Hi Folks,
Aristos trained by J.S.Dhariwal and to be ridden by C.D.Hayes commands tall respect among the others with his superlative performance last time out and the workouts. He is in immaculate condition and should tackle this opposition to bring home the second classic i.e. The Harvins Bangalore 2000 Guineas the feature event of the day. Aristos if you all recollect won on double promotion and with penalty in confident style i.e. start-to-finish and though it drifted out a bit at 300mts. was corrected by jockey Desouza at the right moment and was just ridden with plenty in saddle. Pulverized the opposition. Aristos is working like a bomb and ready for the kill, he will take a lot of beating, should tackle this opposition with authority. Rarely have I seen a horse on double promotion winning with authority, only MAM is capable of such things. His main opponents are likely to be Originality and Fleeting Arrow. Fleeting Arrow had a hard race after a long lay-off and that will definitely tell on its performance today. The timing of Fleeting Arrow was slightly slower by 0.11 compared to Aristos on the earlier day. Even though both Originality and Fleeting Arrow are highest rated in Bangalore, I for one feel that Aristos a sparingly raced colt has achieved both his victories with a measure of comfort and continues to improve with each run. Originality ran a good race in 1000 guineas but the moment it went extra distance the speed rating dropped drastically which minimizes chances here. I feel she is best suited upto 1400mts. Lastly would like to recommend Aristos strongly each way and according to me one can have a good double alongwith Tomsk in The Shantiniketan Trophy, a seven furlong race for horses in Class I, the supporting event for the day. Trainer Arjun Mangalorkar has chosen to give a miss in the 2000 Guinea, and decided to run Tomsk in this race as he feels Tomsk has a better chance to score here. Should tackle this event with abosolute comfort as it is way ahead in speed ratings compared to other horses. My rest of the speed ratings for the day are as follows:
Race No. 1:
Fair Option 573
Sun Gold 542
Fair Option finished an unwanted 3rd with non-jobber last time out. Today with positive switch of jockey intentions of the connection are clear. Platinum Charmer can place here with good odds. Spark of Oldenburg has an outside chance but I feel it will have to produce extra to beat Fair Option.
Race No. 2:
Chilli Chocolate 571
Nonstopcannon 568
Galloping Blues 562
Mexicanwave 558
Race No. 3:
Queen Rania 623
Silken Clare 611
Andronicus 604
Southerner 594
Lush Foliage 581
Race No. 4:
Double Emerge 584
Refresh 575
Gift A Diamond 574
Superior Surprise 572
Race No. 5:
Cannavaro 616
Read My Mind 603
Fantabulous Prince 601
Strong Minded 595
Race No. 6:
Raptor Force 570
Royal Bank 568
On The Dot 553
Media Man 539
Race No. 7:
Aristos 647
Fleeting Arrow 645
Archipenko 641
Fantastic Quest 640
Palazzio's Sun 630
Originality 598
Race No. 8:
Tomsk 647
Dancing Heights 625
Vanquish 612
Perpetuity 593
Milford 583
Race No. 9:
Lago Vista 577
Brothers In Arms 552
Rain Man 547
Day's Best : ARISTOS
Good Double : Aristos and Tomsk
Kainchi w/pl : Fair Option, Aristos, Tomsk and Lago Vista
Good luck to all
Thanking you,
Jimmy
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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.
We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.
Mathematics by itself does not work whenever human involvement is there.
An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.
The blog can be accessed by all and no invitation is necessary
We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.
Mathematics by itself does not work whenever human involvement is there.
An analysis is also made on the possibilities whch exist for the Owner,Jockey & Trainer and a reasonable surmise is made.
The blog can be accessed by all and no invitation is necessary
3 comments:
Hi Jimmy Sir,
My contact number is 0900513573. Please drop me a message. Thank you for sharing.
My e-mail id is "madhu_xyz@hotmail.com"
Regards,
Madhu
correction 9000513573
Dear Jimmy,
I shall be thankfull if you give a brief write up regarding SPEED RATING, i.e. how it is calculated and how it differs from HANDICAP RATINGS. In what condition SPEED RATING gives better forecast of result as compared to HANDICAP RATINGS. I think this will be benifitial to many more pepople in addition to me.
With Regards.
Surendra Prasad Sao
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