Thursday, July 8, 2010

OFFICIAL RATING DISCREPENCIES

Have you ever seen that the Official rating of a horse remains the same after winning a race and the official rating of a horse which finished second is increased?

Check the same for CELESTIAL WAY which remains at 117 and compare that with the official rating of ORIGINALITY.These run in the HDIL- BTC ANNIVERSARY CUP on saturday

There is a tremendous advantage for ATLANTUS in this race VIS-A- VIS ratings.

The woes of NEARCO MASTER continues.The official rating has not been reduced.14.11.2009 - 21 lenghts behind,19.12.2009- 12.5 lengths behind , 9.1.2010 - 43.8 lengths behind,22.5.2010 - 36.6 lengths behind,6.6.2010- 26.8 lenghts behind & 20.6.2010- 28.3 lengths behind 3.7.2010- 21.4 lenghts behind and still all these runs were at the same rating of 32 and again runs on 10.7.2010 at the same rating.

In the last race on saturday LEGEND REBORN runs with a net advantage of 7 KGs even though the rating has increased by 3 points.The difference in weight is -5.5 KGS.The reason for this is an absurd 7 KG increase in weights at acceptance stage on 27.6.2010
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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.


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