Sunday, March 28, 2010

MUMBAI 28.3.2010

 RACE  ONE
H.NO HORSE NAME RATING  H.NO HORSE NAME SB NO
2 EL TROPICO 92 2 EL TROPICO 1058.65
4 HUNTER BAY 67 4 HUNTER BAY 233.30
1 ADAMS STAR 52 1 ADAMS STAR 147.89
3 LAGO MEDIO 39 3 LAGO MEDIO 30.15
If the previous run in race 92 is considered EL TROPICO is better and if the improvement shown by HUNTER BAY is considered then it looks better.The odds indicate confidence in EL TROPICO.SB Number suggests EL TROPICO and IPR HUNTER BAY.LAGO MEDIO can place.ADAMS STAR can be ignored.Better to play HUNTER BAY in place at the win odds for EL TROPICO.
1.(4)HUNTER BAY 2.(2)EL TROPICO  3.(3)LAGO MEDIO 4.(1)ADAMS STAR
 RACE  TWO
H.NO HORSE NAME RATING  H.NO HORSE NAME SB NO
3 PEPE JUNIOR 80 3 PEPE JUNIOR 303.18
4 ARES 75 4 ARES 243.64
5 AGHA 63 5 AGHA 70.92
2 SPITZ 43 2 SPITZ 54.79
1 IKARIA 40 1 IKARIA 39.35
Two disadvantages are there for ARES - Weight carried & track work with SCHOLAR.Both are negative indiacations.PEPE JUNIOR can upset.The IPR of IKARIA is the best but SB number and rating do not give confidence.The jockey is the problem for PEPE JUNIOR.SPITZ looks very difficult.AGHA due to the jockey and poor rating & SB Number can be ignored.
1.(3)PEPE JUNIOR 2.(1)IKARIA  3.(4)ARES 4.(5)AGHA
 RACE  THREE
H.NO HORSE NAME RATING  H.NO HORSE NAME SB NO
1 SINE QUA NON 83 1 SINE QUA NON 211.71
3 SEA SPARROW 73 3 SEA SPARROW 121.70
5 CONFISIERE 73 6 DEEP PURPLE 57.44
2 FIRST EMPIRE 51 2 FIRST EMPIRE 45.18
6 DEEP PURPLE 46 5 CONFISIERE 29.73
FIRST EMPIRE looks good. SINE QUA NON has a chance.SEA SPARROW can score.FIERY FORTUNE has no chance.DEEP PURPLE & CONFISIERE  can upset.
1.(2)FIRST EMPIRE 2. (3)SEA SPARROW 3.(1)SINE QUA NON  4.(6)DEEP PURPLE
 RACE  FOUR
H.NO HORSE NAME RATING  H.NO HORSE NAME SB NO
10 FLYING JEWEL 87 11 OCEAN LEGACY 368.19
2 BULLET 85 2 BULLET 236.60
11 OCEAN LEGACY 83  
6 STAR OF KILLARNEY 64
4 ROB N ROB 64
If SINE QUA NON wins in race 3, the chances of SUNSET BOULEVARD is weak as it is already a negative bet due to the winning of MACCHUPICCHU. OCEAN LEGACY & FLYING JEWEL should fight.STAR OF KILLARNEY can be a big upset.SU CHALIYO can score.BANANA BOY,SMALL TREASURE & OCEAN TRAIL need the run.BULLET & ROB N ROB,STAR ZONE  may place.ENCHANTED, ALEUTIAN ZONE & WILD IMAGINATION look difficult
1.(11)OCEAN LEGACY 2.(10)FLYING JEWEL  3.(13)SUNSET BOULEVARD 4.(8)SU CHALIYO
 RACE  FIVE
H.NO HORSE NAME RATING  H.NO HORSE NAME SB NO
2 BOLD DANCER 95 8 DIGNITY AMPLIFIED 240.27
8 DIGNITY AMPLIFIED 79 3 ICON 71.94
7 DANCING DAME 74 5 OCEAN TOUCH 12.24
3 ICON 63 9 STAR INVITATION 1.99
5 OCEAN TOUCH 61  
ARISEN STAR is tracking well but may need to further improve.BOLD DANCER looks good but does not have a SB NUMBER rating and has tracked with ANCIENT WONDER who had won & therefore can be a negative bet.ICON has a chance but if it wins DEAR LIZA may not win in race no 6.LEGIONNAIRE can place.ZARACHA can upset as is traxking well.DANCING DAME also on its trackwork has a chance.DIGNITY AMPLIFIED looks good.STAR INVITATION has the main jockey of RKW and is tracking decently and can upset but place looks likely.Can be a bad race.
1.(8)DIGNITY AMPLIFIED 2.(7)DANCING DAME 3. (2)BOLD DANCER 4.(3)ICON
 RACE  SIX
H.NO HORSE NAME RATING  H.NO HORSE NAME SB NO
13 BLUMARINE 84 5 ROSE BOWL 364.81
5 ROSE BOWL 80 13 BLUMARINE 292.47
8 EXUBERANCE 73 8 EXUBERANCE 133.52
12 TUDOR REGENT 71 4 DEAR LIZA 122.25
14 CHECK HER OUT 66 12 TUDOR REGENT 116.20
BLAZING SPECTACLE ,CHECK HER OUT & TUDOR REGENT may only be able to place.RIVER STAR has a chance but for the long absence.NATIVE STRATEGY,SNOW BLIND,SURAJ,SWEPT AWAY  can be ignored.DEAR LIZA looks good.ROSE BOWL can upset.THREE OF ARTS at best can place.EXUBERANCE can upset but place looks likely.SEA WARRIOR has a good chance.BLUMARINE looks good.the operaion and choice of jockey on HIGHLAND WARRIOR puts us off else could have upset.
1.(13)BLUMARINE 2.(11)SEA WARRIOR  3.(4)DEAR LIZA 4.(5)ROSE BOWL
 RACE  SEVEN
H.NO HORSE NAME RATING  H.NO HORSE NAME SB NO
8 CLASSERVILLE 89 5 HIGHLAND CROWN 862.72
5 HIGHLAND CROWN 76 8 CLASSERVILLE 151.87
4 ONASSIS 70 4 ONASSIS 74.24
3 JUVENTUS 60 1 DIEGO RIVERA 64.06
7 MOTHERS PRIDE 58 7 MOTHERS PRIDE 63.47
DIEGO RIVIERA ,JUVENTUS & MOTHERS PRIDE  may only place.Mr GREEDY looks difficult.ONASSIS has chance.HIGHLAND CROWN can upset.SECRET PILGRIM can be ignored.CLASSERVILLE can score.
1.(8)CLASSERVILLE 2.(5)HIGLAND CROWN  3.(4)ONASSIS 4.(7)MOTHERS PRIDE
 RACE  EIGHT
H.NO HORSE NAME RATING  H.NO HORSE NAME SB NO
4 WASHINGTON IRVINE 83 4 WASHINGTON IRVINE 159.55
3 NATIVE KNIGHT 75 1 BECKET 131.16
1 BECKET 70 5 CHANGE OF LUCK 37.99
5 CHANGE OF LUCK 49 3 NATIVE KNIGHT 34.00
2 MIGHTY CRUSADER 26 2 MIGHTY CRUSADER 0.17
The only horse which csan possibly upset BECKET is WASHINTON IRVINE.MIGHTY CRUSADER has no chance.NATIVE KNIGHT can place and must fight with CHANGE OF LUCK.
1.(1)BECKET 2.(4)WASHINTON IRVINE 3.(5)CHANGE OF LUCK 4.(3)NATIVE KNIGHT
 RACE  NINE
H.NO HORSE NAME RATING  H.NO HORSE NAME SB NO
11 GOLDEN ORRA 90 11 GOLDEN ORRA 110.79
6 IBIS 84 6 IBIS 23.86
5 HICKORY 77 12 KIMAYA 17.02
12 KIMAYA 71 4 TRUE ELEGANCE 14.11
13 DANCING MONEY 59 2 POUND FOOLISH 9.80
FLUENT VICTORY looks difficult but due to good win/place performance can be an upset.POUND FOOLISH ,GAME OF POWER,TRUE ELEGANCE ,HICKORY,ACCURIZE,BLUSH  & DANCING MONEY can place.IBIS has a chance as is tracking well.MISTIC MARGARITA,DREAM TALK  can be ignored.GOLDEN ORRA has a good chance and should fight with KIMAYA.
1.(11)GOLDEN ORRA 2.(12)KIMAYA  3.(6)IBIS 4.(1)FLUENT VICTORY

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

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