.
The best rating increase is of GENERALISSIMO followed by that of ROMANTIC IMPACT which has the rating with MAXIMUM winners.The best performance over this distance is of AMBEROGIO with three wins. RED INDIAN has 2 wIns but an impressive 70 % place in its 10 outings.The best WIN % is of ATHENA followed by BEAU MONDE & The best PLACE % is of ATHENA followed by RED INDIAN.

1.(8)ROMANTIC IMPACT 2.(1)RED INDIAN 3.(6)ATHENA 4.(7)GENERALISSIMO

RACE FIVE

1 DIVINE 86
5 GIANNATASSIO 83
3 BELLA 68
7 MAJOR WAGER 58
2 KAI 53


The best Average last four run time is of KAI followed by that of GIANNATASSIO .On track BELLA is good.On ipr and overall performance PACEMAKER & MAJOR WAGER look difficult.On rating analysis DIVINE & GIANNATASSIO have a decent chance & FORBES LIST and MAJOR WAGER looks difficult.HOWEVER FORBES HAS THE BEST IPR. CAN BE A BAD RACE.
The best rating increase is of DIVINE followed by that of FORBES LIST.DIVINE has the rating with MAXIMUM winners on MUMBAI/PUNE rating & PACEMAKER has NON WINNER RATING.The best performance over this distance is of KAI & MAJOR WAGER with one win each.KAI has a 100 % place record in its two runs .PATEK also has placed in its only run.The best WIN % is of FORBES LIST followed by GIANNATASSIO & The best PLACE % is of KAI followed by FORBES LIST .OTHER THAN THE SELECTIONS KAI also has a chance.GIANNATASSIO & PACEMAKER have CONSISTENTLY improved.

1.(1)DIVINE 2 .(5)GIANNATASSIO 3.(4)FORBES LIST 4.(3)BELLA

RACE SIX

3 CZAR ALEXANDER 96
4 ADAMS STAR 70
6 MING 59
5 SECRET PILGRIM 56
1 AGHA 35


The best Average last four run time is of CZAR ALEXANDER followed by that of MING .On track SECRET PILGRIM is good.On ipr and overall performance AGHA looks difficult.On rating analysis AGHA, SEA STORM,SECRET PILGRIM looks difficult. Even though CZAR has non winner MUMBAI rating, the same is preferred due to good overall rating and good IPR.MING & ADAMS STAR can be upset commodities. SECRET looks tough.MING has consistently improved
The best rating increase is of AGHA followed by that of SECRET PILGRIM .MING has the rating with MAXIMUM winners on MUMBAI/PUNE rating and ADAMS STAR on combined rating & CZAR ALEXANDER has NON WINNERMUMBAI /PUNE RATING.The best performance over this distance is of SECRET PILGRIM with 5 wins. SEA STORM has placed in all its 3 runs, MING in its only run & CZAR in 3 of its 4 runs.The best WIN % & PLACE % is of SECRET PILGRIM followed in both by SEA STORM.

1.(3)CZAR ALEXANDER 2 .(6)MING 3.(5)SECRET PILGRIM 4.(4)ADAMS STAR

RACE SEVEN

2 CLASSERVILLE 99
15 SHEIKHA 82
6 VERSAKI 79
11 JACQUELINE 77
10 GYPSY MAGIC 75


The best Average last four run time is of CLASSERVILLE followed by that of SHEIKHA .On track BOURBON BAY, CLASSERVILLE, VERSAKI, JACQUELINE, QUEENS COLLECTION, RIVER BLOSSOM,SANS PAREIL & SHEIKHA are good.On ipr and overall performance MIGHTY CRUSADER, SUPREME EMPEROR, CAUSTIC FINALE and DESDOMANIA look difficult.The first time runners SEA RULER & DESERT QUEEN also look difficult.BOURBON BAY may at best place.On rating analysis SHEIKHA has a good chance,BOURBON BAY & JACQUELINE & CLASSERVILLE has a decent chance & MIGHTY CRUSADER,CAUSTIC FINALE,DESDOMANIA,RIVER BLOSSOM looks difficult. THIS SHOULD BE AN OUTSTANDING RACE TO WATCH with many strong contenders & PADMANABHAN seems to have a strong edge with both his contenders having a very good chance and can be threatened either by VERSAKI from CDK or SHEIKHA.VERSAKI appears better than SHEIKHA
The best rating increase is of JACQUELINE followed by that of SHEIKHA( In fact the rating has increased only for these two) .SHEIKHA has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & CLASSERVILLE,SEA RULER,SUPREME EMPEROR & DESERT QUEEN have NON WINNER MUMBAI/PUNE RATING out of which SEA RULER & DESERT QUEEN do not have even on combined rating.The best performance over this distance is of GYPSY MAGIC who is the only winner over this distance.Other than this MIGHTY CRUSADER had raced over 1400 mtrs but did not even place.CLASSERVILLE, VERSAKI,JACQUELINE and SHEIKHA have won all their starts, whereas GYPSY MAGIC , QUEENS COLLECTION & RIVER BLOSSOM have won one of their two starts but placed in the other one.DESDOMONA & SANS have placed in their runs.OTHER THAN THE SELECTIONS BOURBON & JACQUELINE have a chance

1.(2)CLASSERVILLE 2 .(15)SHEIKHA 3.(10)GYPSY MAGIC 4.(6)VERSAKI

RACE EIGHTH

7 SHARP MEMORY 89
10 BOURBON QUEEN 84
2 LA JOIE DE VIE 80
3 CENTRE OF ATTENTION 63
12 GLOBAL SPIRIT 61


The best Average last four run time is of LA JOIE DE VIE followed by that of SHARP MEMORY .On track ITSRACINGAFTERALL is good.On ipr and overall performance TYUMEN, FLO NIGHTINGALE,KINGHS TROOP, SOLSJKAER and MORALITY look difficult.On rating analysis SHARP MEMORY has a good chance ,LA JOIE and BOURBON QUEEN have a decent chance , ITSRACINGAFTERALL and SOLSJKAER have an upset chance & CENTRE OF ATTENTION, ADAMS PLEASURE,KINGS TROOP and MORALITY look difficult. SHARP MEMORY & GLOBAL SPIRIT have improved.
The best rating increase is of SHARP MEMORY followed by that of TOMMY CARMICHAEL.LA JOIE,ITSRACING,SHARP MEMORY,BOURBON QUEEN & SOLSJKAER have the rating with MAXIMUM winners on MUMBAI/PUNE rating AND LA JOIE on combined rating & FLO NIGHTINGALE has NON WINNER RATING.The best performance over this distance is of ROAMING FAME, TOMMY, ADAMS PLEASURE, KINGS TROOP and SOLSJKAER who have won 1 race each. ROAMING had won its only start.The best WIN % is JOINTLY of GOT TO GO, TUMEN and ROAMING FAME followed by HIGHLAND WARRIOR & The best PLACE % is of GOT TO GO followed by CENTRE OF ATTENTION.

1.(2)LA JOIE DE VIE 2 .(7)SHARP MEMORY 3.(10)BOURBON QUEEN 4.(12)GLOBAL SPIRIT

RACE NINTH

7 ARES 93
9 KNIGHT OF WINDSOR 92
12 SECRET TALK 83
5 EXOTIC STAR 68
1 ABSOLUTE REALITY 66


The best Average last four run time is of ARES followed by that of KNIGHT OF WINDSOR .On track ABSOLUTE REALITY, BORN DESTINY,ARES & SECRET TALK are good.On ipr and overall performance BORN DESTINY,ANAMIKA,HISHAM,PAPER KING and CLOUD COVER look difficult.On rating analysis ARES & KNIGHT OF WINDSOR have a good chance ,SECRET TALK & PAPER KING have a decent chance & SUDDEN IMPACT looks difficult even though it has improved.
The best rating increase is of ABSOLUTE REALITY followed by that of KNIGHT OF WINDSOR.PAPER KING has the rating with MAXIMUM winners on MUMBAI rating and SECRET TALK on combined rating & ANAMIKA, PSYCHIC POWER & HISHAM have NON WINNER RATING.The best performance over this distance is of WELLS FARGO with two wins.The best WIN % is of CAN CAN followed by ANAMIKA & The best PLACE % is of EXOTIC STAR followed JOINTLY by ARES and KNIGHT OF WINDSOR.

1.(7)ARES 2 .(9)KNIGHT OF WINDSOR 3.(12) SECRET TALK 4.(1)ABSOLUTE REALITY

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.


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