Thursday, November 26, 2009

MUMBAI 26.11.09

RACE ONE
2 REFUSE TO BEND 80
6 ELEMENTTO TRANCE 77
3 NYMPH 69
9 WINNING TREAT 64
1 DESTINED PRINCE 63

On IPR and overall performance and the rating also REFUSE TO BEND looks good but on the distance & win % suitability is a little weak.May win but has a good chance to place.ELEMENTTO TRANCE has a great chance and may place at longer odds on distance suitability factor.DESTINED PRINCE,NYMPH & WINNING TREAT can fight.URUJ,DESERT FIRE ,SILVER SCREEN & TRY YOUR LUCK may place.

1.(6)ELEMENTTO TRANCE 2.(2)REFUSE TO BEND 3.(3)NYMPH 4.(9)WINNING TREAT

RACE TWO
1 JACQUELINE 96
2 MIDSUMMER KNIGHT 61

POSSIBILITY exists for MIDSUMMER KNIGHT to upset as the IPR is better even though the distance is not suitable.In any case not worth playing this race.

1.(1)JACQUELINE 2.(2)MIDSUMMER KNIGHT

RACE THREE
4 STAR INVITATION 92
1 TINTORETTO 81
3 PETRO 81
2 ANGELS PURSUIT 72
5 WEST END 68

PETRO should win with fight from stable mate & STAR INVITATION.ANGELS PURSUIT may at best place and WEST END can be ignored.

1.(3)PETRO 2.(4)STAR INVITATION 3.(1)TINTORETTO 4.(2)ANGELS PURSUIT

RACE FOUR
7 ASHRIDGE 94
6 LIGHTNING CAVALRY 76
1 SUPREME EMPEROR 74
3 SNOW QUEEN 68
4 CRITICAL ACCLAIM 61

FORCE OF LAW & SNOW QUEEN have distance suitability & win/place % in their favour even though the previous runs have been bad.ASHRIDGE has a good chance to score.LIGHTNING CAVALRY can upset.SUPREME EMPEROR has a chance.FASCINATION & CRITICAL ACCLAIM have an upset chance.ONASSIS is tracking well but may find it very difficult.FIRE VAULT & MACHO UNO will also find it difficult to win.

1.(7)ASHRIDGE 2.(6)LIGHTNING CAVALRY 3.(3)SNOW QUEEN 4.(1)SUPREME EMPEROR

RACE FIVE
4 EQUIDAE 85
3 ASTRAL FLASH 79
2 AQUILO 65
5 CHIMERIQUE 43
1 SEA PRINCESS 29

ASTRAL FLASH should be able to pull this off.UPSET can be by the stable mate SEA PRINCESS.AQUILO & CHIMERIQUE can be ignored.EQUIDAE can put up a fight

1.(3) ASTRAL FLASH 2.(1)SEA PRINCESS 3.(4)EQUIDAE 4.(2)AQUILO

RACE SIX
6 PURE ELATION 91
5 DEAR LIZA 74
7 DE NADA 71
3 SEA QUEEN 57
2 CATALYST 56

DEAR LIZA can upset but has not raced over the distance before.PURE ELATION looks good.SEA QUEEN can upset.DE NADA can fight for place.ISHTAR, CATALYST & HEIFITZ looks difficult.CATALYST has not won over this distance before even though it has placed.

1.(6)PURE ELATION 2.(3)SEA QUEEN 3.(5)DEAR LIZA 4.(7)DE NADA

RACE SEVEN
1 FOREST FLAIR 93
5 PREMIER QUEEN 84
8 STAR ATTRACTION 70
2 GENERALLISIMO 51
6 MOONFLOWER 50

FOREST FLAIR looks good.MOONFLOWER has the win % in its favour even though it has not won over the distance.GENERALLISIMO & PREMIER queen should fight.AMBEROGIO, MAJOR ROBERTS,DANCING GLORY & STAR ATTRACTION look difficult for win

1.(1)FOREST FLAIR 2.(5)PREMIER QUEEN 3.(2)GENERALLISIMO 4.(6)MOONFLOWER

RACE EIGHTH
8 CALYPSO DANCER 88
5 CHEROKEE 85
12 PRINCE BRIJENDRA 83
7 ROAMING FAME 77
9 ASTON MARTIN 55

The best Win/Distance suitability factor is of CHEROKEE and should win in a fight with ASTON MARTIN.STUD OF GOLD can fight.ALOHAMORA, BRIGHT FUTURE,ROAMING FAME, CALYPSO DANCER have an upset chance.SAFFRON & DEVILLITO can be ignored.AMARANZA looks difficult.The first timer SEA CHANCE lookd very difficult.PRINCE BRIJENDRA has failed to live upto expectations but has an upset chance

1.(5)CHEROKEE 2.(9)ASTON MARTIN 3.(2)ALOHAMORA 4.(8)CALYPSO DANCER

RACE NINTH
4 VACHERON 92
2 STAR ALLIANCE 87
1 ZEN 68
6 SECRET TALK 65
11 RIVER DIVINE 63

VACHERON is running after being gelded and so would not recommend that.STAR ALLIANCE, FORWARD CHARGE,SECRET TALK,AESTHETICS have a chance.ZEN with a good WIN/DISTANCE suitability factor looks dangerous.CASUAL LOOK can upset.AZUL,GOLD VAULT & FLYING SPIRIT look difficult.RIVER DIVINE can upset.

1.(6)SECRET TALK 2.(1)ZEN 3.(5)CASUAL LOOK 4.(4)VACHERON

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

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