BANGALORE 19.7.09

RACE ONE
2 FLEET INDIAN 88
6 SHERMAN 78
3 RED STONE 69
5 MIND ME 62
4 ZAMBEZI SUN 54

The best Average last four run time is of FLEET INDIAN followed JOINTLY by that of RED STONE & SHERMAN.On track SHADES OF WHITE, FLEET INDIAN & RED STONE are good.On ipr and overall performance ZAMBEZI SUN, MIND ME,SOUTHERN KING & I FANCY YOU look difficult.The best performance over this distance is of SHADES OF WHITE with 1 win.The best WIN % is of SHADES OF WHITE followed by MIND ME & The best PLACE % is of FLEET INDIAN followed by SHADES OF WHITE .On previous run SHADES OF WHITE & RED STONE have a chance to win.SHADES OF WHITE , FLEET INDIAN ,RED STONE have improved.MIND ME has improved but needs to further improve.I FANCY YOU has consistently imrpoved but needs to further improve.FLEET INDIAN should easily be able to account for this bunch.

1.(2)FLEET INDIAN 2 .(3)RED STONE 3.(6)SHERMAN 4.(1)SHADES OF WHITE

RACE TWO
4 GLITTERATO 88
11 CALYPSO STAR 84
1 CLASSIC CONCEPT 82
7 GOLD CROWN 73
10 RUSSIAN DANCER 67

The best Average last four run time is of GLITTERATO followed by that of CALYPSO STAR .On track CLASSIC CONCEPT, GLITTERATO,GOLD CROWN, BEST TIME & CALYPSO STAR are good.On ipr and overall performance BATON ROUGE & GOODGIRLGONEBAD look difficult.The best performance over this distance is of GOLD CROWN & RUSSIAN DANCER having placed in its runs as NO HORSE HAS WON OVER ANY DISTANCE TILL NOW .The best PLACE % is of GLITTERATO followed by GOLD CROWN .On previous run APPOLONAIRE,GLITTERATO, AMAR PREM,GOLD CROWN, BEST TIME,RUSSIAN DANCER & CALYPSO STAR have a chance to win.GOLD CROWN has consistently improved.CALYPSO STAR has improved.Interestingly the rating analysis gives preference to CLASSIC CONCEPT.Other than the selections, we can expect GOLD CROWN & APPOLONAIRE also to be in the thick of things.BEST TIME & AMAR PREM can place at long odds.Frankly an avoidable race.

1.(1)CLASSIC CONCEPT 2 .(11)CALYPSO STAR 3.(10)RUSSIAN DANCER 4.(4)GLITTERATO

RACE THREE
8 NATIVE TALENT 85
4 PORTOBELLO 72
6 FROZEN FIRE 70
5 SOCIAL CLIMBER 65
1 ALL MY COLOURS 50

The best Average last four run time is of NATIVE TALENT followed by that of PORTOBELLO .On track STAR ASSEMBLY, PORTOBELLO,FROZEN FIRE,KRIPA & NATIVE TALENT are good.On ipr and overall performance KRIPA looks difficult.ALL MY COLOURS also at best looks a place.The best performance over this distance is of ALL MY COULOURS, SPARK OF SOLITAIRE,PORTOBELLO, FROZEN FIRE & KRIPA with 1 win each of which SPARK won in its only start and ALL MY COLOURS has a 75 % place record in its 4 runs .The best WIN % is jointly of SPARK OF SOLITAIRE & SOCIAL CLIMBER followed by FROZEN FIRE & The best PLACE % is of PORTOBELLO followed by NATIVE TALENT .On previous run STAR ASSEMBLY,SPARK OF SOLITAIRE,PORTOBELLO & FROZEN FIRE have a chance to win.SPARK OF SOLITAIRE,PORTOBELLO,SOCIAL CLIMBER ,FROZEN FIRE have consistently improved.Due to 4 horses showing improvement, the race can be a closely fought affair.NATIVE TALENT inspite of good rating has a bad IPR and may find it difficult.PORTOBELLO having come into form and since 4 kgs is being knocked of from its weights due to allowance jockey and having won in a good timing earlier should be able to win if the APPRENTICE is upto the task.Summing up it is likely to be a good decision to eat FROZEN FIRE. I wont be surprised if ALL MY COLOURS upsets in this race.

1.(4)PORTOBELLO 2 .(5)SOCIAL CLIMBER 3.(6)FROZEN FIRE 4.(6)NATIVE TALENT

RACE FOUR
5 ICEBREAKER 92
1 STAR PRESENTATION 82
3 CONCEPTUAL 53
2 SPARK OF GOLD 41
4 ONE 27

The best Average last four run time is of ICEBRAKER followed by that of STAR PRESENTATION .On track STAR PRESENTATION,CONCEPTUAL & ICEBREAKER are good.On ipr and overall performance ONE looks difficult.The best performance over this distance is of ICEBREAKER with 2 wins over distances of 2400 mtr and above.The best WIN % is of CONCEPTUAL followed by ICEBREAKER & The best PLACE % is of ICEBREAKER followed by ONE.On previous run SPARK OF GOLD,CONCEPTUAL & ICEBREAKER have a chance to win.SPARK OF GOLD ,ONE & CONCEPTUAL have consistently improved which together with a bad IPR and the LOSS to DIEGO RIVIERA puts doubts ( EVEN THOUGH SMALL) ON ICEBREAKERS chances.At ODDS less than 30 ps, it should be a lay bet as it is not worth playing at those ODDS.The IPR of STAR PRESENTATION ( inspite of a bad run) & that of SPARK OF GOLD is better than the IPR of ICEBREAKER. It may still win but is not my choice of a bet. INTERESTTINGLY STAR PRESENTATION comes out best in IPR & also rating analysis.With a good track work has the chance to upset.Even though i am giving ICEBREAKER in 4th choice please do not construe the horse to be bad.Has all the chance to win but others are also not bad to merit the odds

1.(1)STAR PRESENTATION 2 .(2)SPARK OF GOLD 3.(3)CONCEPTUAL 4.(5)ICEBREAKER

RACE FIVE
7 CANNAVARO 83
6 RIVER ISLAND 81
4 OWN VOICE 72
5 FANTABULOUS PRINCE 66
1 MIGHTY HEART 60

The best Average last four run time is of MIGHTY HEART followed by that of FANTABULOUS PRINCE.On track CART WHEEL & OWN VOICE are good.On ipr and overall performance CART WHEEL, ON A ROLL & PANCHAKSHARI look difficult.The best performance over this distance is of CART WHEEL with 4 wins.The best WIN % is of followed by & The best PLACE % is of followed by .On previous run MIGHTY HEART, BEE QUICK & OWN VOICE have a chance to win.OWN VOICE has consistently improved.This can be a bad race with horses not figuring in the top 5 ratings having the ability to score( CART WHEEL - maybe one more chance for its trackwork and being the best performer over the distance & BEE QUICK).Among the top five rated horses MIGHTY HEART appears better.

1.(1)MIGHTY HEART 2 .(2)CART WHEEL 3.(3)BEE QUICK 4.(7)CANNAVARO

RACE SIX
5 MEDIA MAN 85
11 SOLDIER BLUE 83
12 FLIP YOUR DESTINY 73
2 SUDDEN THUNDER 70
8 ROYAL ARTIST 58

The best Average last four run time is of MEDIA MAN followed by that of SUDDEN THUNDER.On track SOUTH PARADE & COMMANCHE WAR PAINT are good.On ipr and overall performance PLEASANT GLORY,JUST GREAT, EVENT HORIZON, ROYAL FLYNN, SUN DEVICE look difficult.SEVEN STAR also at best looks a place.The best performance over this distance is of SUDDEN THUNDER, EVENT HORIZON,MEDIA MAN, ROYAL ARTIST with 1 win each .The best WIN % is of PLEASANT GLORY followed by SUDDEN THUNDER & The best PLACE % is of MEDIA MAN followed by SUN DEVICE .On previous run SPARKLING ADVENTURE has a chance to win.ROYAL ARTIST had improved but the long absence from racing makes it tough for it to score.SPARKLING ADVENTURE has consistently improved.An interesting race where you either play MEDIA MAN each way if the odds are good or eat the FAVOURITE PLEASANT GLORY.SPARKLING can upset and so too SUDDEN THUNDER.I would go with MEDIA MAN as it is good in IPR,OVERALL RATING and also rating analysis.
1.(5)MEDIA MAN 2 .(10)SPARKLING ADVENTURE 3.(2)SUDDEN THUNDER 4.(12)FLIP YOUR DESTINY

RACE SEVEN
11 MEXICAN WAVE 93
10 WESTERN PALACE 86
7 CHAR CHAND 71
3 SOUTH PARADE 61
2 ATTATURK 61

The best Average last four run time is of SOUTH PARADE followed by that of MEXICAN WAVE .On track COMMANCHE WAR PAINT & CHAR CHAND are good.On ipr and overall performance COMMANCHE WAR PAINT, PRINCELY GESTURE,EVENING RHAPSODY & CORUS look difficult.GARA FLUID & ATTATURK may at best place.The best performance over this distance is of GARA FLUID with 3 wins.The best WIN % is of EVENING RHAPSODY followed by GARA FLUID & The best PLACE % is of GARA FLUID followed by SOUTH PARADE.On previous run SOUTH PARADE, DRAUPADI, WESTERN PALACE & MEXICAN WAVE have a chance to win.SOUTH PARADE has consitently improved but the very long absence from active racing reduces its chances.PRINCELY GESTURE has improved but needs to further improve.SON OF THE SUN has consistently improved but its wide draw may mar its chances, but can fight.On rating analysis MEXICAN looks good & after ignoring SOUTH PARADE, MEXICAN has the best IPR and best overall rating.Should be a good each way bet
1.(11)MEXICAN WAVE 2 .(10)WESTERN PALACE 3.(9)SON OF THE SUN 4.(8)DRAUPADI

GOOD BETS
ONE 2 FLEET INDIAN WIN
THREE 4 PORTOBELLO EACH WAY
FOUR 1 STAR PRESENTATION PLACE
FIVE 1 MIGHTY HEART EACH WAY
SIX 5 MEDIA MAN WIN
SEVEN 11 MEXICAN WAVE EACH WAY