With more time available and the likely odds also coming out, some more time could be devoted.The revised selections are as under.
I am also retaining the earlier post of my previous selections.
There is a change in the DAYS BEST.
RACE ONE
The best Average last four run time is of SPARKLING FLAME followed by that of KOHINOOR ADITI .On track ARABIAN DANCER & QUEENS FORTUNE are good.On ipr and overall performance MIRACLE,URBANO & QUEENS FORTUNE can be ignored .On previous run ARABIAN DANCER,PAVAROTTI & KOHINOOR ADITI have a chance to win.KOHINOOR ADITI can be the place bet. ARABIAN DANCER,ALPINE GIRL & SPARKLING FLAME have improved.PAVAROTTI & KOHINOOR ADITI have consistently improved.If the jockeys in 1st & 3 rd race are studied JOHN is doing duty for VATSALYA( DIV-II of the same race) in race 3 and RAVINDER in RACE NO 1.They may have adjustements.The phenomenal rating increase for ARABIAN DANCER may do the trick as the rating increase for KOHINOOR ADITI is minimal and jokcey declared does not inspire confidence and in case of PAVAROTTI inspite of a GOOD JOCKEY declared the rating has reduced.In fact URBANO & ALPINE GIRL can be upset place prospects
1.(1)ARABIAN DANCER 2.(7)KOHINOOR ADITI 3. (9)SPARKLING FLAME 4.(4)PAVAROTTI
RACE TWO
The best Average last four run time is of PLAY IT SMART followed by that of ANEMOMETER.On track JAANBAAZ is good.On ipr and overall performance STORM COMMAND, JAAN BAAZ & TASTE OF INDIA can be ignored . HIDE AND SEEK should be the place bet.JAANBAAZ & ANEMOMETER have improved.HIDE AND SEEK has consistently improved.Even with a jockey of the caliber of JOHN, the rating of STORM COMMAND has drastically come down.We can forget the horse to win this time.Similarly TASTE OF INDIA can be ignored.The horse to note will be PLAY IT SMART as the rating has tremendously improved inspite of a not so good JOCKEY being declared.
1.(6)PLAY IT SMART 2.(4)HIDE AND SEEK 3.(5)ANEMOMETER 4.(1)STORM COMMAND
RACE THREE
The best Average last four run time is JOINTLY of KANSAS CITY MAC & HUNDRED FLOWERS followed by that of VIJAYSARATHI.On track VIJAYSARATHI is good.On ipr and overall performance ARMADA ,TRIPLE NINE & EASY STRIDES can be ignored.On previous run KANSAS CITY MAC,MR DON,PYGMALION & VIJAYSARATHI have a chance to win.Both HUNDRED FLOWERS & MR DON should place and the bets can be done accordingly.KANSAS CITY MAC & HUNDRED FLOWERS have improved. MR DON & VIJAYSARATHI have consistently improved.EASY STRIDES has improved but needs to further improve.The rating of KANSAS CITY MAC in tune with performance & a good jockey has improved and should score .The rating of HUNDRED FLOWERS has also increased.The rating of PYGMALION has dropped considerably and can be ignored for this run & the rating of VIJAYSARATHI has marginallly reduced
1.(2)KANSAS CITY MAC 2 .(9)HUNDRED FLOWERS 3.(7)VIJAYSARATHI 4.(3) Mr DON
RACE FOUR
The best Average last four run time is of VIJAYRAAJ followed by that of KHALEELS PRIDE.On track CHAMP FOREVER is good.On ipr and overall performance ADAMANT APPROACH,OROCHI & CEFIRO can be ignored .KHALEELS PRIDE also looks difficult.On previous run CHAMP FOREVER has a chance to win.ADAMANT APPROACH & CEFIRO have improved but needs to improve further.The rating of KHALEELS PRIDE inspite of a bad run has considerably increased & the same for CHAMP FOREVER ,VIJAYRAAJ & OROCHI has increased.INSPITE of good jockeys both HURRICANE BAY & ADAMANT APPROACH have lost rating points.KHALEELS PRIDE will give a tough fight to CHAMP FOREVER more so as the JOCKEYS - HARISH, PSC, S S JOHN ,CHRISTOPHER & RUPESH are close and HARISH may like to keep the lead
1.(2)CHAMP FOREVER 2.(1)KHALEELS PRIDE 3.(5)VIJAYRAAJ 4.(4)HURRICANE BAY
RACE FIVE
The best Average last four run time is of SUPERFLUOUS followed by that of PALACE AFFAIRS. On track GALLANT PRINCE is good.On ipr and overall performance KING SIZE, ONE IN ALL,SINCE ,ELITE PRINCE,EASY TOUCH & HUNTING BAY can be ignored.POWER RANGER also looks difficult.On previous run GALLANT PRINCE,PALACE AFFAIRS & SUPERFLUOUS have a chance to win.The bet in this race can be SUPERFLUOUS place & PALACE AFFAIRS in win.KING SIZE & SINCE have improved but needs to improve much more.GALLANT PRINCE has consistently improved.PALACE AFFAIRS has improved.The rating of PALACE AFFAIRS( reduced weight in the same category even after placing) ,SUPERFLUOUS have improved and that of GALLANT PRINCE( Note as this horse is going at the same weight after winning in the same category as the weights were increased last time),GOOD SPEED has increased considerably.EASY TOUCH has lost rating considerably.ONE IN ALL can be an upset
1.(6)PALACE AFFAIRS 2 .(3)GALLANT PRINCE 3.(8)SUPERFLUOUS 4.(7)GOOD SPEED
RACE SIX
The best Average last four run time is of PARINEETA followed by that of SOUTHERN ROSE. On ipr and overall performance BOYANCE,RECAST ,CANNON ACT,FIRST SOLAR can be ignored.PARINEETA also looks difficult.On previous run BLUE MAGIC has a chance to win.This race can find the JOHN winner no 2 as BLUE MAGIC looks good and SOUTHERN ROSE should place.These can be the bets for this race.The last run of GOLDEN SABOT was too bad.For calculations the same has been ignored leading to GOLDEN SABOT topping the ratings.SOUTHERN ROSE & BLUE MAGIC have improved.RECAST & CANNON ACT have improved but needs to further improve.The rating of BOYANCE & CANNON ACT has considerably reduced and the rating of BLUE MAGIC remains the same inspite of a better jockey.INSPITE of a slow start in last run SOUTHERN ROSE has decent IPR and rating.CAN UPSET.
1.(3)SOUTHERN ROSE 2 .(8)BLUE MAGIC 3.(9)PARINEETA 4.(10)ROMANTIC FLYER
RACE SEVEN
The best Average last four run time is of GREEK FIRE followed JOINTLY by that of ABOVE THE LINE & CHESTNUT CHARMER.On track ABOVE THE LINE & CHESTNUT CHARMER are good.On ipr and overall performance AL JADEED,EARTH BENDER,ALUKKHAS,SPECTACULAR FALCON & SPLENDID SCOT can be ignored.ICE CANDY also look difficult. On previous run ABOVE THE LINE,GREEK FIRE & GLOBAL EMPEROR have a chance to win.ABOVE THE LINE & GREEK FIRE have improved.GLOBAL EMPEROR has consistently improved.If EARTH BENDER is the favourite, it should be eaten as the rating is low & has also reduced.However the rating of AL JADEED has increased even though low.iNSPITE OF carrying a lower weight than last time when it won and running in the same class as the weights were increased last time the rating of ABOVE THE LINE has reduced.LOOKS DIFFICULT.The rating of CHESTNUT CHARMER has not significantly reduced inspite of poor performance.Can Upset.GREEK FIRE & GLOBAL EMPEROR even though promoted to higher category maintains its rating and in case of GLOBAL has marginally increased.The rating of SUGAR LADY has improved inspite of poor performance
1.(8)GLOBAL EMPEROR 2.(11)SUGAR LADY 3.(7)GREEK FIRE 4.(6)CHESTNUT CHARMER
RACE EIGHTH
The best Average last four run time is JOINTLY of REALTOR & STRATEGIC PARTNER followed by that of MAXIMUM CITY.On track VIJAYRATH is good.On ipr and overall performance RUDOLPH VALENTINO & TIME ON can be ignored.On previous run VIJAYRATH & CLEVER PLOY have a chance to win.CLEVER PLOY ,REALTOR , STRATEGIC PARTNER & SIR ONSLAUGHT have improved.MAXIMUM CITY has consistently improved.CAN BE A VERY BAD RACE.The rating of VIJAYRATH inspite of very low increase in weights has reduced.Looks difficult.The rating of CLEVER PLOY has marginally increased & that of NANO WAR has considerably increased.SIR ONSLAUGHT inspite of poor performance maintains the rating
1.(3)NANO WAR 2 .(8)MAXIMUM CITY 3.(7)STRATEGIC PARTNER 4.(2)CLEVER PLOY
RACE NINTH
The best Average last four run time is of SPINTHEMALL followed by that of EXECUTE.On ipr and overall performance GOLDEN ORAGE,MERITORIOUS, TOMMY HILLFIGER , CICILIA,ROYAL GUEST & CLASSY ACT can be ignored .DEBONAIRE & GOING PLACES also look difficult.On previous run EXECUTE & SPINTHEMALL have a chance to win.GOLDEN ORAGE & EXECUTE have improved.The rating of DEBONAIRE ,TOMMY HILLFIGER ,EXECUTE & GOING PLACES have improved and that of MERITORIOUS inspite of a good jockey change has marginally increased.LOOKS DIFFICULT.ROYAL QUEST lost lot of rating points.THE RATING OF TOP SHAPE has considerably increased and of SPINTHEMALL slightly reduced
1.(8)EXECUTE 2 .(7)TOP SHAPE 3.(1)DEBONAIRE 4.(10)SPINTHEMALL
NO DAYS BEST
BETTING OPTION DOES NOT CHANGE FOR PLACE BETS.
GOOD WIN BETS
4-2 CHAMP FOREVER
5-6 PALACE AFFAIRS
CHANCE WINS
2-6 PLAY IT SMART
3-2 KANSAS CITY MAC
8-3 NANO WAR
Posts
2 comments:
Swamy,
So many changes on postponed.
What will be the faith if some-
thing more happens,odds are not
that important,choices matter the most.
Dont make these mistakes.
Dear Bihari,
I agree to your point.
However in other centres the odds are available but it is not available for Hyderabad.
For example in Race no 1 H.no 1 as per odds is a moral certainty.When i did the rating pattern, it did seem to have a good chance.
In race no 6 Goledn sabot has no reason to be the favourite.I did some more rating analysis and concluded that Southern Rose has a better chance.
Both Earth Bender & Al Jadeed have no reason to be Joint Favourites and look difficult even after further analaysis.Sugar lady looks an upset and so had revised the choices. Above the line looks difficult and so have eliminated from the four.
In respect of other centres all these work are done before pubishing as the night odds are available but in Hyderabad due to non availability of odds this study cannot be done.
However i do concede your point, but i thought that after you have done further analysis and the results are different everybody must know the outcome.I had suggested CHAMP as days best.It still looks good but does not look invincible.I thought that everyone should know this.
Thanks for the message
SWAMY
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