RACE ONE | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
2 | EL TROPICO | 92 | 2 | EL TROPICO | 1058.65 |
4 | HUNTER BAY | 67 | 4 | HUNTER BAY | 233.30 |
1 | ADAMS STAR | 52 | 1 | ADAMS STAR | 147.89 |
3 | LAGO MEDIO | 39 | 3 | LAGO MEDIO | 30.15 |
If the previous run in race 92 is considered EL TROPICO is better and if the improvement shown by HUNTER BAY is considered then it looks better.The odds indicate confidence in EL TROPICO.SB Number suggests EL TROPICO and IPR HUNTER BAY.LAGO MEDIO can place.ADAMS STAR can be ignored.Better to play HUNTER BAY in place at the win odds for EL TROPICO. | |||||
1.(4)HUNTER BAY 2.(2)EL TROPICO 3.(3)LAGO MEDIO 4.(1)ADAMS STAR | |||||
RACE TWO | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
3 | PEPE JUNIOR | 80 | 3 | PEPE JUNIOR | 303.18 |
4 | ARES | 75 | 4 | ARES | 243.64 |
5 | AGHA | 63 | 5 | AGHA | 70.92 |
2 | SPITZ | 43 | 2 | SPITZ | 54.79 |
1 | IKARIA | 40 | 1 | IKARIA | 39.35 |
Two disadvantages are there for ARES - Weight carried & track work with SCHOLAR.Both are negative indiacations.PEPE JUNIOR can upset.The IPR of IKARIA is the best but SB number and rating do not give confidence.The jockey is the problem for PEPE JUNIOR.SPITZ looks very difficult.AGHA due to the jockey and poor rating & SB Number can be ignored. | |||||
1.(3)PEPE JUNIOR 2.(1)IKARIA 3.(4)ARES 4.(5)AGHA | |||||
RACE THREE | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
1 | SINE QUA NON | 83 | 1 | SINE QUA NON | 211.71 |
3 | SEA SPARROW | 73 | 3 | SEA SPARROW | 121.70 |
5 | CONFISIERE | 73 | 6 | DEEP PURPLE | 57.44 |
2 | FIRST EMPIRE | 51 | 2 | FIRST EMPIRE | 45.18 |
6 | DEEP PURPLE | 46 | 5 | CONFISIERE | 29.73 |
FIRST EMPIRE looks good. SINE QUA NON has a chance.SEA SPARROW can score.FIERY FORTUNE has no chance.DEEP PURPLE & CONFISIERE can upset. | |||||
1.(2)FIRST EMPIRE 2. (3)SEA SPARROW 3.(1)SINE QUA NON 4.(6)DEEP PURPLE | |||||
RACE FOUR | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
10 | FLYING JEWEL | 87 | 11 | OCEAN LEGACY | 368.19 |
2 | BULLET | 85 | 2 | BULLET | 236.60 |
11 | OCEAN LEGACY | 83 | |||
6 | STAR OF KILLARNEY | 64 | |||
4 | ROB N ROB | 64 | |||
If SINE QUA NON wins in race 3, the chances of SUNSET BOULEVARD is weak as it is already a negative bet due to the winning of MACCHUPICCHU. OCEAN LEGACY & FLYING JEWEL should fight.STAR OF KILLARNEY can be a big upset.SU CHALIYO can score.BANANA BOY,SMALL TREASURE & OCEAN TRAIL need the run.BULLET & ROB N ROB,STAR ZONE may place.ENCHANTED, ALEUTIAN ZONE & WILD IMAGINATION look difficult | |||||
1.(11)OCEAN LEGACY 2.(10)FLYING JEWEL 3.(13)SUNSET BOULEVARD 4.(8)SU CHALIYO | |||||
RACE FIVE | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
2 | BOLD DANCER | 95 | 8 | DIGNITY AMPLIFIED | 240.27 |
8 | DIGNITY AMPLIFIED | 79 | 3 | ICON | 71.94 |
7 | DANCING DAME | 74 | 5 | OCEAN TOUCH | 12.24 |
3 | ICON | 63 | 9 | STAR INVITATION | 1.99 |
5 | OCEAN TOUCH | 61 | |||
ARISEN STAR is tracking well but may need to further improve.BOLD DANCER looks good but does not have a SB NUMBER rating and has tracked with ANCIENT WONDER who had won & therefore can be a negative bet.ICON has a chance but if it wins DEAR LIZA may not win in race no 6.LEGIONNAIRE can place.ZARACHA can upset as is traxking well.DANCING DAME also on its trackwork has a chance.DIGNITY AMPLIFIED looks good.STAR INVITATION has the main jockey of RKW and is tracking decently and can upset but place looks likely.Can be a bad race. | |||||
1.(8)DIGNITY AMPLIFIED 2.(7)DANCING DAME 3. (2)BOLD DANCER 4.(3)ICON | |||||
RACE SIX | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
13 | BLUMARINE | 84 | 5 | ROSE BOWL | 364.81 |
5 | ROSE BOWL | 80 | 13 | BLUMARINE | 292.47 |
8 | EXUBERANCE | 73 | 8 | EXUBERANCE | 133.52 |
12 | TUDOR REGENT | 71 | 4 | DEAR LIZA | 122.25 |
14 | CHECK HER OUT | 66 | 12 | TUDOR REGENT | 116.20 |
BLAZING SPECTACLE ,CHECK HER OUT & TUDOR REGENT may only be able to place.RIVER STAR has a chance but for the long absence.NATIVE STRATEGY,SNOW BLIND,SURAJ,SWEPT AWAY can be ignored.DEAR LIZA looks good.ROSE BOWL can upset.THREE OF ARTS at best can place.EXUBERANCE can upset but place looks likely.SEA WARRIOR has a good chance.BLUMARINE looks good.the operaion and choice of jockey on HIGHLAND WARRIOR puts us off else could have upset. | |||||
1.(13)BLUMARINE 2.(11)SEA WARRIOR 3.(4)DEAR LIZA 4.(5)ROSE BOWL | |||||
RACE SEVEN | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
8 | CLASSERVILLE | 89 | 5 | HIGHLAND CROWN | 862.72 |
5 | HIGHLAND CROWN | 76 | 8 | CLASSERVILLE | 151.87 |
4 | ONASSIS | 70 | 4 | ONASSIS | 74.24 |
3 | JUVENTUS | 60 | 1 | DIEGO RIVERA | 64.06 |
7 | MOTHERS PRIDE | 58 | 7 | MOTHERS PRIDE | 63.47 |
DIEGO RIVIERA ,JUVENTUS & MOTHERS PRIDE may only place.Mr GREEDY looks difficult.ONASSIS has chance.HIGHLAND CROWN can upset.SECRET PILGRIM can be ignored.CLASSERVILLE can score. | |||||
1.(8)CLASSERVILLE 2.(5)HIGLAND CROWN 3.(4)ONASSIS 4.(7)MOTHERS PRIDE | |||||
RACE EIGHT | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
4 | WASHINGTON IRVINE | 83 | 4 | WASHINGTON IRVINE | 159.55 |
3 | NATIVE KNIGHT | 75 | 1 | BECKET | 131.16 |
1 | BECKET | 70 | 5 | CHANGE OF LUCK | 37.99 |
5 | CHANGE OF LUCK | 49 | 3 | NATIVE KNIGHT | 34.00 |
2 | MIGHTY CRUSADER | 26 | 2 | MIGHTY CRUSADER | 0.17 |
The only horse which csan possibly upset BECKET is WASHINTON IRVINE.MIGHTY CRUSADER has no chance.NATIVE KNIGHT can place and must fight with CHANGE OF LUCK. | |||||
1.(1)BECKET 2.(4)WASHINTON IRVINE 3.(5)CHANGE OF LUCK 4.(3)NATIVE KNIGHT | |||||
RACE NINE | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
11 | GOLDEN ORRA | 90 | 11 | GOLDEN ORRA | 110.79 |
6 | IBIS | 84 | 6 | IBIS | 23.86 |
5 | HICKORY | 77 | 12 | KIMAYA | 17.02 |
12 | KIMAYA | 71 | 4 | TRUE ELEGANCE | 14.11 |
13 | DANCING MONEY | 59 | 2 | POUND FOOLISH | 9.80 |
FLUENT VICTORY looks difficult but due to good win/place performance can be an upset.POUND FOOLISH ,GAME OF POWER,TRUE ELEGANCE ,HICKORY,ACCURIZE,BLUSH & DANCING MONEY can place.IBIS has a chance as is tracking well.MISTIC MARGARITA,DREAM TALK can be ignored.GOLDEN ORRA has a good chance and should fight with KIMAYA. | |||||
1.(11)GOLDEN ORRA 2.(12)KIMAYA 3.(6)IBIS 4.(1)FLUENT VICTORY |
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Sunday, March 28, 2010
MUMBAI 28.3.2010
BECKET looks Head and Shoulders above this bunch in The Casino Royale Indian St. Leger
Hi Folks,
Since the withdrawal of Jacqueline (retired to Stud) the road becomes clear for Becket to achieve the last classic race of the present season. Becket looks head and shoulders above this bunch and should register an easy victory. Washington Irvine may place ahead of the rest with good odds. In the A.F.S. Talyarkhan Trophy, well bred filly Sunset Boulevard from Pesi Shroff stable though inexperienced runs with best chance to score on debut, as has been blazing the morning tracks since quite sometime. In The Karl Umrigar Turf Championship Juventus was seen finishing on nicely in the Super Mile race wherein it finished ahead of Mr. Greedy who in turn has beaten Onasis in the Eclipse stakes comfortably. The dark horse here is Highland Crown. My rest of the speed ratings for the day are as follows:
Race No. 1:
El Tropico 688
Hunter Bay 681
Lago Medio 668
Race No. 2:
Ikaria 688
Ares 679
Pepe Junior 675
Race No. 3:
Confiserie 639
Sine Qua Non 634
Sea Sparrow 603
Deep Purple 604
Race No. 4:
SUNSET BOULEVARD
Ocean Legacy
Bullet
Su Chaliyo
Race No. 5:
Dignity Amplified 641
Bold Dancer 630
Dancing Dame 620
Icon 620
Zaracha 616
Race No. 6:
Sea Warrior 679
Rose Bowl 678
Blue Marine 665
Blazing Spectacle 658
Dear Liza 655
Highland Warrior 653
Race No. 7:
Juventus 639
Highland Crown 635
Mr. Greedy 631
Onassis 628
Classerville 628
Diego Rivera 623
Race No. 8:
Becket 536
Washington Irvine 530
Change of Luck 528
Native Knight 526
Race No. 9:
Ibis 609
Kimaya 604
Hickory 566
Dream Talk 564
True Elegance 550
Pound Foolish 545
Day's Best : SUNSET BOULEVARD
Good Double : Ikaria and Sunset Boulevard
Good luck to all,
Thanking you,
Jimmy
Since the withdrawal of Jacqueline (retired to Stud) the road becomes clear for Becket to achieve the last classic race of the present season. Becket looks head and shoulders above this bunch and should register an easy victory. Washington Irvine may place ahead of the rest with good odds. In the A.F.S. Talyarkhan Trophy, well bred filly Sunset Boulevard from Pesi Shroff stable though inexperienced runs with best chance to score on debut, as has been blazing the morning tracks since quite sometime. In The Karl Umrigar Turf Championship Juventus was seen finishing on nicely in the Super Mile race wherein it finished ahead of Mr. Greedy who in turn has beaten Onasis in the Eclipse stakes comfortably. The dark horse here is Highland Crown. My rest of the speed ratings for the day are as follows:
Race No. 1:
El Tropico 688
Hunter Bay 681
Lago Medio 668
Race No. 2:
Ikaria 688
Ares 679
Pepe Junior 675
Race No. 3:
Confiserie 639
Sine Qua Non 634
Sea Sparrow 603
Deep Purple 604
Race No. 4:
SUNSET BOULEVARD
Ocean Legacy
Bullet
Su Chaliyo
Race No. 5:
Dignity Amplified 641
Bold Dancer 630
Dancing Dame 620
Icon 620
Zaracha 616
Race No. 6:
Sea Warrior 679
Rose Bowl 678
Blue Marine 665
Blazing Spectacle 658
Dear Liza 655
Highland Warrior 653
Race No. 7:
Juventus 639
Highland Crown 635
Mr. Greedy 631
Onassis 628
Classerville 628
Diego Rivera 623
Race No. 8:
Becket 536
Washington Irvine 530
Change of Luck 528
Native Knight 526
Race No. 9:
Ibis 609
Kimaya 604
Hickory 566
Dream Talk 564
True Elegance 550
Pound Foolish 545
Day's Best : SUNSET BOULEVARD
Good Double : Ikaria and Sunset Boulevard
Good luck to all,
Thanking you,
Jimmy
Saturday, March 27, 2010
BANGALORE 27.3.2010
RACE ONE | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
5 | CAVALRY CHARGE | 90 | |||
7 | LAD DIVA | 85 | |||
4 | INDIAN BOLT | 69 | |||
1 | WORK FORCE | 68 | |||
2 | FRUIT KING | 50 | |||
MAGISTERIAL has a good chance to score.LAD DIVA should fight.INDIAN BOLT can upset.CAVALRY CHARGE has a chance at the odds offerred can be a good eat.WORK FORCE,FRUIT KING,ANOTHER VOICE & KARNATAKA PRINCESS look difficult | |||||
1.(3)MAGISTERIAL 2.(4)INDIAN BOLT 3.(7)LAD DIVA 4.(5)CAVALRY CHARGE | |||||
RACE TWO | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
3 | HAGGLER | 94 | 3 | HAGGLER | 342.93 |
4 | SEVEN STAR | 78 | 4 | SEVEN STAR | 114.42 |
5 | ACT OF DUTY | 64 | 5 | ACT OF DUTY | 14.74 |
6 | SUNNY CONNEXION | 42 | 6 | SUNNY CONNEXION | 3.61 |
2 | RED SHIFT | 24 | 2 | RED SHIFT | 0.60 |
Even though SEVEN STAR beat HAGGLER in race 214, HAGGKER can reverse the verdict.Race only between these two.The jodi of REDSHIFT & ACT OF DUTY can be eaten.SUNNY CONNEXION can be ignored | |||||
1.(3)HAGGLER 2.(4)SEVEN STAR 3.(2)REDSHIFT 4.(5)ACT OF DUTY | |||||
RACE THREE | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
9 | ASPIRING SEVEN | 88 | 9 | ASPIRING SEVEN | 299.09 |
1 | ALLEGRO | 82 | 1 | ALLEGRO | 124.22 |
8 | BLUE ORIGIN | 80 | 8 | BLUE ORIGIN | 93.65 |
7 | SOUTH PARADE | 66 | 7 | SOUTH PARADE | 11.03 |
11 | SMART COOKY | 62 | 11 | SMART COOKY | 2.50 |
GAME FACE can at best place.PRACTICAL MAGIC,ONLY A VISION & PRACTICAL MAGIC have no chance.ALLEGRO can score.JORIKI looks good.SOUTH PARADE can upset.BLUE ORIGIN has a good chance.ASPIRING SEVEN looks good.ZAMALEK & SMART COOKY can place. | |||||
1.(3)JORIKI 2.(9)ASPIRING SEVEN 3.(8)BLUE ORIGIN 4.(1)ALLEGRO | |||||
RACE FOUR | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
6 | TSAVORITE | 93 | 6 | TSAVORITE | 695.62 |
1 | SKY TRAIN | 78 | 1 | SKY TRAIN | 343.26 |
3 | SUNSPIRIT | 60 | 2 | SUNNYS SECRET | 88.30 |
2 | SUNNYS SECRET | 59 | 3 | SUNSPIRIT | 47.70 |
4 | BALLIBAY | 58 | 4 | BALLIBAY | 24.63 |
CON ARTISTE can be ignored.SUNSPIRIT & BALLIBAY can at best place.Race should purely be between SKY TRAIN & TSAVORITE.A clash of Interest can be seen in GHATALAS horse by making a RKW horse also run.Not worth backing TSAVORITE at these odds.SUNNYS SECRET & AWARDING should fight for place. | |||||
1.(1)SKY TRAIN 2.(5)AWARDING 3.(6)TSAVORITE 4.(2)SUNNYS SECRET | |||||
RACE FIVE | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
5 | WYNN | 91 | 5 | WYNN | 1829.39 |
4 | SWEET SURRENDER | 76 | 7 | GRAND TOPAZ | 185.91 |
2 | JAMIACAN BOLT | 72 | 2 | JAMIACAN BOLT | 138.11 |
9 | SARATOGA | 66 | 9 | SARATOGA | 57.34 |
7 | GRAND TOPAZ | 63 | 3 | PREZZIE | 50.29 |
CUTE STYLE,SPRAWLING ELEGANCE,WAY TO FANTASY,DIVINE STRIKE & PRECEPT have no chance.XEL can at best place.JAMAICAN BOLT has an upset chance.PREZZIE can upset.SWEET SURRENDER can place at long odds.WYNN has a good chance.GRAND TOPAZ & SARATOGA should fight | |||||
1.(7)GRAND TOPAZ 2.(5)WYNN 3.(9)SARATOGA 4.(3)PREZZIE | |||||
RACE SIX | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
6 | TIMELESS TREASURE | 88 | 3 | LOCK AND LOAD | 690.54 |
3 | LOCK AND LOAD | 81 | 6 | TIMELESS TREASURE | 184.85 |
2 | SOBERANO | 58 | 5 | DESERT RULE | 58.02 |
5 | DESERT RULE | 58 | 4 | PHOENIX REACH | 25.79 |
4 | PHOENIX REACH | 36 | 2 | SOBERANO | 11.44 |
EDMONDO has no chance.PHOENIX REACH can at best place.LOCK & LOAD & TIMELESS should fight with SOBERANO & DESERT RULE having an upset chance | |||||
1.(3)LOCK AND LOAD 2.(6)TIMELESS TREASURE 3.(5)DESERT RULE 4.(2)SOBERANO | |||||
RACE SEVEN | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
12 | ASTOUNDING BLUE | 83 | 12 | ASTOUNDING BLUE | 205.91 |
3 | DUCKWORTH | 78 | 11 | VOICE OF INDIA | 108.23 |
9 | SPANDAU BALLET | 77 | 3 | DUCKWORTH | 104.13 |
11 | VOICE OF INDIA | 64 | 1 | SPARKLING ADVENTURE | 79.23 |
7 | CANNAVARO | 62 | 9 | SPANDAU BALLET | 68.79 |
FLAMING LAMBORGHINI & STRONG MINDED on past performance look difficult but are tracking well.DISTINCTLY AHEAD at best can place.LUMINOUS GOLD & SUPERIOR SURPRISE have no chance,Other than these any other horse can score.Can be a big upset race.SPARKLING ADVENTURE, CASPIAN SEA, DUCKWORTH, SPANDAU BALLET,VOICE OF INDIA & ASTOUNDING BLUE can fight.CANNAVARO looks more a place prospect | |||||
1.(3)DUCKWORTH 2.(1)SPARKLING ADVENTURE 3.(9)SPANDAU BALLET 4.(12)ASTOUNDING BLUE | |||||
RACE EIGHT | |||||
H.NO | HORSE NAME | RATING | H.NO | HORSE NAME | SB NO |
3 | TEMPUS FUGIT | 88 | 3 | TEMPUS FUGIT | 632.38 |
4 | SUNDANCE KID | 82 | 4 | SUNDANCE KID | 106.47 |
7 | LIBERTY SHIP | 73 | 7 | LIBERTY SHIP | 15.47 |
5 | ACCURATE | 63 | |||
8 | ATOMIC QUEEN | 47 | |||
ABSENCE & ATOMIC QUEEN can be ignored.ACCURATE can at best place.FOSWELL & COWBOY CAL are tracking well and can win.TEMPUS FUGIT & SUNDANCE KID must fight.LIBERTY SHIP can upset. | |||||
1.(4)SUNDANCE KID 2.(3)TEMPUS FUGIT 3.(2)FOSWELL 4.(7)LIBERTY SHIP |
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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.
We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.
Mathematics by itself does not work whenever human involvement is there.
An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.
The blog can be accessed by all and no invitation is necessary
We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.
Mathematics by itself does not work whenever human involvement is there.
An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.
The blog can be accessed by all and no invitation is necessary