MUMBAI 1.3.09 ANALYSIS & OBSERVATIONS

RACE ONE
5 ORIENTAL JEWEL 84
6 FLYING SPIRIT 69
3 NYALA 63
4 DESERT DYNAMITE 59
7 ARISTROCRATICAL 47

The best Average last four run time is jointly of ORIENTAL JEWEL & FLYING SPIRIT followed by that of DESERT DYNAMITE .On ipr and overall performance DUTCH ART,ELEGANTE & ARISTROCRATICAL look difficult.This RACE LOOKS BAD AND CAN BE AVOIDED.
The best rating increase is of followed by that of .ORIENTAL JEWEL has the rating with MAXIMUM winners & FLYING SPIRIT has NON WINNER RATING and cannot win.The best performance over this distance is of TRY YOUR LUCK who is the only winner and has withdrawn from the fray.It had also placed once in its total three attempts.On rating analysis ORIENTAL has a good chance & DUTCH ART & ARISTROCRATICAL looks difficult

RACE TWO
2 FALCON CREST 86
9 PERSIAN POWER 83
8 SOLID ROCK 69
7 LONE TROJAN 55
3 GIFT OF GRACE 54

The best Average last four run time is of PERSIAN POWER followed by that of FALCON CREST.On track FALCON CREST, GIFT OF GRACE,SADDLERS RULE & PERSIAN POWER are good.On ipr and overall performance WHITE HART LINE,REGINA & STEP BY STEP look difficult.LONE TROJAN may only at best place.
The best rating increase is jointly of PERSIAN POWER & STEP BY STEP followed by that of LONE TROJAN.PERSIAN POWER has the rating with MAXIMUM winners..The best performance over this distance is of REGINA which has won twice & placed an additional two times in its ten runs.On rating analysis SADDLERS RULE may find it difficult & PERSIAN POWER has a decent chance.

RACE THREE
3 BALANCE DE POWER 83
8 MYSTERIOUS STAR 76
5 STAR CRUSADER 69
6 COSMOPOLITAN 63
9 LAHINCH 58

The best Average last four run time is of MYSTERIOUS STAR followed by that of STAR CRUSADER .On track BALANCE DE POWER & MYSTERIOUS STAR good.On ipr and overall performance SKYWARDS,SILENT PRESENCE & LAHINCH look difficult.BALANCE on good trackwork & the trainer involved may score.KEEP AN eye on the improved COSMOPOLITAN other than BALANCE,STAR CRUSADER,MYSTERIOUS & Mr GREEY. Mr GREEDY has a very good IPR.
The best rating increase is of COSMOPOLITAN followed by that of MYSTERIOUS STAR .BALANCE DE POWER has the rating with MAXIMUM winners.The best performance over this distance is of SKYWARDS & LAHINCH who have both won twice.On rating analysis BALANCE DE POWER has a decent chance although its IPR is not impressive.STAR CRUSADER has decent ratings in overall but at MUMBAI/ PUNE the rating is a non winner.On the same analysis FLASHING FLAME,SILENT PRESENCE & LAHINCH look difficult for win.

RACE FOUR
4 GENTLE KNIGHT 92
8 VANTAGE 76
10 CLARION CALL 75
9 CALLING THE SHOTS 71
2 MISCHIEVOUS TROT 62

The best Average last four run time is of VANTAGE followed by that of DESERT SKY .On track BLUE MOUNTAIN & GOT TO GO good.On ipr and overall performance DA VINCI, MAJOR WAGER & GATRAVAT look difficult.ABSOLUTE has an IPR which suggests that it is coming back into form and CAN UPSET
The best rating increase is JOINTLY of CALLING THE SHOTS & ABSOLUTE REALITY followed by that of BLUE MOUNTAIN.MISCHIEVOUS TROT & CALLING THE SHOTS jointly have the rating with MAXIMUM winners..The best performance over this distance is of MISCHIEVOUS TROT,MAJOR WAGER,GENTLE KNIGHT, DESERT SKY,CALLING THE SHOTS & ABSOLUTE REALITY who have all won once.INTERESTINGLY the rating of BLUE MOUNTAIN does not have a winner at MUMBAI/PUNE even though there are some winners in combined rating.On rating analysis DA VINCE looks difficult. A tough race with many contenders

RACE FIVE
10 ANGELIQUE 86
7 MASEEHA 81
6 COTSWOLD ARMS 75
1 DIEGO RIVERA 66
4 SPINOZA 62

The best Average last four run time is of ANGELIQUE followed by that of MASEEHA .On track DIEGO RIVIERA is good.On ipr and overall performance HUGO,PREDOMINANT & AGASSIZ look difficult.VANQUISH may also at best place.
The best rating increase is of MASEEHA followed by that of RUBEN STAR .MASEEHA has the rating with MAXIMUM winners followed by that of ANGELIQUE .The best performance over this distance is of MASEEHA who has won thrice followed by that of SPINOZA who has won twice.On rating analysis HUGO & AGASSIZ looks difficult for win.

RACE SIX
3 FOREST FLAIR 95
7 VERSAKI 83
5 TELL ME MORE 70
6 TORA BORA 64
4 RIO DEL RAY 59

On track FOREST FLAIR,RIO DEL RAY, TORA BORA & VERSAKI are good.On ipr and overall performance TELL ME MORE looks difficult, but is decent in rating analysis.
The best rating increase is of TELL ME MORE followed by that of FOREST FLAIR . VERSAKI has the rating with MAXIMUM winners.On rating analysis all the three previous runners have a decent chance.

RACE SEVEN
10 SET ALIGHT 89
5 ICEBREAKER 81
2 AURORA AUREALIS 71
1 ATTRACTRESS 61
8 RIYASAT 58

The best Average last four run time is of SET ALIGHT followed by that of ICEBREAKER .On track ATTRACTRESS,ICEBREAKER,ORIGINALITY,RIYASAT & SET ALIGHT are good.On ipr and overall performance BARBARA, CHINERIQUE & NORA look difficult.The possible threat can be from RIYASAT or ICEBREAKER.AURORA & ATTRACTRESS CAN FIGHT FOR PLACE.ORIGINALITY & SEA PRINCESS do not appeal to me
The best rating increase is of ICEBREAKER.In fact the rating of ONLY ICEBREAKER has increased . ICE BREAKER has the rating with MAXIMUM winners FOLLOWED by that of AURORA AUREALIS.The best performance over this distance is of ATTRACTRESS who has won thrice in its four attempts.SET ALIGHT has won both his starts over the distance.

RACE EIGHTH
9 ENGLEHART 77
10 SPICA 73
4 ESCRAVOS 68
3 AVEC PLAISIR 64
5 DANCING DIVA 63

The best Average last four run time is of ENGLEHART followed JOINTLY by that of SPICA & DANCING DIVA .On track KIARA,AVEC PLAISIR, BALTHAZAAR & ENGLEHART are good.On ipr and overall performance BALTAZAAR & SHYBOY look difficult.KIARA does not look very good.The previous run of ENGLEHART was bad else had the best chance.SPICA looks dangerous in this bunch
The best rating increase is of ESCRAVOS followed by that of LAGO MEDIO .ESCRAVOS has the rating with MAXIMUM winners..The best performance over this distance is of KIARA who has won in five of its seven attempts.In its other two attempts also it has placed.The next best is jointly of LAGO & AVEC.On rating analysis BALTHAZAAR looks difficult.

RACE NINTH
10 THANDA 90
1 CHEVRON 80
6 SHARP MEMORY 75
5 MOUNTAIN KING 72
4 EQUALITY 63

The best Average last four run time is of THANDA followed by that of SHARP MEMORY .On track CHEVRON, EAGLE MOUNTAIN & THANDA are good.On ipr and overall performance EAGLE MOUNTAIN, SOLSJKAER,DIPLOMATIC LICENCE & SUDDEN IMPACT look difficult.EQUALITY also appears a place only.
The best rating increase is of CHEVRON followed by that of EQUALITY .CHEVRON has the rating with MAXIMUM winners.The best performance over this distance is of EQUALITY who is the only winner over this distance.On rating analysis CHEVRON & THANDA look to have decent chance & the trio of EAGLE MOUNTAIN, DIPLOMATIC LICENCE & SUDDEN IMPACT look difficult.